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SI212: Trend Following in a Soft, Hard or No Landing ft. Alan Dunne
1 oktober 2022 · 58 min
Today, Alan Dunne joins us for our weekly dose of Trend Following where we reflect on an eventful month of September and a good year for trend, so far. We discuss what causes trends and why we are starting to see bigger moves in markets in recent years, whether the economy will have a Soft, Hard or No landing and what impact it will have on market performance, why we might still be in a commodity super cycle and why commodities are linked to volume unlike financial assets. We also discuss what Alan has learned from his recent road trip, the unintended consequences of a Liability Driven Investment Strategy in the pension fund system, why what we saw this week in the UK may be the start of a "death" cycle according to one pension fund consultant and much more. Lees meer
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JOIN THE TREND FOLLOWING MANIFESTO BOOK LAUNCH LIST TO GET SPECIAL LOW PRICE ON OUR UPCOMING BOOK DURING THE FIRST WEEK!
- CLICK HERE
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Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.
IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.
And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.
Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.
Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com
And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.
Follow Alan on Twitter.
Episode TimeStamps:
00:00 - Intro
01:52 - Summary of the week
08:34 - Industry performance update
09:54 - Reflecting on the month of September
14:38 - Why do we see trends in markets?
24:12 - Soft, Hard or No landing?
31:45 - Are we still in a commodity super cycle?
40:39 - Key takeaways from Alan’s road trip
48:46 - Article from Wall Street Journal on the UK Pension Fund debacle
56:27 - Thanks for listening
Copyright © 2026 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved
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PLUS: …
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GM24: The Real Cause of the Global Energy Crisis (Part 1) ft. Adam Rozencwajg
28 september 2022 · 1 uur 7 min
Today, we welcome back Adam Rozencwajg, Managing Partner at Goehring & Rozencwajg, to help us understand the global energy crisis and how we ended up in this situation. We discuss the outlook of the coming months and why we are in the beginning of a commodity super cycle, how the supply and demand side of the economy functions and what role the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) plays in a global energy crisis. We also discuss the different types of energy commodities, how convergence will affect the energy market and how to take advantage of it, the history of energy and the importance of ensuring a continuous abundance of efficient energy, how nuclear power can be a viable solution to the energy crisis and much more. Lees meer
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JOIN THE TREND FOLLOWING MANIFESTO BOOK LAUNCH LIST TO GET SPECIAL LOW PRICE ON OUR UPCOMING BOOK DURING THE FIRST WEEK!
- CLICK HERE
-----
Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.
IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.
And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.
Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.
Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com
And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.
Follow Cem on Twitter.
Follow Adam on Twitter.
Episode TimeStamps:
00:00 - Intro
02:01 - Heading into the winter
10:42 - Flood the market with oil...a good idea?
14:50 - Understanding the supply side
29:30 - Venezuela - A hot spot?
33:21 - Is the SPR in trouble?
40:12 - The role of the different energy commodities
42:51 - Why convergence and how to take advantage of it
51:56 - The end of energy abundance
59:57 - Is nuclear the future?
01:05:18 - Thanks for listening
Copyright © 2026 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved
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PLUS: Wh…
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SI211: A Trend Following Renaissance? ft. Mark Rzepczynski
25 september 2022 · 1 uur 6 min
Today, Mark Rzepczynsky joins after an intense week for central banks and global markets. We discuss how the current situation affects us as Trend Followers and the potential systemic risks in the futures exchange community in case of a global financial reset event and how we can use what we learned during the pandemic to tackle the issues of liquidity. We also discuss the difference between CTAs and Trend Followers and why the big investment banks should support their trend following clients...instead of trying to front-run our signals. We debate the global fixed income markets and how central banks create the foundation of a global recession, how what we are experiencing now in terms for trendiness in the markets may just be the beginning, why people who have a need for closure don’t do well with uncertainty and much more. Lees meer
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JOIN THE TREND FOLLOWING MANIFESTO BOOK LAUNCH LIST TO GET SPECIAL LOW PRICE ON OUR UPCOMING BOOK DURING THE FIRST WEEK!
- CLICK HERE
-----
Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.
IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.
And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.
Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.
Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com
And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.
Follow Mark on Twitter.
Episode TimeStamps:
00:00 - Intro
02:23 - Key events from this week?
11:15 - Industry performance update
16:25 - Q1, Matthew: The potential risks for trend funds in a global reset event?
25:18 - Research paper from UBS about CTAs and quant strategies
39:55 - Digging into the global fixed income markets
44:44 - Strong US Dollar and intervention in the Yen market
49:29 - Is the panic yet to come?
55:02 - C…
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GM23: The Wars of Capital ft. Michael Howell
21 september 2022 · 1 uur 10 min
Today, we are joined by Michael Howell, Author and Managing Director of Crossborder Capital, for a conversation on how liquidity drives financial markets, based on his book, “Capital Wars: The Rise of Global Liquidity”. We address term premia and the impact it has on the economy, the off-shore market, how Central Banks have become the dominant players over the last decade and the capital war between China and the U.S. We also discuss what might happen if the global economy becomes divided into two worlds, where one is financed by the U.S. dollar and the other financed by the Chinese Yuan and the increasing networking risk and risk of crises within the financial system, the different types of liquidity and the recipe for creating a strong dollar and much more. Lees meer
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JOIN THE TREND FOLLOWING MANIFESTO BOOK LAUNCH LIST TO GET SPECIAL LOW PRICE ON OUR UPCOMING BOOK DURING THE FIRST WEEK!
- CLICK HERE
-----
Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.
IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.
And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.
Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.
Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com
And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.
Follow Cem on Twitter.
Follow Michael on Linkedin and read his book.
Episode TimeStamps:
00:00 - Intro
02:51 - Introduction to Michael Howell and his work
07:38 - How much debt is there globally?
14:08 - Why is longer-term treasuries desirable?
16:08 - The off-shore market
19:56 - The capital war between China and the U.S.
41:37 - Is the financial system more fragile than we think?
50:10 - What if the 10-year bond yield blows out rapidly?
53:59 - What has happened with the offshore short-term…
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SI210: Trend Following Q & A ft. Rob Carver
17 september 2022 · 1 uur 23 min
Rob Carver returns after his extended holiday and kicks off by taking a nostalgic look back to 1985 as the British Pounds this week hit the lowest level since that year, to reflect on how markets tend to go in cycles. We also address dynamic optimisation, whether it contributes to make more markets "tradable" and the use of "non-tradable" markets, how Rob uses correlation and clustering for his classification approach and his strategy allocating to Trend Following. Additionally, we discuss techniques for Trend Following on single stocks and determining distances in a continuous MA crossover system, strategies to increase the capacity of a Trend Following program and running multiple different systems together, and much more. Lees meer
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JOIN THE TREND FOLLOWING MANIFESTO BOOK LAUNCH LIST TO GET SPECIAL LOW PRICE ON OUR UPCOMING BOOK DURING THE FIRST WEEK!
- CLICK HERE
-----
Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.
IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.
And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.
Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.
Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com
And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.
Follow Rob on Twitter.
Episode TimeStamps:
00:00 - Intro
03:52 - Key takeaways from the week?
15:35 - What does the future hold for interest rates and inflation?
22:52 - Industry performance update
25:52 - Q1, Joakim: Does dynamic optimisation in itself make more markets tradable?
32:21 - Q1, Follow-up: About adding "non-tradable" markets
35:39 - Q2, Kristen: Futures markets and Rob’s classification approach
43:15 - Q3, Kristoffer: How to treat CTAs? And deciding between allocating to investment-grade corporate bonds or high yie…
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IL07: Equality Across the Globe can be Achieved ft. Oded Galor
14 september 2022 · 1 uur 8 min
Today, we are joined by Oded Galor, Professor of Economics at Brown University, for a conversation on how we can explore and uncover new ways of thinking about the economy, based on his book “The Journey of Humanity: The Origins of Wealth and Inequality”. We discuss inequality from a historical aspect and the roots of human behaviour, the Malthusian trap and how the industrial evolution has impacted humanity and how geography, culture and diversity is a key factor in achieving equality. We also address the costs and benefits of diversity within a society and how we need diversity to generate more growth and complex solutions, why China will be left behind due to a lack of cultural fluidity, the process of measuring diversity, how we can improve going forward and much more. Lees meer
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JOIN THE TREND FOLLOWING MANIFESTO BOOK LAUNCH LIST TO GET SPECIAL LOW PRICE ON OUR UPCOMING BOOK DURING THE FIRST WEEK!
- CLICK HERE
-----
Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.
IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.
And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.
Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.
Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com
And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.
Follow Kevin on SubStack & read his Book.
Follow Oded on LinkedIn & read his book.
Episode TimeStamps:
00:00 - Intro
04:00 - Introduction to Oded Galor
07:29 - Fundamental insights from Galor’s book
09:49 - From Stagnation to Growth
21:22 - Education and the labour force
30:24 - The impact of longer-term structural forces
40:38 - Can new cultures emerge?
43:31 - How does diversity impact a society?
50:08 - Is China falling behind?
52:09 - How diversity should be measured?
5…
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SI209: Trend Following...The Best Way to Surf the Markets ft. Richard Brennan
11 september 2022 · 1 uur 7 min
Richard Brennan joins us for a weekly update on Trend Following, where we discuss why the crisis we experience at the moment might be worse than previous crises, such as what was experienced in the 1970’s. We also discuss the turtle trading method and how ATR can be used for entering and exiting trades, how Richard adjusts his trailing stop according to the price and level of volatility and why simplicity is the most robust solution to deal with complex markets. Additionally, we address how Trend Following can be used as a diversification tool for your portfolio, the principle of return stacking and how it is used in Trend Following, why more people are turning away from the 60/40 portfolio and much more. Lees meer
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JOIN THE TREND FOLLOWING MANIFESTO BOOK LAUNCH LIST TO GET SPECIAL LOW PRICE ON OUR UPCOMING BOOK DURING THE FIRST WEEK!
- CLICK HERE
-----
Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.
IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.
And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.
Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.
Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com
And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.
Follow Rich on Twitter.
Episode TimeStamps:
00:00 - Intro
02:26 - The stark warning from Niall Ferguson
07:01 - What happened this week?
10:35 - Industry performance update
12:47 - Q1, Irwin: Turtle trading and the use of ATR for position sizing
23:19 - The relationship between trailing stop and volatility
32:45 - Simplicity and sticking to your model
39:32 - Is the 60/40 portfolio outdated?
53:31 - The principle of return stacking
01:04:52 - Thanks for listening
Copyright © 2026 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved
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PLUS: Whenever you're ready.…
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ALO11: From Ballet Dancer to CIO ft. Cameron Dawson
7 september 2022 · 1 uur 15 min
Today, we are joined by Cameron Dawson, CIO at NewEdge Wealth, who has a really unique background. We address how she allocate and construct her portfolios in a highly unstable and inflationary environment and why she prefesr to play on the smaller side of funds. We also discuss the importance of valuations and how it can help forecast long term returns and how she analyzes earnings and liquidity to understand and navigate an uncertain macro environment, the outlook for inflation and how the Fed might act to combat the economic instability as well as their process of recruiting external managers. Lastly, we discuss how narratives impact the markets and the importance of knowing the source of your returns, how to approach long-term investment to avoid buying at the top and selling at the bottom, as well as some sound advice for aspiring CIOs and much more. Lees meer
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JOIN THE TREND FOLLOWING MANIFESTO BOOK LAUNCH LIST TO GET SPECIAL LOW PRICE ON OUR UPCOMING BOOK DURING THE FIRST WEEK!
- CLICK HERE
-----
Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.
IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.
And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.
Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.
Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com
And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.
Follow Alan on Twitter.
Follow Cameron on LinkedIn.
Episode TimeStamps:
00:00 - Intro
03:10 - Introduction to Cameron and her work at NewEdge Wealth
08:01 - Navigating in a tough environment
14:31 - Their approach to asset allocation
21:31 - The historical perspective
29:56 - Getting comfort in an uncertain macro environment
41:20 - Is high inflation here to stay?
48:33 - What it will take for t…
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SI208: Trend Following in Today's Economy ft. Alan Dunne
4 september 2022 · 1 uur 6 min
Today, Alan Dunne joins us for a weekly update on Trend Following where we reflect on the ongoing instability in the markets and look back on the month of August. We also discuss behavioural biases and why we may need to distinguish between managed futures and trend following, an article by Quantica on the benefits of trend following and how it can without a doubt improve your portfolio. Lastly, we reflect on the annual event at Jackson Hole and the BIS talking about the challenges ahead, the 2% inflation target and how it can impact the economy if changed, the Volcker tightening cycle and the importance of narratives as well as an update on Jeremy Grantham’s super bubble hypothesis and much more. Lees meer
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JOIN THE TREND FOLLOWING MANIFESTO BOOK LAUNCH LIST TO GET SPECIAL LOW PRICE ON OUR UPCOMING BOOK DURING THE FIRST WEEK!
- CLICK HERE
-----
Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.
IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.
And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.
Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.
Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com
And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.
Follow Alan on Twitter.
Episode TimeStamps:
00:00 - Intro
02:01 - Summary of the week
09:44 - Industry performance update
11:46 - Reflecting on the month of August
16:13 - Alan’s perspective on the Cliff Asness article
28:01 - The undisputed benefits of Trend Following
38:00 - Key takeaways from Jackson Hole
46:00 - Comment from BIS
49:45 - Are we leaving the 2% inflation target?
53:54 - Lessons from the Volcker tightening cycle
01:00:20 - Latest piece from Jeremy Grantham
01:04:23 - Thanks for listening
Copyright © 2026 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved…
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ALO10: How to Manage $50bn ft. Jason Morrow
31 augustus 2022 · 1 uur 8 min
Today, we are joined by Jason Morrow, Deputy CIO at Utah Retirement Systems, for a conversation on how portfolio management is carried out at a large pension fund. We discuss how Morrow approaches the objective and constraints of URS’s portfolio and the realized volatility over time, how they manage the challenges of an inflationary environment and balance their portfolio to mitigate risk, how they find the right mix of public and private equities and their approach to absolute return strategies. We also address the process of assembling a team of managers and evaluating quant strategies, how to mitigate behavioural biases when selecting manager, cultivating talent as a CIO and much more. Lees meer
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JOIN THE TREND FOLLOWING MANIFESTO BOOK LAUNCH LIST TO GET SPECIAL LOW PRICE ON OUR UPCOMING BOOK DURING THE FIRST WEEK!
- CLICK HERE
-----
Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.
IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.
And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.
Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.
Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com
And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.
Follow Alan on Twitter.
Follow Jason on LinkedIn.
Episode TimeStamps:
00:00 - Intro
03:35 - Introduction to Jason Morrow
08:02 - Investment objective and constraints of URS’s portfolio
13:21 - How does inflation affect URS's portfolio?
20:27 - Building and balancing the portfolio
24:29 - Public vs. private equities
31:22 - Using multiple asset allocating strategies
38:06 - Their approach to selecting managers
41:15 - Evaluating quant strategies
45:51 - Behavioural biases in manager selection
50:27 - Return expectations setting for alts
55:42 - Mastering the …
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SI207: Trend Following: The Perfect Portfolio? ft. Jerry Parker
27 augustus 2022 · 1 uur 16 min
Jerry Parker joins me for a raw conversation on Trend Following, the day after Jerome Powell spoke at Jackson Hole on fighting inflation and achieving economic stability. We also discuss the pros and cons of CTA/Managed futures replication strategies and the importance of investing in your own fund as a manager, the evolution of Trend Following and why Trend Following might be the Perfect Portfolio. We touch on different ways of diversifying your portfolio and why correlation is not always reliable friend. Lastly, we discuss an article by Morgan Housel on why it is important to identify the core principles (in our case of Trend Following) and how incentives are the strongest force in the world, the importance of having confidence whilst being humble and much more. Lees meer
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JOIN THE TREND FOLLOWING MANIFESTO BOOK LAUNCH LIST TO GET SPECIAL LOW PRICE ON OUR UPCOMING BOOK DURING THE FIRST WEEK!
- CLICK HERE
-----
Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.
IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.
And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.
Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.
Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com
And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.
Follow Jerry on Twitter.
Episode TimeStamps:
00:00 - Intro
02:51 - Summary of the week
08:35 - Industry performance update
12:21 - Discussion about CTA/Managed futures replication strategies
26:19 - Aligning incentives as a manager
33:28 - Aspect article in Hedge Fund Journal
46:47 - Article by Cliff Asness on Pure Trend Following
51:33 - Crisis alpha vs the Perfect Portfolio
01:03:40 - Article by Morgan Housel on following Core Principles
01:11:15 - Confidence vs. Ability
01:14:33 - Th…
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GM22: Investing through a Fourth Turning ft. Niels Kaastrup-Larsen & Cem Karsan
24 augustus 2022 · 1 uur 15 min
Today, Cem Karsan and I reflect on previous conversations with guests on the Global Macro series and how they have developed us as investors. We also discuss the historical framework of the Fed and their role and power in the economy, how 40 years of monetary policy and technological revolution have caused historic inequality and how recessions have been handled throughout history. Additionally, we address the consequences of ultra low interest rates and high inflation and why we might see a loss of credibility in the Fed going forward, the importance of finding an edge in your investment strategy. Lastly, we discuss the strength of the dollar, how investors should position themselves in the wake of a Fourth Turning and much more. Lees meer
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JOIN THE TREND FOLLOWING MANIFESTO BOOK LAUNCH LIST TO GET SPECIAL LOW PRICE ON OUR UPCOMING BOOK DURING THE FIRST WEEK!
- CLICK HERE
-----
Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.
IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.
And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.
Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.
Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com
And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.
Follow Cem on Twitter.
Episode TimeStamps:
00:00 - Intro
02:54 - Looking back on previous GM guests and how they impacted our thinking
09:17 - Thoughts on the Fed and a historical perspective
21:11 - How much power and control does the Fed actually have?
31:02 - Low interest rates... a bubble maker?
40:03 - The inverted yield curve...a sign?
49:26 - Using volatility as a guide for equity markets
59:14 - What happens to the dollar?
01:04:13 - What should investors be considering at this point?
01:12:24 - Thanks for listen…
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SI206: Trend Following is a Lazy Man's Strategy ft. Mark Rzepczynski
21 augustus 2022 · 1 uur 11 min
This week, Mark Rzepczynsky joins us for our weekly update on Trend Following, at the end of yet another busy week for inflation watchers. Based on an article by Cliff Asness at AQR, we discuss why you want to own managed futures and why you want to avoid getting "carried away" as a Trend Follower, the dual mandate and the difference between strategy and running a business, innovation in Trend Following and why macro trends do not always translate to price trends. We also discuss how high inflation affects Trend Following and the importance of divergence, why turning points kill the real issue beyond inflation and using the 70 percent rule to make trading decisions, the difference between trend following and momentum and much more. Lees meer
-----
JOIN THE TREND FOLLOWING MANIFESTO BOOK LAUNCH LIST TO GET SPECIAL LOW PRICE ON OUR UPCOMING BOOK DURING THE FIRST WEEK!
- CLICK HERE
-----
Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.
IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.
And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.
Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.
Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com
And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.
Follow Mark on Twitter.
Episode TimeStamps:
00:00 - Intro
03:22 - What happened this week?
13:36 - Industry performance update
16:07 - AQR latest article on managed futures
27:56 - The dual mandate and volatility "targeting"
37:55 - The private equity issue and innovation in Trend Following
43:48 - FT Article from Goldman Sachs about inflation and divergence
49:25 - How turning points impact your overall TF returns
53:17 - The 70 percent rule...and why it works for Trend Followers
56:03 - Hedgehogs vs. Foxes and drought…
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GM21: The Inflation Regime and the Big Macro Picture ft. Darius Dale
17 augustus 2022 · 1 uur 12 min
Today, Darius Dale, Founder & CEO of 42macro, joins us for a conversation on Global Macro from a broad perspective. We discuss the outlook for inflation and the implication it has on the markets going forward, the path to a more elevated inflation level and how we may get there, what we can learn from the past about inflation and advice for trading in an inflationary regime. Additionally, Darius explains how he and 42macro consider external factors, such as demographics and structural changes when trading and analyzing the markets and he describes the financial and political impact of approaching a new Fourth Turning. Lastly, we discuss portfolio construction and risk management frameworks, why it is important to be humble and honest about the uncertainty and unpredictability of the current state of the markets and much more. Lees meer
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JOIN THE TREND FOLLOWING MANIFESTO BOOK LAUNCH LIST TO GET SPECIAL LOW PRICE ON OUR UPCOMING BOOK DURING THE FIRST WEEK!
- CLICK HERE
-----
Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.
IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.
And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.
Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.
Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com
And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.
Follow Cem on Twitter.
Follow Darius on Twitter.
Episode TimeStamps:
0:00 - Intro
03:15 - Who is Darius Dale?
06:48 - Darius's strategic perspective
10:38 - What will happen to the inflation going forward?
20:28 - Looking at the next 6-12 months
26:18 - What about the longer term?
31:39 - The historical perspective
39:33 - What Darius is telling investors right now
48:22 - Dealing with external factors
58:36 - Factor corre…
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SI205: Trend Following...What Really Matters ft. Richard Brennan
14 augustus 2022 · 1 uur 8 min
Today, Richard Brennan joins us to discuss what really matters within Trend Following, as well as an update on the reaction to the latest CPI data. We also address questions from listeners regarding how to achieve a robust portfolio by avoiding recency bias and using a slow adaptive process, how sample size is most optimally used in Trend Following and the advantages of using a simplistic approach in your trading system. Lastly, we discuss the concept of warehousing risk and how it should be taking into account as part of the risk management. We analyse an article by Morgan Housel about long tails and how it drives every system with exceptional performance, and much more. Lees meer
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JOIN THE TREND FOLLOWING MANIFESTO BOOK LAUNCH LIST TO GET SPECIAL LOW PRICE ON OUR UPCOMING BOOK DURING THE FIRST WEEK!
- CLICK HERE
-----
Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.
IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.
And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.
Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.
Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com
And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.
Follow Rich on Twitter.
Episode TimeStamps:
00:00 - Intro
02:36 - Review of the market action post CPI data?
07:27 - Industry performance update
11:35 - Q1, Gareth: Emphasising recent performance vs. over optimisation
21:13 - Q2, Antonio: Why not use a smaller sample size?
41:45 - What does warehousing risk mean?
50:52 - Tails, you win - Analysis of Morgan Housel article
56:50 - Top 3 things that matter the most in Trend Following
01:05:58 - Thanks for listening
Copyright © 2026 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved
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IL06: The History of Interest & the Next Devastating Crisis ft. Edward Chancellor
10 augustus 2022 · 1 uur 16 min
Edward Chancellor, Author, Journalist and unrivaled Financial Historian, joins us today to discuss the history of Interest, based on his new book, “The Price of Time: The Real Story of Interest". We address why it is crucial to pay attention to the historical perspectives of the economy, the allocation of capital and interest and why low interest rates have a feedback effect on the economy, the zombie corporate phenomenon and the impact it has on the economy. We also discuss the longer term consequences of low interest rates and whether bubbles can be beneficial, globalization and how interest rates impacts the fragility of global supply chains, the role of Central Banks and how they affect price stabilization by preventing creative destruction. Lastly, we discuss how the Fed policy of “cleaning up afterwards” creates unintended problems, how a zero interest policy can pose a threat to capitalism and much more. Lees meer
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- CLICK HERE
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Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.
IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.
And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.
Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.
Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com
And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.
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Follow Edward on LinkedIn & read his book.
Episode TimeStamps:
00:00 - Intro
02:19 - Introduction to Edward
04:19 - The process of writing his latest book
14:15 - Are we forgetting the economic history?
19:34 - How Edward approaches his study of Interest
25:43 - The impact of interest rates
35:22 -…
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SI204: Trend Following & A Cocktail of Macro Factors ft. Alan Dunne
6 augustus 2022 · 1 uur 8 min
Today, Alan Dunne joins us to discuss the ongoing instability in the markets and rising inflation, and why we, as investors, should keep an open mind for what is to come. We address the pros and cons of replication strategies, the performance of the past months and why we are beginning to see a shift in the markets. We review some recent articles, including an interview with Edward Chancellor, who is current with a new book, The Price of Time. Topics we cover include the impact of low interest rates, how we are in a war economy and how we are seeing a shift in the aggregate supply curve, expectations and predictions for inflation in the coming time and much more. Lees meer
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- CLICK HERE
-----
Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.
IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.
And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.
Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.
Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com
And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.
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Episode TimeStamps:
00:00 - Intro
02:02 - What happened this week?
14:20 - Trend Following update of the week
16:55 - Replicating vs. hiring managers
22:30 - Reflecting on the past months market reversals
40:36 - Why is Trend Following performing well at the moment?
48:06 - Discussing Edward Chancellor’s interview
53:06 - Zoltan Pozsar’s article on war and interest rates
58:56 - Bridgewater article on inflation and conversation with Bilal Hafeez
01:06:45 - Thanks for listening
Copyright © 2026 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved
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AL09: FED Funds may hit 8% ft. Bilal Hafeez
3 augustus 2022 · 1 uur 9 min
Bilal Hafeez, Founder, CEO and Head of Research at Macro Hive, joins us today to discuss the current state of the markets and how we are possibly heading into a new regime and why FED Funds may hit 8%. We address the economic outlook of the near future and how the FED will deal with the challenges of inflation and increasing interest rates, how technology has taken over parts of the labour force and how Covid-19 has changed the way people and companies work, how demographics impacts inflation and the growth problems that China currently experiences. We also discuss how the future for asset allocation looks and how the sanctions against Russia impacts the economy around the world. Lastly, Bilal explains his process and approach to making research and recommends books that have been influential to him. Lees meer
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- CLICK HERE
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Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.
IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.
And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.
Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.
Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com
And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.
Follow Alan on Twitter.
Follow Bilal on LinkedIn.
Episode TimeStamps:
00:00 - Intro
03:03 - Introduction to Bilal Hafeez
07:51 - How does the community respond to the current environment?
10:43 - FED Funds & the economic outlook of the next 6-12 months
23:17 - An inflation story
29:39 - Demographics - is it inflationary or dis-inflationary?
35:20 - What is next for asset allocation
44:03 - Should we worry about the sanctions against Russia?
51:58 - …
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SI203: A new way of doing Trend Following ft. Jerry Parker
30 juli 2022 · 1 uur 24 min
Today, we are joined by Jerry Parker where we dive into some of the highlights from the challenging month of July and how the industry has handled the current high level of volatility and trend reversals, why Trend Following continues to work but how narratives can create vicious reversals in the markets. We also discuss questions from listeners regarding Jerry’s strategies for entering and exiting trades, advice for backtesting using continuous futures contracts, how to handle stop losses and including equities in your allocation strategy. Lastly, Jerry describes why he is in favour of accidental diversification and why he is always on the hunt for outliers, why adding more markets has no impact on the robustness of a system and why he prefers to be a “slow tractor”. We finish off discussing how some firms claim that they can replicate the returns of Hedge Funds and CTAs without charging much for it and Jerry reveals a profound change to how he wants to extract trends from markets...even if it means that he will more correlated to Equities. Lees meer
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- CLICK HERE
-----
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IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.
And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.
Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.
Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com
And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.
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Episode TimeStamps:
00:00 - Intro
02:02 - Market overview
03:52 - Major events of the month
16:00 - The importance of narratives
19:16 - How Jerry handles equities
22:39 - Q1, Michael: How…
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IL05: The Road to Economic Stability ft. Andrew Smithers
27 juli 2022 · 1 uur 7 min
Today, we are joined by Andrew Smithers, Author, Economist and Founder of Smithers & Co, to discuss how we can achieve economic stability, based on his book, “The Economics of the Stock Market”. We address the Q Ratio and why it is important for economic stability, how to use the idea of hindsight value to predict markets and how monetary policy has contributed to economic instability, the incentives for a company’s management and how to balance the level of leverage. Lastly, we discuss reasons why policy makers should be focusing on Q, what Andrew has planned for the future and much more. Lees meer
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- CLICK HERE
-----
Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.
IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.
And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.
Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.
Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com
And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.
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Follow Andrew on Smithers & Co & read his book.
Episode TimeStamps:
00:00 - Intro
02:15 - Introduction to Andrew
03:28 - Key messages from his book
06:42 - How is the Q Ratio constructed?
14:34 - The idea of hindsight value
23:31 - How Quantitative Easing caused instability?
26:49 - How remuneration policies have led to an increased Q value
31:14 - The incentives for management
42:30 - Should policy makers focus more on Q?
53:10 - The economic consequences of Alan Greenspan
56:21 - Andrew’s plans going forward
01:04:42 - Key takeaways from Niels
Copyright © 2026 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved
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SI202: Trend Following in a Binary World ft. Mark Rzepczynski
24 juli 2022 · 1 uur 7 min
Mark Rzepczynsky joins us today for a weekly talk on Trend Following, where we discuss how we are beginning to see stagflation and recession around the world, how to manage systemic risk as a trend follower, how to construct your portfolio using Trend Following funds and why it’s preferred to let Trend Following funds replace bonds and commodities, whilst leaving equities in your portfolio. Additionally, we discuss how a global macro binary world allows for Trend Following to work and why Mark believe in “let prices speak for themselves”. We round things off discussing how the Fed uses the “Powell Call” rather than the "Greenspan Put" to determine how they should react to the markets and much more. Lees meer
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- CLICK HERE
-----
Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.
IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.
And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.
Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.
Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com
And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.
Follow Mark on Twitter.
Episode TimeStamps:
00:00 - Intro
02:43 - Recap of the major events from this week?
09:43 - Industry performance update
12:40 - Q1, Alp: How to manage Systemic Risks
32:40 - Q2, Algernond: Portfolio construction using Trend Following funds
41:05 - A global macro binary world and its impact on trend following
53:13 - Revival of accepting price action when it comes to investment process
01:01:18 - Moving beyond the Greenspan Put
01:04:39 - Thanks for listening
Copyright © 2026 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved
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IL04: Inflation & The Great Demographic Reversal ft. Manoj Pradhan
20 juli 2022 · 1 uur
Manoj Pradhan, Author and Founder of Talking Heads Macroeconomics, joins us in today’s episode to discuss the structural forces that will drive markets in the future, based on his book, “The Great Demographic Reversal: Ageing Societies, Waning Inequality and an Inflation Revival”. We cover demographics and how it has impacted inflation and interest rates, the idea of using robots and automation to make society more efficient and productive, how ageing is a major contributor to a country’s debt and how inflation can be used as a tool to deal with rising debt, monetization of debt through bonds and how it can be deflationary in some cases. Lastly, we discuss why Manoj believes inequality is going to decrease, due to an imbalance in the labour force, how this shift in equality impacts the economy and much more. Lees meer
-----
JOIN THE TREND FOLLOWING MANIFESTO BOOK LAUNCH LIST TO GET SPECIAL LOW PRICE ON OUR UPCOMING BOOK DURING THE FIRST WEEK!
- CLICK HERE
-----
Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.
IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.
And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.
Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.
Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com
And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.
Follow Kevin on SubStack & read his Book.
Follow Manoj on LinkedIn & read his book.
Episode TimeStamps:
00:00 - Intro
02:13 - Introduction to Manoj and his book
07:59 - How demography has impacted inflation and interest rates?
15:05 - Can the global labour force be increased?
22:31 - Using automation to increase efficiency
33:49 - Did we interpret the yield curve wrong?
43:34 - The monetization of debt
50:13 - Is equality going to wane?
57:…
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SI201: Trend Followers Positioned for Recession ft. Richard Brennan
16 juli 2022 · 1 uur 24 min
Today, Richard Brennan tackle lots of great questions from listeners as to why Trend Following works, why trends occur in markets and why it is best to exploit them using a systematic approach, the idea of doing Trend Following on Trend Following using the TTU trend barometer. We also discuss different ways of looking at leverage in your portfolio, pros and cons of using stops and different approaches to applying volatility targeting. Lastly, we discuss why it can be beneficial to trade more than one Trend Following system, the issues that can occur when using the same system for a diversified composite, how to avoid the anxiety associated with building drawdowns and finally we address recent statements made that CTAs may be not be well positioned should we enter into a recession. Lees meer
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- CLICK HERE
-----
Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.
IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.
And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.
Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.
Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com
And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.
Follow Rich on Twitter.
Episode TimeStamps:
00:00 - Intro
02:03 - Update on recent market and economic news?
08:36 - Industry Performance update
10:28 - Q1, Bruno: Why does Trend Following work?
22:57 - Q2, Elie: Doing Trend Following on Trend Following
29:50 - Q3, Adam: How to calculate leverage for a CTA?
35:43 - Q4, Mark: Complicating your system with stops & views on volatility targeting
54:51 - Trading an ensemble of systems vs. a single system
58:44 - Using the same…
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IL03: Finding Optimism in Times of Crises ft. Larry Siegel
13 juli 2022 · 1 uur 4 min
Today, Larry Siegel, Author and Director of Research at CFA Research Foundation, joins us to discuss his book, “Fewer, Richer, Greener: Prospects for Humanity in an Age of Abundance” and how demographic trends impact inflation. Additionally, we discuss the benefits of population growth, the importance of having a free society and how authoritarianism and fascism impairs a population, the history of economic growth and how it has enabled better and cheaper sources of energy, nuclear power and how it can be a solution to the global energy crisis. Lastly, we discuss why global warming is not as severe and urgent of a problem as many believe, due to technological advancements and great progress in recent years. Lees meer
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JOIN THE TREND FOLLOWING MANIFESTO BOOK LAUNCH LIST TO GET SPECIAL LOW PRICE ON OUR UPCOMING BOOK DURING THE FIRST WEEK!
- CLICK HERE
-----
Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.
IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.
And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.
Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.
Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com
And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.
Follow Kevin on SubStack & read his Book.
Follow Larry on Twitter & read his book.
Episode TimeStamps:
00:00 - Intro
03:12 - An introduction to Larry and his book
11:46 - Key takeaways from Larry’s study of demographic trends
18:48 - Population and economic growth around the world
27:49 - The importance of freedom
31:53 - Economic growth = better and cheaper sources of energy?
38:30 - Nuclear power - a tail risk?
48:31 - The potential of genetic engineering in agriculture and medicine
54:07 - Is the climate emergency not an emergency?
01:01:4…
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SI200: Stacking Returns into a Tightning Cycle ft. Alan Dunne
10 juli 2022 · 1 uur 7 min
Today, Alan Dunne and I discuss the use of return stacking in asset management when building a diversified portfolio and the risk implications, adding CPPI on top of Trend Following and using options to achieve a constant cash flow. We also discuss the increasing inflation and rising uncertainty in the economy, the relationship between inflation and unemployment and how we are in the middle of a different Fed tightening cycle, as well as ways to build a portfolio in a difficult asset environment and much more. Lees meer
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- CLICK HERE
-----
Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.
IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.
And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.
Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.
Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com
And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.
Follow Alan on Twitter.
Episode TimeStamps:
00:00 - Intro
01:58 - Summary of the week
07:49 - Industry performance update
10:50 - Q1, Matthijs: Using return stacking in portfolio construction
26:38 - Q2, Adding CPPI on top of Trend Following & using options
38:12 - Increasing uncertainty in the economy
56:13 - Building portfolios for different regimes
01:05:46 - Thanks for listening
Resources discussed in this Episode:
LINK: The Return of the Philips Curve
Copyright © 2026 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved
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In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during …
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IL02: Cold War & US Relations with China ft. James A. Fok
6 juli 2022 · 1 uur 5 min
James A. Fok, Financial Markets Professional and author of the book, “Financial Cold War”, joins us today for a discussion on how the Great Leap Forward has had an impact on China as a society and why they start to experience a virtual societal collapse, the financial relationship between China and the U.S and how financial warfare between the two countries can create a global crisis. We also discuss the idea of financial mutually assured destruction and how the Western society can become more financially independent from China and vice versa, the notion of having a neutral reserve currency to create a more balanced financial relationship and much more. Lees meer
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- CLICK HERE
-----
Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.
IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.
And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.
Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.
Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com
And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.
Follow Kevin on SubStack & read his Book.
Follow James on LinkedIn & read his book.
Episode TimeStamps:
00:00 - Intro
02:58 - Who is James A. Fok & why did he write his book
07:30 - A virtual societal collapse in China
19:02 - An emerging scepticism?
25:03 - The balance payment deficit of the U.S
40:10 - Deepening the interdependencies between China and the U.S
50:14 - A fragmented financial relationship
56:59 - The possibility of a neutral reserve currency
01:02:50 - Takeaways from Niels
Copyright © 2026 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved
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SI199: Achieving Highest CAGR through Optimal Leverage ft. Rob Carver
3 juli 2022 · 1 uur 20 min
Rob Carver joins us to discuss the eventful month of June and take questions from listeners regarding moving average crossover systems including what the best exit rules are for these systems, and why it might not be a good idea to enter all existing positions for new accounts. We also debate the sustainability of short-term Trend Following and intraday trading, and how much of the profit from TF Systems can be expected to come from Long sided trades as well as ways of investing into UCITS funds with pension money without paying too high fees. Finally, Rob shares some very important aspects on the relationship between optimal leverage and CAGR and much more. Lees meer
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- CLICK HERE
-----
Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.
IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.
And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.
Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.
Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com
And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.
Follow Rob on Twitter.
Episode TimeStamps:
00:00 - Intro
05:53 - Performance update from Rob and Niels
15:23 - Q1, Andrew: How best to use Moving Average Crossover Systems
20:40 - Q2, Greg: The downside of entering all existing positions for new accounts
24:13 - Q3, Algernond: Getting into UCITS funds at a reasonable price
28:04 - Q4, Michael: Has Rob considered refocussing on short-term trading?
44:20 - Q5, Anders: How much profit comes from long-sided trades & why?
55:08 - Understanding the relationship between CAGR & Leverage
01:17:58 - Thanks for listening
Resources discussed in this Episo…
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IL01: Turning Water Into Wine with Diversification ft. Antti Ilmanen
29 juni 2022 · 1 uur 7 min
In today’s episode, Antti Ilmanen, author and Global co-head of the Portfolio Solutions Group at AQR Capital Management, joins us to discuss key learnings from his new book, “Investing Amid Low Expected Returns”. We break down why commodities are crucial for generating returns in periods of high inflation and how to manage risk through diversification. We also discuss portfolio construction and whether bonds are still valuable in a diversified portfolio, market timing and how to balance emerging markets and developed markets in your investment strategy, why a diversified blend of risk premia is advantageous and finish off highlighting potential pitfalls of using long-term data and much more. Lees meer
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- CLICK HERE
-----
Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.
IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.
And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.
Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.
Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com
And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.
Follow Kevin on SubStack & read his Book.
Follow Antti on LinkedIn & read his book.
Episode TimeStamps:
00:00 - Intro
03:36 - About Antti’s book, “Investing Amid Low Expected Returns”
15:22 - The importance of commodities, especially during inflationary times
21:36 - What’s up with bonds?
30:06 - Emerging markets vs. high beta
38:40 - Alternative risk premia...both Alpha & Beta like
47:00 - The idea of valuation spreads and crowding concerns
52:04 - The defensive bucket...getting rid of the junk
01:02:16 - Summary by Kevin and Niels
Copyright © 2026 – CMC …
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SI198: Trend Following wearing Loose Pants ft. Jerry Parker
26 juni 2022 · 1 uur 21 min
Today, we are joined by Jerry Parker to discuss how recessions affect current trends and returns for Trend Followers, how to use ATR to determine the initial stop and when to switch to using a trailing stop for your position. We also discuss if it's possible to achieve comparable performance when investing through a public or private fund. Finally we turn to a few imporant topics like how “alts” or "alternatives" mean different things to different people, the Commodity Super Cycle and how it can create a false narrative, how Trend Following adapts to market regimes and much more. Lees meer
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- CLICK HERE
-----
Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.
IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.
And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.
Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.
Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com
And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.
Follow Jerry on Twitter.
Episode TimeStamps:
00:00 - Intro
01:57 - Market overview
09:42 - Q1, Andre: What to expect after a good run in Trend Following returns
13:51 - Q2, Ryan: How to use Average True Range (ATR)
27:05 - Q3, David: Performance in public mutual funds vs. offshore funds
32:07 - Q4, Paul: When to switch from Initial to Trailing stop and sizing your position
39:56 - Q5, Victor: How did Jerry manage to give back 200 ATRs in TESLA?
47:17 - Q6, Victor: How to Allocate your Risk Budget to avoid running out of cash?
53:41 - The different meatnings of “Alts” when it comes to investing
01:02:04 - Commodity Super Cycles - a false narrative?
01:09:51 - How Trend Fo…
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GM20: Bitcoin & The Great Power Shift ft. Nathaniel Whittemore
22 juni 2022 · 1 uur 27 min
Nathaniel Whittemore, aka NLW, creator and host on The Breakdown podcast, joins us in today’s episode to discuss the big power shifts and social changes that are taking place in the world right now, the limits of Central Banks to handle inflation, the future of Crypto and how it impacts the social dynamics of society. We also discuss the dark sides of Bitcoin, regulation of the Crypto space and its potential pitfalls and much more. Lees meer
-----
JOIN THE TREND FOLLOWING MANIFESTO BOOK LAUNCH LIST TO GET SPECIAL LOW PRICE ON OUR UPCOMING BOOK DURING THE FIRST WEEK!
- CLICK HERE
-----
Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.
IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.
And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.
Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.
Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com
And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.
Follow Cem on Twitter.
Follow Nathaniel on Twitter.
Episode TimeStamps:
00:00 - Intro
03:05 - How Nathaniel ended up creating The Breakdown
05:30 - Big power shifts taking place right now
08:22 - Is the FED losing control?
18:38 - The future of Crypto
38:19 - The dark sides of Bitcoin
01:02:23 - A Bitcoin liquidation...could it happen?
01:07:13 - Regulating crypto...the pros and the cons
01:25:04 - Final thoughts
Copyright © 2026 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved
----
PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:
1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about
In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I have worked in the Trend Following industry, which I hope you will find useful. Click Here
2. D…
-
SI197: Why Trend Following Works...Especially Now ft. Mark Rzepczynski
19 juni 2022 · 1 uur 15 min
In today’s episode, Mark Rzepczynski joins us to discuss a listener question regarding different ways of adding capital and adjusting position size. We also take a deep dive into the latest research paper from Aspect Capital, which discuss the Great Repricing of Risk and why Trend Following strategies are advantageous in times of crises, dislocation of markets and how shocks in markets affect behaviour and performance. We also talk about the difference between unpredictable and predicable inflation and what this mean for investors, how people may start to lose confidence in the Central Banks and much more. Lees meer
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JOIN THE TREND FOLLOWING MANIFESTO BOOK LAUNCH LIST TO GET SPECIAL LOW PRICE ON OUR UPCOMING BOOK DURING THE FIRST WEEK!
- CLICK HERE
-----
Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.
IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.
And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.
Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.
Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com
And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.
Follow Mark on Twitter.
Episode TimeStamps:
00:00 - Intro
02:33 - Weekly overview
13:24 - Q1, Kyle: How to adjust position size, when adding capital
25:12 - The Great Repricing of Risk...and what this mean for you as an investor
35:25 - The different effects of large market shocks vs. many mini shocks
44:33 - What the future holds and if it will resemble the 1940s or the 1970s
51:44 - Losing confidence in Central Banks...the Micro and Macro impact
01:02:32 - Long term vs short term strategies...which will perform best in a volatile world?
01:11:50 - Industry performance update
Copyright © 2026 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved
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PLUS: Whenever…
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GM19: Brace Yourself for Dramatic Market Moves ft. Peter Atwater
15 juni 2022 · 1 uur 18 min
In today’s episode, Peter Atwater, author and adjunct professor of Economics at William & Mary, joins us to discuss socionomics and why media is a great mirror of mood, how confidence in Central Banks relates to the level of interest rates, “stacked vulnerability” and how it runs the potential of creating exhaustion, inequality and the battle between the top and the bottom of society. We also discuss how the current inflation creates false expectations and why we might see a violent move in market prices, how deglobalization is a consequence of a change in social mood, ways to implement a more confidence driven decision making investment strategy and much more. Lees meer
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JOIN THE TREND FOLLOWING MANIFESTO BOOK LAUNCH LIST TO GET SPECIAL LOW PRICE ON OUR UPCOMING BOOK DURING THE FIRST WEEK!
- CLICK HERE
-----
Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.
IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.
And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.
Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.
Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com
And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.
Follow Cem on Twitter.
Follow Peter on Twitter.
Episode TimeStamps:
00:00 - Intro
03:05 - Peter’s background
05:36 - Why socionomics is important to understand and follow
14:27 - How to determine the Confidence in Central Banks
17:26 - Accumulated exhaustion, what this means
25:35 - Crypto - a betrayal?
37:55 - Expected and Un-Expected Inflation - a sign of Scarcity
46:01 - A potential massive market Cycle Top?
51:33 - Heading towards deglobalization
01:02:54 - Global Fragmentation
01:12:24 - Confident decision making
01:16:21 - Thanks for listening
Copyright © 2026 – CMC AG – All Rig…
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SI196: Where Next for Trend Following? ft. Rob Carver
12 juni 2022 · 1 uur 13 min
Today, Rob Carver joins us to discuss recent events in the world of Trend Following and takes questions from listeners regarding what it takes to do Trend Following full-time and how much capital is needed to do so. We also discuss potential benefits of adding a mean reversion system on a short term time frame and exploring trend following in spreads, what Rob thinks of trading alternative markets, how to mitigate the pain from false breakouts and how to select a universe of stocks to apply your existing rules. Finally, we break down the latest research paper from AHL dealing with the outlook of Trend Following, how Trend Following perform in crisis periods, in periods of rising interest rates and much more. Lees meer
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JOIN THE TREND FOLLOWING MANIFESTO BOOK LAUNCH LIST TO GET SPECIAL LOW PRICE ON OUR UPCOMING BOOK DURING THE FIRST WEEK!
- CLICK HERE
-----
Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.
IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.
And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.
Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.
Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com
And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.
Follow Rob on Twitter.
Episode TimeStamps:
00:00 - Intro
03:14 - Market recap
05:51 - What has caught Rob’s attention recently?
13:35 - Q1, Ben: Going Full-Time a a Trend Follow - How much capital do I need?
22:16 - Q2, Gambit: Should I add a Mean Reversion & Spread Trading model?
31:47 - Q3, Younggotti: Alternative assets and markets - do they help?
36:44 - Q4, FluffyDunny: How to best avoid False Breakouts
39:36 - Q5, Mendel: How to select your universe of stocks to trade
44:37 - AHL Paper: Gaining Momentum - Where Next for Trend Following?
…
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GM18: Boomers, Tax & Deflation ft. Alfonso Peccatiello & Andreas Steno Larsen
8 juni 2022 · 1 uur 11 min
In today’s episode, the dynamic duo Alfonso Peccatiello, aka MacroAlf and Andreas Steno Larsen, join us to discuss all things Macro...from Central Banks and the reasons for the rising inflation, populism and how monetary policy has created inequality. We also get around demographics and how the shrinking labour force poses a threat to the economy, ESG and the impact it has on inflation, how a generational shift in politics can cause a taxation of the boomers, the 4th Turning and key mistakes to avoid as an investor and much more. Lees meer
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JOIN THE TREND FOLLOWING MANIFESTO BOOK LAUNCH LIST TO GET SPECIAL LOW PRICE ON OUR UPCOMING BOOK DURING THE FIRST WEEK!
- CLICK HERE
-----
Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.
IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.
And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.
Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.
Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com
And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.
Follow Cem on Twitter.
Follow Andreas on Twitter.
Follow Alfonso on Twitter.
Episode TimeStamps:
00:00 - Intro
03:15 - Setting the stage for our conversation
07:26 - Current Macro outlook...and how its evolved in recent months
13:47 - Populism & potential for Deflation
28:51 - Demographics & Labour force
53:05 - Central Bank policies
01:03:58 - Key mistakes to avoid
01:10:09 - Wrapping up
Copyright © 2026 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved
----
PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:
1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about
In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I have worked in the Tr…
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SI195: Trend Following 101 ft. Richard Brennan
5 juni 2022 · 1 uur 23 min
Richard Brennan joins us in today’s episode, to discuss all things Trend Following and we take lots of questions from listeners regarding methods for calculating initial stops and trailing stops, how to define and classify Trend Following, programming languages and how CTAs follow their system rules during drawdowns. We also talk about how big the Trend Following industry really is, back testing, risk management and allocating funds to a professional manager and how the TTU Trend Following Index compares to other indices plus much more. Lees meer
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JOIN THE TREND FOLLOWING MANIFESTO BOOK LAUNCH LIST TO GET SPECIAL LOW PRICE ON OUR UPCOMING BOOK DURING THE FIRST WEEK!
- CLICK HERE
-----
Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.
IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.
And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.
Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.
Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com
And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.
Follow Rich on Twitter.
Episode TimeStamps:
00:00 - Intro
02:24 - Weekly highlights
09:24 - Q1, John: Risk Management & Calculating stops
13:31 - Q2, Abe: Outliers, esoteric products - do we need them?
20:53 - Q3, Zach: How to keep following your rules in difficult times?
31:41 - Q4, Troy: How big is the Funds Management industry?
35:54 - Q5, Adam: Allocating to external TF funds, using Filters & much more
01:05:47 - The Unique side of the TTU Trend Following Index
01:19:03 - Industry Performance update
Copyright © 2026 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved
----
PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:
1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about
In my eB…
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GM17: Elon Musk...From Showman to Charlatan ft. Grant Williams
1 juni 2022 · 1 uur 20 min
Today, Grant Williams, creator of The Grant Williams Podcast, joins us to discuss the direction that the world is heading from a global macro perspective, the role of the Federal Reserve and how it has corrupted the price of money. We also touch on how the loss of faith in institutions is a key feature of the Fourth Turning, how inflation impacts inequality and how confidence in the Federal Reserve correlates with the level of interest rates, crypto currencies and the underlying problems of the technology, Central Banking 2.0 and what happens if a Central Bank buys all the bonds in a market, real estate and the potential dangers of the housing sector, the commodity super cycle and how it causes rising interest rates, and the fate and fortune of Elon Musk plus much more. Lees meer
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JOIN THE TREND FOLLOWING MANIFESTO BOOK LAUNCH LIST TO GET SPECIAL LOW PRICE ON OUR UPCOMING BOOK DURING THE FIRST WEEK!
- CLICK HERE
-----
Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.
IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.
And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.
Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.
Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com
And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.
Follow Cem on Twitter.
Follow Grant on Twitter.
Episode TimeStamps:
00:00 - Intro
04:19 - Grant’s background
05:54 - The big global macro picture
16:08 - The role of the Federal Reserve today
25:16 - Inflation...the great equalizer or not
36:09 - Crypto and not so stable coins
44:06 - Central Banking 2.0
58:43 - The danger signs in Real Estate
01:06:58 - The commodity super cycle
01:13:41 - Elon Musk...from Showman to Charlatan
01:19:04 - Thanks for listening
Resources discuss…
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SI194: Trend Following & Manager Selection ft. Alan Dunne
29 mei 2022 · 1 uur 12 min
Today, Alan Dunne joins us to discuss manager selection and how to overcome behavioural biases, based on his paper, “Solving the Manager Selection Puzzle”, narratives and dealing with randomness in Trend Following, the end of the 60/40 portfolio and moving from public to private equity, trend following performance and quantitative investment strategies, trend following in an ever changing world and the expectation of going back to “normal”, the challenges of globalization and demographics and much more. Lees meer
-----
JOIN THE TREND FOLLOWING MANIFESTO BOOK LAUNCH LIST TO GET SPECIAL LOW PRICE ON OUR UPCOMING BOOK DURING THE FIRST WEEK!
- CLICK HERE
-----
Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.
IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.
And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.
Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.
Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com
And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.
Follow Alan on Twitter.
Episode TimeStamps:
00:00 - Intro
02:14 - Summary of the week
11:47 - The Challenges of Manager selection
18:22 - The Influeence of Randomness
25:57 - Alan's own Vulnerability
28:16 - The 5 Step Solution
30:03 - When the honest answer is what investors want to hear
46:42 - The evolution of the 60/40 portfolio - Barrons article
55:51 - Trend following in the Press
01:02:53 - Will we ever go back to "normal"
01:06:11 - The Great Demographic Twist
01:09:00 - Performance Update
Resources discussed in this Episode:
LINK: Solving the Manager Selection Puzzle
Copyright © 2026 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved
----
PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:
1. eBooks that cover key…
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GM16: Central Banking in a De-Globalized World ft. Joseph Wang
25 mei 2022 · 1 uur 11 min
Joseph Wang, former senior FED trader & known as the “Fed Guy”, joins us to discuss the credibility of the FOMC and what drives the neutral rate, Central Bank policies and the consequences of increased divergence, monetary policies and reducing liquidity to address the problems of inflation, de-globalization and how labour is no longer connected to corporate wellness, how the FED and other Central Banks have focused on the wrong things for the last few decades, exorbitant privilege and whether the FED is starting to lose control, safe assets and ways to preserve capital, cryptocurrencies, strength of the Dollar and much more. Lees meer
-----
JOIN THE TREND FOLLOWING MANIFESTO BOOK LAUNCH LIST TO GET SPECIAL LOW PRICE ON OUR UPCOMING BOOK DURING THE FIRST WEEK!
- CLICK HERE
-----
Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.
IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.
And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.
Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.
Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com
And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.
Follow Cem on Twitter.
Follow Joseph on Twitter.
Episode TimeStamps:
00:00 - Intro
03:13 - Joseph’s background
06:34 - Shocking FED Announcement
10:52 - Central Bank policies
14:11 - Monetary policies and liquidity
30:40 - Fed paper suggesting they don't know where Inflation comes from
40:03 - The wider consequences
45:45 - FED losing control?
53:55 - Safe assets and crypto
01:05:01 - What keeps Joseph up at night?
01:09:52 - Thanks for listening
Copyright © 2026 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved
----
PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:
1. eBooks that cover key topics…
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SI193: Nothing But Trend Following ft. Jerry Parker
22 mei 2022 · 1 uur 25 min
Trend Following legend Jerry Parker joins me today, where we answer questions regarding the effectiveness and risks of Richard Dennis’ “Pyramiding” methodology, how single stocks have performed differently than the indices recently, how to most optimally apply breakout systems, how to react to a drastic fall in a market like we saw in LUNA and the difference between performance of short and long trades in non-volatility targeted systems, how to avoid harmful research pursuits and popular ideas that just don’t work, different ways that ownership of a CTA passes on to a new owner, designing systems that gives you a high degree of consistency and much more. Lees meer
-----
JOIN THE TREND FOLLOWING MANIFESTO BOOK LAUNCH LIST TO GET SPECIAL LOW PRICE ON OUR UPCOMING BOOK DURING THE FIRST WEEK!
- CLICK HERE
-----
Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.
IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.
And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.
Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.
Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com
And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.
Follow Jerry on Twitter.
Episode TimeStamps:
00:00 - Intro
06:32 - What has caught Jerry’s attention?
13:34 - Q1, Sascha: The Richard Dennis “Pyramiding” methodology
18:35 - Q2, Jeff: Jerry’s current positioning in single stocks
23:10 - Q3, Louis: Parameter selection for different breakout systems
32:16 - Q4, Adam & Scott: How to deal with a drastic fall in a market like LUNA
41:49 - Q5, Carl: What doesn’t work in Trend Following?
48:34 - Q6, Brian: How to pass on ownership of a CTA Business
53:34 - Designing consistent Trend Following systems
01:09:17 - Trend, trends and no diversification
01:22…
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GM15: The New World Order & Space Race ft. Pippa Malmgren
18 mei 2022 · 1 uur 21 min
Pippa Malmgren, former White House Adviser, technology entrepreneur and economist, joins us in today’s episode to discuss warfare in space and the space race between the super powers and the push to declassify UFO related information, how Pippa stays optimistic in a world of conflict and how the instability threatens Western democracy. We also discuss what we now know about COVID & the Vaccines and how this relates to the FED, how money printing has created a situation of both artificial calm and social unrest, whether China plans to invade Taiwan and what China has learned from the invasion of Ukraine, how the demographics of China and Russia can inhibit their power of action, how the lack of nuance contaminates the public debate and divides the population, the future of democracy and decline of autocracy, innovation and the jobs of tomorrow and much more. Lees meer
-----
JOIN THE TREND FOLLOWING MANIFESTO BOOK LAUNCH LIST TO GET SPECIAL LOW PRICE ON OUR UPCOMING BOOK DURING THE FIRST WEEK!
- CLICK HERE
-----
Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.
IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.
And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.
Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.
Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com
And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.
Follow Cem on Twitter.
Follow Pippa on Twitter.
Episode TimeStamps:
00:00 - Intro
05:26 - Out-sourcing & Off balance sheet government activities
08:05 - Space warfare
15:00 - Optimism in an unstable world
20:00 - The Future of Western democracy
25:10 - Money printing and its consequences
27:55 - The Baltics and separating Germany from the Alliance
33:52 - The prospects of China invading Taiwan…
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SI192: Knowing What You Don't Know ft. Mark Rzepczinsky
15 mei 2022 · 1 uur 11 min
Mark Rzepczynski joins us in today’s episode to discuss inflation and how it threatens the economy, the power and paranoia of Trend Following and how you make the most money as a Trend Follower, what history tells us about common risks and diversification, portfolio construction and whether having more markets gives you better returns, the timing of Trend Following and why you need to have it as a core allocation, how to build the optimal portfolio and why bonds currently may not warrent an allocation, Sci-Fi vs. Fin-Fi and how the FED being behind the curve affects Trend Following, why bond vigilantes are back and much more. Lees meer
-----
JOIN THE TREND FOLLOWING MANIFESTO BOOK LAUNCH LIST TO GET SPECIAL LOW PRICE ON OUR UPCOMING BOOK DURING THE FIRST WEEK!
- CLICK HERE
-----
Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.
IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.
And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.
Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.
Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com
And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.
Follow Mark on Twitter.
Episode TimeStamps:
00:00 - Intro
04:15 - Inflation
09:09 - Trend Following update
13:00 - Trends trends trends
28:49 - Portfolio construction
42:50 - Timing of Trend Following
49:12 - The Optimal Portfolio
55:12 - Sci-Fi vs. Fin-Fi
01:04:16 - China and future growth
01:06:07 - Overview of performance
Copyright © 2026 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved
----
PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:
1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about
In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 …
-
GM14: The Dark Side of Renewable Energy ft. Adam Rozencwajg
11 mei 2022 · 1 uur 17 min
Adam Rozencwajg, Managing Partner at Goehring & Rozencwajg, joins us in today’s episode to discuss ESG policies, the emerging energy crisis, and the new battle between the Climate-Green and the Nature-Green. We also dive into how the energy sector has evolved over time and the dark sides of renewable energy, why Moore’s Law does not apply to wind and solar energy, how cheap energy leads to distortion and malinvestment of energy, how the argument of human extinction skews the energy debate, nuclear energy and how it might be a solution to the climate crisis, how de-globalization has made the energy sector more vulnerable and much more. Lees meer
-----
JOIN THE TREND FOLLOWING MANIFESTO BOOK LAUNCH LIST TO GET SPECIAL LOW PRICE ON OUR UPCOMING BOOK DURING THE FIRST WEEK!
- CLICK HERE
-----
Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.
IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.
And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.
Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.
Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com
And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.
Follow Cem on Twitter.
Follow Adam on LinkedIn.
Episode TimeStamps:
00:00 - Intro
05:12 - Adam’s background & the history of Energy
13:58 - The Dark side of Renewable energy
29:11 - Moore’s Law
36:54 - Malinvestment and creative destruction
44:33 - The renewable energy debate
52:34 - Nuclear energy
01:04:54 - De-globalization and its consequences
01:09:42 - Link between energy prices and GDP
01:13:00 - Rounding off
Resources discussed in this Episode:
Link: History of Energy G&R Video
Copyright © 2026 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved
----
PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your inves…
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SI191: The Flash Crash & Central Banks Screwing Up ft. Richard Brennan
7 mei 2022 · 1 uur 11 min
Today, Richard Brennan joins us to discuss the fragility of the market and what happens if the Central Bank screws up, the current regime and how it benefits Trend Following, volatility targeting and how trending towards equilibrium differs from trending towards transition, how Trend Following has developed over the years, why he always invest in liquid markets, system diversification and how it allows you to expand your market diversification, the weak edge of Trend Following and much more. Lees meer
-----
JOIN THE TREND FOLLOWING MANIFESTO BOOK LAUNCH LIST TO GET SPECIAL LOW PRICE ON OUR UPCOMING BOOK DURING THE FIRST WEEK!
- CLICK HERE
-----
Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.
IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.
And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.
Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.
Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com
And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.
Follow Rich on Twitter.
Episode TimeStamps:
00:00 - Intro
02:32 - Weekly highlights
13:35 - Volatility targeting and continuous systems
38:30 - Researching structural reasons for success
43:30 - System Diversification vs Market Diversification
56:26 - The weak edge of Trend Following
01:07:30 - Performance overview
Copyright © 2026 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved
----
PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:
1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about
In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I have worked in the Trend Following industry, which I hope you will find useful. Click Here
2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score
One o…
-
GM13: The Decline of the Dollar & Prepping for the Worst ft. Izabella Kaminska
4 mei 2022 · 1 uur 32 min
Today, Cem and I are joined by Izabella Kaminska, former Editor of Financial Times Alphaville and Founder of The Blind Spot, to discuss the war of information and mis-information, the aftermath of Covid 19, how the media contributes to a segmentation of society, the group-think phenomenon, how shifts in culture has an impact on economics and how the war between Russia and Ukraine affects the global economy. We also discuss the power balance between the Western and the Russian economy, the dollar standard and the factors that contribute to undermine the dollar, isolationism and what de-globalization will look like, the energy crisis and how ESG is becoming increasingly important and perhaps leading to the rise of nuclear technology and much more. Lees meer
-----
JOIN THE TREND FOLLOWING MANIFESTO BOOK LAUNCH LIST TO GET SPECIAL LOW PRICE ON OUR UPCOMING BOOK DURING THE FIRST WEEK!
- CLICK HERE
-----
Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.
IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.
And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.
Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.
Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com
And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.
Follow Cem on Twitter.
Follow Izabella on Twitter.
Episode TimeStamps:
00:00 - Intro
02:45 - About Izabella and her journey
06:27 - Autocracy vs. Democracy
15:50 - Covid19...the aftermath
22:00 - Media Segmentation Theory
31:34 - 2022 Economics
49:50 - Western vs. Russian economy
56:31 - Shift in commodities
01:07:25 - Deglobalization
01:18:55 - Nuclear technology
01:24:41 - Prepping for the worst
01:28:34 - Rounding off
Copyright © 2026 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved
----
PLUS: Whenever you're rea…
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SI190: Overthinking the Systematic Investment Game ft. Rob Carver
1 mei 2022 · 1 uur 21 min
Today, Rob Carver joins us to discuss what happened in the Trend Following world the past few weeks and takes questions from listeners regarding long/short portfolios and how to choose the right criteria for stock selection, positive and negative skew strategies and why mixing them together can be beneficial, interest rates and what to do with uninvested cash in your trading account, the substance and value of big research teams and whether they are “overthinking” the systematic investment game, asset classes and allocating risk, important differences between a moving average crossover strategy and a breakout strategy and much more. Lees meer
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JOIN THE TREND FOLLOWING MANIFESTO BOOK LAUNCH LIST TO GET SPECIAL LOW PRICE ON OUR UPCOMING BOOK DURING THE FIRST WEEK!
- CLICK HERE
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Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.
IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.
And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.
Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.
Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com
And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.
Follow Rob on Twitter.
Episode TimeStamps:
00:00 - Intro
02:21 - Market recap
04:55 - Update from Rob
14:50 - Q1, Adrian: “Good” criterias for stock selection?
22:32 - Q2, Emre: Arguments for mixing positive/negative skew strategies?
28:12 - Q3, Blink18: What to do with uninvested cash?
33:45 - Q4, Harry Hindsight: What do big research teams really do?
42:38 - Q5, Richard: Should the class level of an instrument be a criteria for inclusion?
48:34 - Q6, Adam: Difference between moving average crossover and breakout strategy?
54:14 - Q7, James: Common methodologies for position size?
57:34 - The Financial plumbing
01:0…
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GM12: WW3 is just the beginning ft. Peter Zeihan
27 april 2022 · 1 uur 19 min
In this episode, Niels and Cem are joined by Peter Zeihan, author and Geopolitical strategist, to discuss the New World Order and World War III, how the Globalization has become a new battleground rather than a barrier to conflict, the role of technology in modern warfare, how the US were able to read Putin's emails and the impact of war on a national and global scale, the military and political power of China, America and Russia and the relationship between them and the rest of the world, how democracy is affected by the “age of emergency”, the financial aspects of war and crises, crypto as a potential economic asset and much more. Lees meer
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JOIN THE TREND FOLLOWING MANIFESTO BOOK LAUNCH LIST TO GET SPECIAL LOW PRICE ON OUR UPCOMING BOOK DURING THE FIRST WEEK!
- CLICK HERE
-----
Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.
IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.
And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.
Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.
Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com
And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.
Follow Cem on Twitter.
Follow Peter on Twitter.
Episode TimeStamps:
00:00 - Intro
04:15 - How we got to the brink of WW3?
09:42 - The role of technology
18:32 - The relationship with China
28:25 - Submarines and the war in Ukraine
40:38 - Age of emergency and the threat to Democracy
47:58 - Autocracy and technology
54:34 - The financial perspective
59:39 - The role of Crypto
01:02:39 - Climate change
01:06:56 - What Investors should do
01:10:42 - The role and future of Governments
01:17:11 - Thanks for listening
Resources discussed in this Episode:
LINK: The End of the World is Just the Beginning
Copyright © 2…
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SI189: A New Era for Currencies ft. Alan Dunne
24 april 2022 · 1 uur 12 min
In today’s episode, Alan Dunne joins us to discuss currency markets and how we might see a new era of volatility in these markets moving forward, de-dollarization and the future prospects of the U.S dollar, recent performance of Trend Following and how it compares historically, insights from Alfred Winslow Jones as featured in the book, “More Money Than God”, portfolio construction techniques for managing risk, the importance of having a plan, long-only commodities vs. a long/short approach and much more. Lees meer
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JOIN THE TREND FOLLOWING MANIFESTO BOOK LAUNCH LIST TO GET SPECIAL LOW PRICE ON OUR UPCOMING BOOK DURING THE FIRST WEEK!
- CLICK HERE
-----
Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.
IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.
And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.
Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.
Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com
And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.
Follow Alan on Twitter.
Episode TimeStamps:
00:00 - Intro
02:16 - Market recap
09:02 - New opportunities in Currency markets
23:57 - Putting Trend Following performance in perspective
33:13 - Insights from “More Money Than God”
40:04 - Fixed income vs. equities...where to hedge against inflation
50:52 - Insights from recent conversations with CIOs
58:49 - Commodities...Long Only or Long/Short
01:09:20 - Overview of performance
Copyright © 2026 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved
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PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:
1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about
In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I have worke…
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GM11: The Billionaires Protocol ft. Dr. Ben Hunt
20 april 2022 · 1 uur 11 min
Today, Niels and Cem are joined by Dr. Ben Hunt, Creator of Epsilon Theory, to discuss how he uses game theory, history and behavioral analysis to understand Narrative and how it is used as a weapon to influence human behaviour, how technology has made us more susceptible to "nudging", how Narrative is used to create more competition, division and inequality, how important it is to recognize “the water in which we swim”, the power of Narrative and control of the media, and how to fight back against autocracy in pursuit of happiness, the Billionaires Protocol and much more! Lees meer
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JOIN THE TREND FOLLOWING MANIFESTO BOOK LAUNCH LIST TO GET SPECIAL LOW PRICE ON OUR UPCOMING BOOK DURING THE FIRST WEEK!
- CLICK HERE
-----
Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.
IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.
And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.
Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.
Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com
And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.
Follow Cem on Twitter.
Follow Ben on Twitter.
Episode TimeStamps:
00:00 - Intro
02:02 - Ben’s background
06:03 - When did Narrative start to become dominant?
16:43 - The nudging competetive state
40:43 - The power of Narrative and “control” of the media
49:24 - How do we fight back?
54:08 - Crypto - a liberation tool?
01:03:28 - Lack of imagination
01:08:28 - Thanks for listening
Resources discussed in this Episode:
LINK: Epsilon Theory
Copyright © 2026 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved
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PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:
1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about
In my eBooks, I put together some ke…
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SI188: Trading with Style ft. Jerry Parker
17 april 2022 · 1 uur 10 min
Jerry Parker joins us in today’s episode, to discuss pros and cons of adding different trading styles to your strategy and how to react when bad periods occur, using borrowed money as part of a systematic trading approach, expected returns of equities, finding the best investment strategy, achieving a high level of consistency in your Trend Following returns, using AI and Machine Learning to predict the future, Divergent Regimes and how they may last a lot longer this time, the geometry of classic Trend Following, what it takes to succeed and much more. Lees meer
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JOIN THE TREND FOLLOWING MANIFESTO BOOK LAUNCH LIST TO GET SPECIAL LOW PRICE ON OUR UPCOMING BOOK DURING THE FIRST WEEK!
- CLICK HERE
In this episode, we discuss:
If it helps adding different styles to your trading strategy
If you should use borrowed money as part of a systematic trading approach
How to find the best investment strategy
How to achieve a high level of consistency in your returns
The use of AI and Machine Learning...does it improve your returns
Divergent Regimes and the end of Carry
The geometry of classic Trend Following
What it takes to succeed
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Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.
IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.
And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.
Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.
Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com
And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.
Follow Jerry on Twitter.
Episode TimeStamps:
00:00 - Intro
05:02 - What’s been on Jerry’s radar?
07:30 - Q1, Isaiah - Add trading styles or stick with the “Trend Following + nothing”?
19:31 - Q2, Nick - About leverage and using borrowed money
25:40 - Jerry's Tweets
38…
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ALO08: Investing like the Rothschild's ft. Hugo Capel Cure
13 april 2022 · 1 uur 1 min
Today, Alan Dunne is joined by Hugo Capel Cure, Managing Director of Rothschild & Co, to discuss how they build strong portfolios for their clients, how rising inflation can affect the markets in a surprising way, how they use CTAs and Trend Followers to mitigate risk, the challenges of staying invested, being a stock and fund picker at the same time, how manager selection is like a dating process and how they differentiate between process and outcome, how they make good decisions as a team, how to act in times of crises, the people who inspired Hugo to become a better investor and much more. Lees meer
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JOIN THE TREND FOLLOWING MANIFESTO BOOK LAUNCH LIST TO GET SPECIAL LOW PRICE ON OUR UPCOMING BOOK DURING THE FIRST WEEK!
- CLICK HERE
In this episode, we discuss:
How to build strong Multi-Asset portfolios for your clients
How using CTAs and Trend Followers can help mitigate risk
How manager selection is like a dating process
How to make good decisions as a team
How to be well prepared for the next crises
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Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.
IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.
And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.
Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.
Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com
And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.
Follow Alan on Twitter.
Follow Hugo on LinkedIn .
Episode TimeStamps:
00:00 - Intro
03:18 - Introduction to Hugo’s work and investing strategy
18:32 - From correlation focused to trading oriented strategies
24:50 - Being allocated to trend followers
28:35 - Challenges of staying invested
30:23 - Being a chef and a critic
39:41 - Making decisions and having a plan
53:09 - People who ha…