Zitron Squeeze

Alle afleveringen

35 afleveringen, van nieuw naar oud

  1. Running Dry

    4 november 2026 · 8 min

    Afspelen
    An AI company can have tens of billions in cash, fast-growing revenue, and still face a financing problem. The question is how long its spending commitments extend beyond the money coming in. Lees meer

    OpenAI’s fundraising

    Anthropic’s commitments and margins

    The infrastructure financing test

    Following the revenue

    What users eventually pay

    Source:

    Ed Zitron's Where's Your Ed At — Running Dry

    This podcast was created with Podkey. Make your own at https://podkey.fm

  2. Exit Liquidity

    29 oktober 2026 · 8 min

    Afspelen
    Anthropic’s revenue is soaring. Its compute costs are rising faster. That gap is a useful place to start asking who’s earning a return on the AI boom, and who’s financing the wait. Lees meer

    Where are the returns?

    Anthropic’s moving financial picture

    The compute bill

    How durable is demand?

    What customers actually pay

    Financing and exit incentives

    Source:

    Ed Zitron's Where's Your Ed At — Exit Liquidity

    This podcast was created with Podkey. Make your own at https://podkey.fm

  3. AI Had Better Work Out

    21 oktober 2026 · 8 min

    Afspelen
    The AI trade has a striking amount riding on a handful of companies. The question is whether the revenue beneath all that spending can catch up. Lees meer

    A concentrated bet

    Where the returns have to come from

    Racks before power

    Debt against unfinished facilities

    Who pays whom

    Who bears the downside

    The missing receipts

    Source:

    Ed Zitron's Where's Your Ed At — AI Had Better Work Out

    This podcast was created with Podkey. Make your own at https://podkey.fm

  4. Annualized Enron Rate

    14 oktober 2026 · 7 min

    Afspelen
    A company can announce a $48 billion annualized revenue run rate in May and report $15.5 billion in revenue for the entire first half of the year. Both figures can be accurate. The trouble starts when we treat them as though they answer the same question. Lees meer

    What a run rate measures

    The customers behind lab revenue

    What compute earns

    The stakes of the buildout

    Source:

    Ed Zitron's Where's Your Ed At — Annualized Enron Rate

    This podcast was created with Podkey. Make your own at https://podkey.fm

  5. Credit Crunch

    7 oktober 2026 · 8 min

    Afspelen
    An AI company can sign a contract for compute years into the future. Someone still has to borrow the money to build the data center, buy the chips, and get the power connected. Lees meer

    The price of money

    When a project needs a lender

    The labs’ financing wall

    Who is buying the compute?

    Risk travels through contracts

    The customer cash-flow test

    Source:

    Ed Zitron's Where's Your Ed At — Credit Crunch

    This podcast was created with Podkey. Make your own at https://podkey.fm

  6. Dead Money

    30 september 2026 · 9 min

    Afspelen
    A GPU can be sold, financed, and counted as AI growth before it ever runs a customer’s workload. How much of this boom survives the trip from purchase order to paid invoice? Lees meer

    Sold chips, usable capacity

    Revenue moving in circles

    Borrowing into the buildout

    The contract underneath the data center

    Customers funded by customers

    The labs at the center

    Source:

    Ed Zitron's Where's Your Ed At — Dead Money

    This podcast was created with Podkey. Make your own at https://podkey.fm

  7. Where're All The AI Chips?

    23 september 2026 · 9 min

    Afspelen
    A gigawatt sounds concrete. So does a GPU sale. Yet neither phrase tells us whether a customer can use that compute today, or whether it is sitting behind an unfinished building, a missing power connection, and a financing promise. Lees meer

    What does capacity actually mean?

    The pile of bought, uninstalled hardware

    Depreciation postpones the bill

    Who is actually buying compute?

    The overbuild question

    GPU demand versus useful demand

    Source:

    Ed Zitron's Where's Your Ed At — Where're All The AI Chips?

    This podcast was created with Podkey. Make your own at https://podkey.fm

  8. AI Is Already In Dangerous Hands

    15 september 2026 · 9 min

    Afspelen
    A model gets pointed at a cybersecurity benchmark, finds a path through somebody else’s infrastructure, and suddenly the story becomes “the AI escaped.” That phrase can obscure the most important question: who built the setup, authorized the access, and watched the system while it ran? Lees meer

    The Hugging Face incident

    Responsibility stays with the deployer

    Safety rhetoric and present harms

    The slowdown problem

    Hype meets public panic

    Legal accountability

    Source:

    Ed Zitron's Where's Your Ed At — AI Is Already In Dangerous Hands

    This podcast was created with Podkey. Make your own at https://podkey.fm

  9. Concentration Risk

    9 september 2026 · 8 min

    Afspelen
    “AGI has arrived” makes a great headline. A trillion dollars of compute commitments makes a much harder spreadsheet. The question hanging over this boom is simple: who ultimately pays for all this capacity, and with what cash flow? Lees meer

    AGI as a moving target

    Revenue concentration behind the boom

    The compute reset wall

    Circularity and the backlog story

    Where end-user demand stands

    What would break the narrative

    Source:

    Ed Zitron's Where's Your Ed At — Concentration Risk

    This podcast was created with Podkey. Make your own at https://podkey.fm

  10. Hyperscale Normalization

    2 september 2026 · 9 min

    Afspelen
    A trillion-dollar technology buildout can look inevitable long before its economics are settled. That gap between the story and the underlying evidence is where this episode lives. Lees meer

    Hypernormalization

    Who Gets Rescued

    Media and the Reality Gap

    AI’s Financial Loop

    Run Rates and Valuations

    Infrastructure and Productivity

    Source:

    Ed Zitron's Where's Your Ed At — Hyperscale Normalization

    This podcast was created with Podkey. Make your own at https://podkey.fm

  11. The AI Hater's Manifesto

    26 augustus 2026 · 10 min

    Afspelen
    A tool that helps debug a crash log can be useful. A trillion-dollar industry built around the promise that it will eventually think, work, and decide for us deserves a far harder audit. The question isn’t whether language models can do anything. It’s whether their demonstrated value matches the certainty, spending, and social pressure surrounding them. Lees meer

    Useful tools and the boundary of judgment

    Outsourcing work versus thought

    The financial story under the hype

    Inference costs and productivity proof

    Growth, power, and human investment

    Future tense and accountability

    The maintenance burden

    Source:

    Ed Zitron's Where's Your Ed At — The AI Hater's Manifesto

    This podcast was created with Podkey. Make your own at https://podkey.fm

  12. What Happens If OpenAI Dies?

    19 augustus 2026 · 9 min

    Afspelen
    The core question here isn’t whether people want AI. It’s whether the biggest AI company can sell more of it without losing even more money. And if the answer is no, that problem doesn’t stay inside one startup. It leaks into cloud giants, chip vendors, lenders, and a whole lot of investor storytelling. Lees meer

    Unsustainable economics

    Compute obligations and circular demand

    Funding constraints

    Run-rate headlines versus durable revenue

    Anthropic, IPO optics, and valuation logic

    What failure would actually look like

    Systemic risk or overheated narrative

    Source:

    Ed Zitron's Where's Your Ed At — What Happens If OpenAI Dies?

    This podcast was created with Podkey. Make your own at https://podkey.fm

  13. Don't Look Up

    12 augustus 2026 · 8 min

    Afspelen
    A lot of the AI story still gets told through stock charts, capex totals, and vibes. The harder question is whether there are enough real customers, at real prices, to justify what everybody is building. Lees meer

    Revenue concentration

    Demand versus capacity

    How the growth story got framed

    Circular financing questions

    What breaks if the labs slow down

    Source:

    Ed Zitron's Where's Your Ed At — Don't Look Up

    This podcast was created with Podkey. Make your own at https://podkey.fm

  14. Premium: The Hater's Guide To NVIDIA (Part 2)

    8 augustus 2026 · 9 min

    Afspelen
    A lot of the AI story gets told as pure technology progress. But if the customers only exist because the vendor helped finance them into existence, you’re not just looking at demand. You’re looking at a system. Lees meer

    The core claim

    What Jensen Huang admitted

    How dependent the neoclouds look

    The financing loop

    Technology versus hype economics

    Why the GE Capital comparison matters

    What this protects and what it risks

    Bottom line

    Source:

    Ed Zitron's Where's Your Ed At — Premium: The Hater's Guide To NVIDIA (Part 2)

    This podcast was created with Podkey. Make your own at https://podkey.fm

  15. News: Microsoft Disclosures Suggest OpenAI Sales Account For Around 70% Of FY26 AI Revenue, More Than 7% of FY26 Revenue

    6 augustus 2026 · 7 min

    Afspelen
    The headline here isn't just that AI is expensive. It's that one customer-partner relationship may already be large enough to shape how we read Microsoft's entire AI business. And once you look at the disclosed revenue mix next to the scale of capital spending, the obvious question is whether this is proof of strength, or a warning about concentration. Lees meer

    What the revenue disclosure actually says

    Why concentration matters

    What this could mean strategically

    The capital spending number

    How to connect the two stories carefully

    What would strengthen either case

    Source:

    Ed Zitron's Where's Your Ed At — News: Microsoft Disclosures Suggest OpenAI Sales Account For Around 70% Of FY26 AI Revenue, More Than 7% of FY26 Revenue

    This podcast was created with Podkey. Make your own at https://podkey.fm

  16. The AI Demand Bubble

    5 augustus 2026 · 8 min

    Afspelen
    A lot of the AI economy starts looking strange once you ask a boring question: who is actually paying for all this? If the answer is basically two companies, then the story shifts from explosive broad demand to concentrated financial dependency. Lees meer

    Revenue concentration

    Capex versus actual demand

    The circular funding question

    Is there real demand beyond the labs

    Disclosure and narrative framing

    Debt, balance sheets, and second-order risk

    Why NVIDIA is part of the same story

    What actually seems most supported

    Source:

    Ed Zitron's Where's Your Ed At — The AI Demand Bubble

    This podcast was created with Podkey. Make your own at https://podkey.fm

  17. The AI Revenue Reality

    1 augustus 2026 · 8 min

    Afspelen
    A lot of the AI conversation is being carried by vibes, projections, and fundraising headlines. The awkward part is that some of the people closest to the data are also admitting the biggest labor-market claims still are not showing up in reality. Lees meer

    AI job impact narratives

    Economic indices and narrative incentives

    Revenue versus funding mismatch

    The scale of commitments

    Infrastructure costs and profitability

    Venture capital exposure

    What actually seems supported

    Source:

    Ed Zitron's Where's Your Ed At — Premium: AI Is Getting Way Too Expensive

    This podcast was created with Podkey. Make your own at https://podkey.fm

  18. The More You Buy, The More You Lose

    29 juli 2026 · 8 min

    Afspelen
    A lot of the AI story still sounds like physics and destiny. But the pressure is showing up somewhere less glamorous: bond spreads, memory prices, lease obligations, and the fact that nobody wants to say exactly how much money this is making. Lees meer

    Blackwell efficiency claims

    The capex mountain

    What bond markets are saying

    The memory cost spiral

    Circular financing and missing foundations

    The startup business model problem

    Opaque revenue and the hype machine

    What could break, and what might not

    Source:

    Ed Zitron's Where's Your Ed At — The More You Buy, The More You Lose

    This podcast was created with Podkey. Make your own at https://podkey.fm

  19. Premium: The Hater’s Guide To Oracle (Part 2)

    25 juli 2026 · 8 min

    Afspelen
    Oracle's story right now sounds simple if you only read the hype: huge AI demand, huge data centers, huge future. The harder question is whether the business underneath that story is actually getting stronger, or whether scale is masking fragility. Lees meer

    The baseline problem

    Free cash flow and what changed

    The AI GPU spending surge

    The OpenAI contract question

    Cerner and the margin mix

    Accounting and the story management problem

    Source:

    Ed Zitron's Where's Your Ed At — Premium: The Hater’s Guide To Oracle (Part 2)

    This podcast was created with Podkey. Make your own at https://podkey.fm

  20. The Subprime Data Center Crisis

    23 juli 2026 · 8 min

    Afspelen
    A lot of the AI story is being told as a technology race. But underneath it, there's a financing story, and that story matters because booms usually break where the money got weird. Lees meer

    Why the CDO comparison exists

    Off-balance-sheet debt and what it hides

    Overbuild versus actual demand

    Customer concentration and contract cliffs

    NVIDIA's backstop and circular demand

    Who ultimately holds the risk

    Why so much money flowed in

    How bad could it get

    Source:

    Ed Zitron's Where's Your Ed At — The Subprime Data Center Crisis

    This podcast was created with Podkey. Make your own at https://podkey.fm

  21. The OpenAI Bubble

    16 juli 2026 · 10 min

    Afspelen
    The core claim here is bigger than one startup maybe overspending on GPUs. It’s that OpenAI has become the story holding together a huge chain of spending, lending, construction, and stock-market optimism, and if that story breaks, a lot of supposedly separate bets may turn out to be the same bet. Lees meer

    The load-bearing narrative

    OpenAI’s spending and obligations

    Who actually holds the risk

    Oracle as the sharpest edge

    Memory chips and knock-on inflation

    Phantom deals and media amplification

    SoftBank and the funding chain

    Anthropic as a mirror image

    What would actually happen in a failure

    Source:

    Ed Zitron's Where's Your Ed At — The OpenAI Bubble

    This podcast was created with Podkey. Make your own at https://podkey.fm

  22. Premium: The Hater's Guide To The Memory Crisis

    11 juli 2026 · 9 min

    Afspelen
    A lot of AI spending gets talked about like it's abstract, inevitable, almost weightless. Then you look at memory costs, who controls supply, and how much of this buildout depends on debt, and suddenly the whole thing looks much more fragile. Lees meer

    Why memory changes the math

    Concentration and the collusion question

    NVIDIA as the demand center

    The hyperscaler spending loop

    What a pullback would actually break

    Consumers eventually pay

    What holds up best

    Source:

    Ed Zitron's Where's Your Ed At — Premium: The Hater's Guide To The Memory Crisis

    This podcast was created with Podkey. Make your own at https://podkey.fm

  23. Let AI Burn

    8 juli 2026 · 9 min

    Afspelen
    The hard question here isn't whether generative AI is impressive. It's whether the money pouring into it reflects durable demand, or a financing loop mistaking spend for traction. Lees meer

    The core bubble thesis

    Weak commercial demand

    GPUs, data centers, and overbuild

    Private credit and hidden exposure

    SoftBank and concentrated bets

    Too big to fail, or just very expensive

    AGI narratives and fandom

    What a bust would actually hit

    Source:

    Ed Zitron's Where's Your Ed At — Let AI Burn

    This podcast was created with Podkey. Make your own at https://podkey.fm

  24. Premium: The Hater's Guide To SoftBank

    7 juli 2026 · 8 min

    Afspelen
    SoftBank’s story sounds simple if you hear it fast enough: huge AI exposure, huge upside, visionary founder. Slow it down and the real question is whether that upside can arrive before the financing pressure does. Lees meer

    The structure problem

    How much debt really matters

    What the market is signaling

    The OpenAI wager

    Vision Fund track record

    NAV versus the goose

    Masayoshi Son's pattern

    Source:

    Ed Zitron's Where's Your Ed At — Premium: The Hater's Guide To SoftBank

    This podcast was created with Podkey. Make your own at https://podkey.fm

  25. The AI Industry Is Losing

    1 juli 2026 · 9 min

    Afspelen
    A lot of the AI story still gets told like demand is infinite and financing is somebody else's problem. The more interesting question is what happens if the spending assumptions are even a little bit wrong. Lees meer

    The trillion-dollar premise

    Are data centers being overbuilt

    What AI revenue actually means

    OpenAI and Anthropic economics

    Oracle and SoftBank concentration risk

    Monetization versus infrastructure spend

    Systemic risk and second-order effects

    The human cost of always-on AI

    Source:

    Ed Zitron's Where's Your Ed At — The AI Industry Is Losing

    This podcast was created with Podkey. Make your own at https://podkey.fm

  26. Premium: Notes From The Bubble, Volume 1

    27 juni 2026 · 8 min

    Afspelen
    A lot of tech right now feels like people acting out the shape of innovation without the substance underneath it. You can see the same pattern across AI branding, strange product launches, and giant partnerships that sound important before you ask what problem they're actually solving. Lees meer

    Cargo-cult innovation

    AI hype and the search for a story

    Side bets that look like signals

    PR narratives versus actual strategy

    Executive detachment and product judgment

    What actually follows from all this

    Source:

    Ed Zitron's Where's Your Ed At — Premium: Notes From The Bubble, Volume 1

    This podcast was created with Podkey. Make your own at https://podkey.fm

  27. Cargo Culture

    24 juni 2026 · 9 min

    Afspelen
    A lot of tech stories right now ask you to trust the scale before you understand the product. Billions in GPUs, endless token burn, weird hardware demos, and growth metrics that sound huge until you ask what actually got better. Lees meer

    Cargo-cult AI spending

    AI token loops

    Financial opacity and cost shifting

    SaaS slowdown and monetization rot

    VC drift and zombie companies

    Product theater and founder mode

    The hype loop in tech media

    Source:

    Ed Zitron's Where's Your Ed At — Cargo Culture

    This podcast was created with Podkey. Make your own at https://podkey.fm

  28. Premium: The Silicon Valley Bubble (Part 2)

    20 juni 2026 · 9 min

    Afspelen
    There are two stories around AI right now. One is that the future is arriving at godlike speed. The other is that a lot of this depends on accounting, incentives, and people being too emotionally invested to ask basic questions. Lees meer

    OpenAI financials

    The pseudo-cult problem

    Hype, doom, and inevitability

    The infinite-growth promise

    Sub-bubbles feeding each other

    What actually holds up

    Source:

    Ed Zitron's Where's Your Ed At — Premium: The Silicon Valley Bubble (Part 2)

    This podcast was created with Podkey. Make your own at https://podkey.fm

  29. Exclusive: OpenAI Losses Increased Nearly 8X in 2025, With Spending Hitting $34 Billion

    16 juni 2026 · 8 min

    Afspelen
    A $38.5 billion loss sounds like catastrophe until you ask what kind of loss it actually was. With OpenAI's 2025 numbers, the most important question isn't whether the figure is big. It's what inside that figure reflects the business, and what reflects a one-time accounting shock. Lees meer

    The headline number

    Why the conversion changed everything

    What the operating business looks like

    Microsoft, SoftBank, and dependence

    The cash cushion and the real risk

    What holds up and what doesn't

    Source:

    Ed Zitron's Where's Your Ed At — Exclusive: OpenAI Losses Increased Nearly 8X in 2025, With Spending Hitting $34 Billion

    This podcast was created with Podkey. Make your own at https://podkey.fm

  30. AI's Brokenomics

    16 juni 2026 · 9 min

    Afspelen
    One story here looks like safety theater colliding with geopolitics. The other looks like a business model colliding with arithmetic. Lees meer

    Anthropic breach and export controls

    Tokenomics and the pricing crisis

    Corporate cost discipline arrives

    Open source alternatives and market structure

    Silicon Valley monoculture

    Source:

    Ed Zitron's Where's Your Ed At — AI's Brokenomics

    This podcast was created with Podkey. Make your own at https://podkey.fm

  31. Premium: The Silicon Valley Bubble (Part 1)

    13 juni 2026 · 9 min

    Afspelen
    An OpenAI IPO sounds like a simple milestone story until you put the financing next to the spending. Then it stops looking like a normal growth company and starts looking like a test of how much strain the market will absorb for AI. Lees meer

    OpenAI and public-market pressure

    Anthropic's financing structure

    Recursive self-improvement as an explanation

    The AI bubble and the Rot-Com theory

    Why venture capital changed

    What actually holds up

    Source:

    Ed Zitron's Where's Your Ed At — Premium: The Silicon Valley Bubble (Part 1)

    This podcast was created with Podkey. Make your own at https://podkey.fm

  32. AI Is Slowing Down

    9 juni 2026 · 9 min

    Afspelen
    The core question here isn't whether AI is useful. It's whether the industry's spending plans make any economic sense at the scale being promised. And once you look at the debt, the token billing, and the revenue assumptions together, the stress points start to line up. Lees meer

    Compute commitments versus plausible revenue

    Data center debt and the financing bottleneck

    Token billing, visibility, and vendor incentives

    Internal token burn and ROI scrutiny

    Workforce strain and the human layer

    The coming exposé and what to watch

    Source:

    Ed Zitron's Where's Your Ed At — AI Is Slowing Down

    This podcast was created with Podkey. Make your own at https://podkey.fm

  33. Premium: The Hater's Guide To The AI Bubble 3.0

    6 juni 2026 · 8 min

    Afspelen
    The loudest AI story says inevitability: massive demand, massive disruption, massive value. The quieter story is about losses, subsidies, weird billing, concentrated customers, and a lot of people treating demos like proof. Lees meer

    Manufactured hype

    Financial reality

    Token billing and enterprise reality

    Hallucinations and task limits

    Compute overbuild and NVIDIA exposure

    Job displacement claims

    Source:

    Ed Zitron's Where's Your Ed At — Premium: The Hater's Guide To The AI Bubble 3.0

    This podcast was created with Podkey. Make your own at https://podkey.fm

  34. AI Doesn't Have ROI

    3 juni 2026 · 8 min

    Afspelen
    A lot of the AI argument right now comes down to a weird mismatch. The public story is abundance, efficiency, and inevitability. The financial story looks a lot murkier once you ask who pays, what gets measured, and whether any of it actually holds up without subsidies. Lees meer

    ROI and the accountability problem

    Token billing reveals the real price

    Why subscriptions look fragile

    Compute costs are not falling the way the story says

    Is this worse than Dot Com

    Dark output and the job replacement story

    What leadership still hasn't answered

    Source:

    Ed Zitron's Where's Your Ed At — AI Doesn't Have ROI

    This podcast was created with Podkey. Make your own at https://podkey.fm

  35. Premium: What If...We're In An AI Bubble? (Part 3)

    30 mei 2026 · 9 min

    Afspelen
    A trillion dollars in GPUs sounds like inevitability until you ask who is actually using them, where they’re going, and how any of this gets paid back. The interesting question isn’t whether AI is real. It’s whether the current scale story survives contact with construction timelines, customer concentration, and basic unit economics. Lees meer

    NVIDIA demand versus installed reality

    Construction bottlenecks and the backlog problem

    Revenue concentration in AI

    Cash burn and the path to profitability

    Token billing and ROI opacity

    Credit markets and supply-chain exposure

    What holds up and what doesn't

    Source:

    Ed Zitron's Where's Your Ed At — Premium: What If...We're In An AI Bubble? (Part 3)

    This podcast was created with Podkey. Make your own at https://podkey.fm