Thoughts on the Market

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1.740 afleveringen, van nieuw naar oud

  1. Michael Zezas: How Should Investors Ride a Potential “Blue Wave”?

    8 juli 2020 · 3 min

    Afspelen

    Although the U.S. election is anything but predictable four months away, investors may still want to consider how markets would react to a Democrat sweep.

  2. Mike Wilson: Is Inflation Healthy for an Economy?

    6 juli 2020 · 4 min

    Afspelen

    While excessive inflation can be disruptive, such as in the 1970’s, a deflationary mindset can often be more destructive—and difficult to reverse. What current inflation trends mean for investors.

  3. Andrew Sheets: The Legacy of Alexander Hamilton

    2 juli 2020 · 3 min

    Afspelen

    Although Alexander Hamilton couldn’t have foreseen the current health crisis facing the U.S., his ideas remain relevant—and key to the recovery—more than 200 years later.

  4. Mike Wilson: Two Key Points about a U.S. Recovery

    29 juni 2020 · 3 min

    Afspelen

    Although a worrying trend in new U.S. COIVD-19 cases has some investors understandably bearish, they may be overlooking two key points about earnings and sentiment.

  5. Special Episode, Part 2: Europe Navigates the Coronavirus

    26 juni 2020 · 8 min

    Afspelen

    Europe’s response to the coronavirus pandemic—both in managing the outbreak and in policy response—has been strong. Here’s what it means for asset classes in the region.

  6. Special Episode: “Reopening” at the Tipping Point

    25 juni 2020 · 10 min

    Afspelen

    How should investors think about the recovery as the U.S. balances reopening with concerns over a second wave of coronavirus infections?

  7. Michael Zezas: Is Multipolarity the New Megatrend?

    24 juni 2020 · 3 min

    Afspelen

    How should investors view a world where there may be room for more than one norm when it comes the balance of power among economies and commerce?

  8. Mike Wilson: Investor Reactions to a More Constructive Outlook

    23 juni 2020 · 4 min

    Afspelen

    Many investors are still looking at the current recession as an anomaly rather than as the end of a cycle. Chief Investment Officer Mike Wilson explains the implications.

  9. Andrew Sheets: Is This Recession Actually… Normal?

    19 juni 2020 · 4 min

    Afspelen

    While the macro events of the last few months are certainly extreme by the standards of history, the current business cycle may be more normal than is appreciated.

  10. Michael Zezas: Another Round of U.S. Pandemic Relief?

    17 juni 2020 · 2 min

    Afspelen

    Two common doubts about another round of fiscal stimulus center on the politics of passage and election year strategy. Here’s why Congress could agree on a package.

  11. Mike Wilson: The Highs and Lows of New Bull Markets

    15 juni 2020 · 4 min

    Afspelen

    Equity markets became a bit frothy during early June as optimism over a recovery took hold. So while a correction may be afoot, it isn’t atypical for a young bull market.

  12. Special Episode: Europe’s Moment of Solidarity

    12 juni 2020 · 12 min

    Afspelen

    The proposed €750 billion European Recovery Fund could represent more than just a recovery from COVID-19. It may also signal a new era of political and economic unity.

  13. Michael Zezas: Unpacking the Politics of Deficits

    10 juni 2020 · 4 min

    Afspelen

    Policymakers and voters may care about deficits, but reducing current spending may not be a priority over other issues—and right now that may be a plus for the economy.

  14. Andrew Sheets: A Significant Moment for the Eurozone

    9 juni 2020 · 3 min

    Afspelen

    Over the last decade, global investors have been lukewarm toward European assets, but three encouraging developments may be set to change that investing narrative.

  15. Mike Wilson: Rates Play Catch-Up, Again

    8 juni 2020 · 5 min

    Afspelen

    Depressed 10-year Treasury yields and a strong dollar have tempered the bullish outlook for U.S. equities. But a shift in both suggests a V-shape recovery could be more likely.

  16. Andrew Sheets: What Do Markets Reward? Progress.

    5 juni 2020 · 4 min

    Afspelen

    Why are markets climbing despite a pandemic and this week’s demonstrations across the U.S.? The answer may lie with how markets view progress.

  17. Special Episode: The Race to a Vaccine

    4 juni 2020 · 11 min

    Afspelen

    Large cap biotech analyst Matthew Harrison talks with Chief Cross-Asset Strategist Andrew Sheets to discuss the latest timeline for a coronavirus vaccine, hurdles to success and possible market reactions.

  18. Mike Wilson: Welcome to Early Cycle?

    1 juni 2020 · 3 min

    Afspelen

    Although market volatility continues to decrease, the volatility of popular momentum strategies is increasing—which suggests a coming rotation to early cycle stocks.

  19. Andrew Sheets: Does COVID-19 Change the Investing Playbook?

    29 mei 2020 · 3 min

    Afspelen

    Although the impact of the coronavirus on markets, economies and jobs is truly unprecedented, it doesn’t mean investing precedents don’t still apply.

  20. Michael Zezas: Could Cash-Strapped States Bank on Online Gaming?

    27 mei 2020 · 2 min

    Afspelen

    As U.S. states cope with challenged finances due to the coronavirus, could some look to online gaming to fill budget gaps?

  21. Mike Wilson: 3 Reasons Why a 2020 Recovery May Be Different

    26 mei 2020 · 3 min

    Afspelen

    Although the coronavirus recession shares traits with the 2008 financial crisis and other recessions, the rate and sustainability of a recovery could be quite different this cycle.

  22. Special Episode: All Hail the U.S. Consumer

    22 mei 2020 · 7 min

    Afspelen

    Will pent-up demand from U.S. consumers help drive a recovery from the coronavirus recession? A special conversation with our Chief Investment Officer and Chief U.S. Economist.

  23. Andrew Sheets: The Case for the Return of Inflation

    21 mei 2020 · 3 min

    Afspelen

    Why would inflation rise since the current recession means an acute shortage of demand for goods and services? Chief Cross-Asset Strategist Andrew Sheets explains.

  24. Michael Zezas: The Mechanics of Fiscal Stimulus

    20 mei 2020 · 2 min

    Afspelen

    Congress is weighing another round of fiscal stimulus, possibly by July. But the dynamics of passage in an election year could mean a narrow window to take action.

  25. Mike Wilson: Financial Repression Is Alive and Well

    18 mei 2020 · 4 min

    Afspelen

    Current stock market price patterns look surprisingly similar to 2009 and the global financial crisis. The big difference for investors may be the knock-on effect of low interest rates.

  26. Andrew Sheets: Are Negative Interest Rates Coming to the U.S. and UK?

    15 mei 2020 · 3 min

    Afspelen

    As markets have begun to price expectations for negative rates in Britain and the U.S., Chief Cross-Asset Strategist Andrew Sheets breaks down the potential impact on consumers, savers and economic growth.

  27. Special Episode: Lessons and Limits of China’s Recovery

    14 mei 2020 · 10 min

    Afspelen
    What China’s rebound from COVID-19 can—and can’t—tell us about the path, speed and pitfalls of economic reopening for other countries. Chief China Economist Robin Xing and Chief Cross-Asset Strategist Andrew Sheets look at the data, lessons so far, and how the country has had to modify its crisis playbook. Lees meer
  28. Michael Zezas: COVID-19 Sparks Renewed U.S.-China Trade Tensions

    14 mei 2020 · 3 min

    Afspelen
    Can the Phase One trade deal détente stand, or will the U.S. and China return to a cycle of escalating tariffs that may impact prospects of a rebound in economic growth? Michael Zezas, Head of Public Policy Research and Municipal Strategy, takes a closer look. Lees meer
  29. Mike Wilson: U is for Unicorn

    12 mei 2020 · 4 min

    Afspelen

    Amid investor speculation about the shape of a recovery, Chief Investment Officer Mike Wilson urges a standard recession playbook.

  30. Special Episode, Part 2: Markets Eye Climbing Government Deficits

    8 mei 2020 · 10 min

    Afspelen

    How should an investor evaluate the issue of high levels of government debt as nations battle the impact of the coronavirus? A deep dive into the debate.

  31. Special Episode: Recovering from the Stimulus

    7 mei 2020 · 8 min

    Afspelen
    How can we best coordinate policy to support a timely recovery and what lessons can we learn from the past? Chief Global Economist Chetan Ahya and Chief Cross Asset Strategist Andrew Sheets discuss the policy path back from the global economic crisis brought on by COVID-19. Lees meer
  32. Michael Zezas: Fixing a Hole (in State Budgets)

    6 mei 2020 · 2 min

    Afspelen

    The hole in U.S. state budgets caused by coronavirus-driven revenue shortfalls will likely affect more than just muni bond investors. Head of Public Policy Michael Zezas explains.

  33. Mike Wilson: A Pause that Refreshes

    4 mei 2020 · 4 min

    Afspelen

    As the rally in U.S. equities takes a break, investors may want to position for "early cycle." And that means re-thinking portfolios just as downbeat economic and earnings data arrives.

  34. Andrew Sheets: The Disconnect Between Economies and Markets

    1 mei 2020 · 4 min

    Afspelen

    Why did April’s stock market gains seem oddly disconnected from recent poor economic data? Chief Cross Asset Strategist Andrew Sheets has the answer.

  35. Matthew Hornbach: A Change of Fortune for the U.S. Dollar?

    30 april 2020 · 4 min

    Afspelen

    Consensus on the dollar has been bearish for years, only to be proven wrong time after time. But Global Head of Macro Strategy Matthew Hornbach says the mechanics of supply and demand could change that outcome.

  36. Michael Zezas: Could U.S. State Governments Go Bankrupt?

    29 april 2020 · 3 min

    Afspelen

    As Congress debates aid for state governments, for investors, the principal concern is that a lack of additional federal aid might further depress state spending and drag on economic growth.

  37. Mike Wilson: Staying Ahead of the (Flattening) Curve

    27 april 2020 · 4 min

    Afspelen

    As some states begin to loosen quarantine restrictions, "stay at home stocks" may no longer be the place to be. Chief Investment Officer Mike Wilson explains.

  38. Andrew Sheets: Even in a Crisis, the Cycle Still Matters

    24 april 2020 · 4 min

    Afspelen

    Investment strategies tied to the business cycle are still relevant, especially as our key internal indicator shows the cycle has moved into a new phase. Andrew Sheets, Chief Cross-Asset Strategist, makes the case.

  39. Special Episode, Part 2: How Much Stimulus Is Enough?

    23 april 2020 · 7 min

    Afspelen
    Congress has readied more funds to support U.S. businesses and households in order to shorten the pandemic-induced downturn. How far will they go? Chief U.S. Economist Ellen Zentner and Head of Public Policy Research Michael Zezas discuss the scale of the stimulus and its limits. Lees meer
  40. Special Episode: How Much Stimulus Is Enough?

    22 april 2020 · 9 min

    Afspelen
    Congress has readied more funds to support U.S. businesses and households in order to shorten the pandemic-induced downturn. How far will they go? Chief U.S. Economist Ellen Zentner and Head of Public Policy Research Michael Zezas discuss the scale of the stimulus and its limits. Lees meer
  41. Mike Wilson: Equities Position for America’s Grand Reopening

    20 april 2020 · 4 min

    Afspelen

    Although it remains to be seen how fast the U.S. can “re-open,” in the near term, markets may be betting on an economy that will normalize faster than feared.

  42. Andrew Sheets: Why OPEC May Be Rethinking Its Strategy

    17 april 2020 · 4 min

    Afspelen

    The steep decline in oil prices is a fascinating story of demand, supply and even game theory. But Chief Cross-Asset Strategist Andrew Sheets says that story could reverse next year.

  43. Reza Moghadam: Emerging-Market Economies Prepare for COVID-19

    16 april 2020 · 5 min

    Afspelen

    Emerging markets recovered quickly from the 2008 financial crisis, but could a more challenging backdrop in 2020 mean a different outcome this time? Insights from Chief Economic Adviser Reza Moghadam.

  44. Michael Zezas: Has the Fed Ignited Muni Bond Markets?

    15 april 2020 · 3 min

    Afspelen

    For investors in municipal bonds, the Fed’s recent creation of the Municipal Liquidity Facility and Mainstreet Lending Facility are a key positive. Head of Municipal Strategy Michael Zezas explains why.

  45. Special Episode, Part 2: Coronavirus - Building Models to Rebuild Economies

    14 april 2020 · 10 min

    Afspelen

    When do we return to work? The market reaction? The drug pipeline? Chief Cross-Asset Strategist Andrew Sheets and Head Biotech Equity Analyst Matthew Harrison continue their discussion on the impact of the Covid-19 pandemic.

  46. Mike Wilson: U.S. Markets React to Fed Moves

    13 april 2020 · 5 min

    Afspelen

    If there is one lesson to be learned from the financial repression era it's that when risk premium appears, investors may want to make moves before it evaporates.

  47. Special Episode: Coronavirus – Building Models to Rebuild Economies

    9 april 2020 · 10 min

    Afspelen

    How do you track a virus, a global economy and a road to recovery? On this special episode, an engaging conversation with our Chief Cross-Asset Strategist and Head Biotech Equity Analyst.

  48. Michael Zezas: Another Dose of Fiscal Stimulus?

    8 april 2020 · 3 min

    Afspelen

    The U.S. Congress has been debating ways to flatten another worrying curve: the sliding economic growth curve. What form could additional fiscal stimulus take?

  49. Mike Wilson: What Are Markets Thinking?

    6 april 2020 · 4 min

    Afspelen

    Asset prices often reflect the obvious before it becomes obvious. So the question for investors now is, "What is the market thinking about that's not obvious?"

  50. Andrew Sheets: Optimism for Credit Markets

    3 april 2020 · 3 min

    Afspelen

    Even as economic and public health data get worse, recent changes in three key factors make global credit markets an attractive option. Our Chief Cross-Asset Strategist, Andrew Sheets, explains.