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32 afleveringen, van nieuw naar oud
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Inside the Iran War: What Gulf Leaders Really Think of Washington with Jonny Gannon
28 oktober 2026 · 52 min
On this episode of Intel at the Edge, host Chip Usher sits down with Jonny Gannon, a 26-year CIA veteran who served as a case officer, worked in war zones, and twice held the role of chief of station. Gannon is one of the leading experts on Iran and the Gulf states. Lees meer
They discuss the Iran war as the US moves forces back into the region and embassies across the GCC are on ordered departure. Gannon explains how he expects Tehran to respond, why economic pain is at the center of Iran’s strategy, and whether renewed military pressure can bring the regime back to the table.
Intel at the Edge Podcast is a product of the Special Competitive Studies Project.
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Governing AI in the Intelligence Community, with Brian Drake
7 oktober 2026 · 38 min
On this episode of Intel at the Edge, host Chip Usher talks with Brian Drake, former Chief AI Officer at the Defense Intelligence Agency and current Federal CTO at Accrete AI. They discuss how intelligence agencies should govern the AI systems they are rushing to deploy.
Drawing from an early counter-fentanyl project, Drake reflects on how his mentor shifted from skepticism to seeing an ethical imperative for AI in intelligence. He breaks down the distinction between enterprise and retail AI, explains how machines capture tacit knowledge, and warns why over-reliance on generative AI for writing risks eroding analysts' critical thinking. Lees meerDrake also makes the case for a calibrated approach to automating the targeting cycle, argues why the IC is "taking a knee" when it should be moving faster, and offers actionable guidance for policymakers, the DNI, and the next generation of intelligence professionals.
Intel at the Edge Podcast is a product of the Special Competitive Studies Project.
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AI as the Sixth Intelligence Discipline: Rethinking Analytic Tradecraft with Kendrick Escobar
23 september 2026 · 40 min
Host Chip Usher sits down with Kendrick Escobar — former intelligence officer, founder of MAIK AI, and author of AI as the Sixth Intelligence Discipline — to explore how generative AI is reshaping the craft of intelligence analysis. Kendrick lays out his three-phase framework for AI's evolving role (tool, intelligence discipline, and peer), explains why AI-generated outputs deserve to be treated as a distinct new source of intelligence alongside SIGINT, HUMINT, and OSINT, and makes the case that AI agents will eventually function as true "digital peers" rather than mere tools. Lees meer
The conversation digs into tradecraft for evaluating AI outputs, how mentorship — not prompting — will define the analyst's future role, the persistent challenge of hallucinations, and who ultimately bears responsibility when an AI-assisted product fails. A candid look at where human judgment still matters most as the intelligence community adapts to an AI-augmented future.
Intel at the Edge Podcast is a product of the Special Competitive Studies Project.
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From Light Tables to AI: Shelby Pierson on the Future of Imagery Analysis
9 september 2026 · 43 min
In this episode of Intel at the Edge, host Chip Usher sits down with Shelby Pierson, former Director for Analysis at the National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency (NGA). Lees meer
Shelby joined the intelligence community in 1999 as an imagery analyst and rose through the ranks — working Iraq ground forces analysis, denial and deception, election security as the DNI's lead, and ultimately serving as NGA's Director of Analysis.
Shelby recently authored "Sensing the Threat: Operationalizing Computer Vision for Intelligence and Warfighting," and in this conversation she unpacks how AI and computer vision are reshaping the discipline — from the days of physical light tables and film to today's data deluge of commercial, national, and airborne collection.
Topics covered include:
- Her path into the CIA and career highlights, including Operation Iraqi Freedom
- How the analyst's job has evolved from imagery exploitation to "data creation"
- The origins of computer vision in GEOINT, from change detection to Project Maven
- Why analyst staffing hasn't kept pace with the data explosion
- Where human judgment and tradecraft still matter most
- How today's crises move faster than the 13-day Cuban Missile Crisis timeline — and what that means for AI-assisted decision-making
- Pushing AI compute to the edge — including onboard satellites in orbit
- Her advice for the next generation of imagery analysts🎧 Listen and subscribe for more conversations on how emerging technology is reshaping intelligence, defense, and national security.
00:00 - Introduction: Shelby Pierson & "Sensing the Threat"
01:05 - Shelby's Path into the Intelligence Community
02:29 - Early Career: Iraq, Denial & Deception, and Working with Engineers
05:03 - From NIM for Russia to Director of Analysis at NGA
05:30 - The Light Table Era vs. Today's Desktop Analysis
07:40 - The Data Deluge: Scale of Modern Imagery Collection
08:37 - Integration: How Analyst Workload Has Changed
09:26 - Staffing Hasn't Kept Pace with the … -
Beyond LLMs: How Jumptuit's Don Leka Is Building AI for the Physical World
26 augustus 2026 · 35 min
In this episode of Intel at the Edge, host Chip Usher sits down with Don Leka, Founder and CEO of Jumptuit, to explore a different kind of artificial intelligence — one built not on text, but on real-time data from the physical world. Lees meer
Don shares his journey from building the Glide OS cloud platform in 2004, to founding Jumptuit, a company using a large dynamic reasoning model to track physical-world signals — from shipping movements and port activity to refinery output and geopolitical indicators — in near real time.
The conversation covers:
- Why Jumptuit's approach differs fundamentally from large language models
- How cross-sector data intersections can reveal probable events before they happen
- Using comparative, causal, and analogical reasoning to forecast geopolitical and economic shifts
- Case studies: Russia's GDP resilience despite sanctions, shifting oil demand, and instability in Niger and Albania
- What the intelligence community could gain from live, empirical, physical-world data
- A must-listen for anyone interested in AI, geopolitical forecasting, and the future of intelligence analysis beyond large language models.
0:00 Intro: AI Beyond LLMs & Meet Don Leka
1:16 Don Leka's Background & Building Glide OS (2004)
3:17 How Jumptuit's Approach Differs from ChatGPT & LLMs
5:10 What Data Jumptuit Collects (Persian Gulf Example)
9:50 Open Source Data & Cross-Sector Event Thresholds
10:48 Case Study: Operation Epic Fury & Iran War Assumptions
13:42 Large Dynamic Reasoning Model as Predictive Analytics Tool
16:16 Lessons from the Arab Spring & Traditional Intelligence Gaps
17:39 Why Historical Data Alone Misleads Forecasting
18:42 Case Study: Russia's GDP Resilience Despite Sanctions
21:10 Persian Gulf Tensions, Oil Prices & China's Reduced Demand
22:23 Ripple Effects: Japan, Albania & Global Instability
23:55 Is It the Data or the Algorithm? The "Secret Sauce"
24:40 Why LLMs Struggle with Outdated, Narrative-Based Data
26:25 Can Jump…
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Narrative Intelligence: How Adversaries Weaponize Stories with Joe Stradinger
12 augustus 2026 · 37 min
Narrative intelligence is emerging as one of the intelligence community's most important new disciplines — and few people understand it better than Joe Stradinger. Lees meer
In this episode of Intel at the Edge, Joe Stradinger — founder of Edge Theory and creator of the National Center for Narrative Intelligence in Oxford, Mississippi — joins Chip to break down what narrative intelligence actually is, how it differs from traditional social media monitoring, and why he believes it's become a central front in modern cognitive warfare.
They cover:
• Joe's path from CPA to early internet entrepreneur to national security advisor
• What "narrative intelligence" means and how it's detected, classified, and measured
• The concept of "intercontinental ballistic narratives" and how adversary messaging spreads over time
• How China, Russia, and other actors exploit real-world events to sow division
• Washington's growing (but still unsettled) response to cognitive warfare
• Why storytelling — from Joe's Mississippi Delta roots to America's own national narrative — may be the most powerful (and underused) tool in this fight
Whether you work in national security, business, or just want to better understand how information shapes belief and behavior, this conversation offers a rare look inside a discipline that's quietly reshaping how the U.S. thinks about influence, deterrence, and truth.
00:00 Intro
00:44 Joe's background & how he got into this space
03:12 Mississippi, storytelling, and why fiction is a weapon
05:04 What is narrative intelligence?
09:06 Tracking narratives over time (the CCP example)
13:21 Case study: the data center narrative war
17:29 How AI has collapsed the influence chain
18:40 Case study: Iran's Hollywood-style war narratives
21:14 Attribution: tracing a narrative back to its source
24:22 Federal vs. commercial — why U.S. citizens are never targeted
26:53 Real-world exploits: Baltimore Bridge, Silicon Valley Bank
27:41 The new NSC role & "put…
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Iran's Nuclear Program: "Down But Not Out" with Amy McAuliffe
29 juli 2026 · 34 min
Four and a half months into the Iran war, what's actually left of Iran's nuclear program — and what would it take to keep it that way? Lees meer
In this episode of Intel at the Edge, host Chip Usher sits down with Amy McAuliffe, who recently retired from the CIA as the Assistant Director for Weapons and Counter Proliferation. Amy also served as Chairman of the National Intelligence Council and Assistant Director of CIA for the Near East.
Amy breaks down:
· Why she describes Iran's program as "down but not out" after the June 2025 and 2026 strikes on Natanz and Fordow
· The uncertainty around Iran's 60%-enriched uranium stockpile and where it may be located
· The impact of losing key nuclear scientists — and how much technical knowledge Iran has actually retained
· How the death of Supreme Leader Khamenei and the rise of new IRGC leadership could shift Iran's calculus toward weaponization
· What a credible future nuclear deal would need to include, from enrichment caps to IAEA verification
· Whether a purely military solution can ever fully resolve the nuclear question
· Her advice for young people considering a career in the U.S. intelligence community
Intel at the Edge Podcast is a product of the Special Competitive Studies Project.
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Kimi K3: What China's Latest Model Means for the US with David Lin
28 juli 2026 · 25 min
Kimi K3, China's largest open-weight AI model yet, just hit the public — and it's rewriting the terms of the US-China AI race. In this emergency episode, host Chip Usher sits down with David Lin, Senior Director for Tech Platforms at SCSP and CIA veteran, to unpack what K3's release really signals. Lees meer
They dig into how the competition has shifted from a simple US-vs-China contest into a two-axis battle of open weights vs. closed weights, why K3 dropped right alongside Xi Jinping's World AI Conference speech, the eye-popping cost gap between K3 and frontier US models, and the question of large-scale model distillation and IP theft.
They close out with a look at Nvidia's Jensen Huang and a growing coalition of US companies pushing back against a closed-weight future. It's a fast-moving landscape — and this conversation captures exactly where things stand today.
00:00 — Intro: Kimi K3 drops
01:20 — What K3 is and how it compares
03:18 — Open weights vs. closed weights
07:14 — Beijing's role and export controls
12:42 — Security risks of open weights
15:32 — Distillation and IP theft
21:22 — Nvidia and the US open-weight push
24:25 — Closing thoughts
Intel at the Edge Podcast is a product of the Special Competitive Studies Project.
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How Agentic AI is Enabling A New Industry: Intelligence-As-A-Service with Ansel Stein
15 juli 2026 · 40 min
In this episode of “Intel at the Edge”, Chip Usher sits down with Ansel Stein, Vice President of Operations at Crisis24 and a former CIA analyst, to explore how artificial intelligence is reshaping the way private-sector companies access intelligence analysis. Lees meer
Stein discusses how Crisis24 is delivering AI-generated intelligence directly to corporate C-suites — from geopolitical risk to tailored daily briefings built on a company's own institutional knowledge. The conversation digs into the tradecraft behind the tools: how intelligence community standards are codified into AI systems, how human oversight fits into an AI-driven analytic process, and how self-improving models are changing the relationship between analysts and decision-makers.
Ansel and Chip also look ahead to how this "intelligence-as-a-service" model might eventually influence government intelligence organizations, and why deep organizational context and culture will remain a human differentiator even as raw intelligence becomes cheaper and more democratized through AI.
0:00 – Introduction
0:46 – Welcome, Ansel Stein
1:12 – Ansel's path from government to Crisis24
2:32 – Why join a company at the intersection of intel and AI
3:48 – What Crisis24 delivers
6:39 – Serving private-sector clients
6:56 – Tailoring intelligence for corporate use
8:46 – Intelligence-as-a-service for the C-suite
10:13 – How AI-generated analysis works
10:40 – Where's the human in the loop?
12:14 – The National Intelligence Priorities Framework
15:23 – Intelligence Community Directives and analytic standards
16:13 – Codifying tradecraft into AI systems
17:44 – Real-world example: a global executive's daily briefing
18:28 – Building in company-specific expertise
19:43 – Trust and adoption among clients
22:11 – Self-improving AI systems
24:27 – Speed, scale, and organizational accountability
26:15 – Correcting AI mistakes and shifting analytic lines
26:42 – Data ownership and client control
29:26 – Educati…
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Why America Stopped Thinking About the Future with Ari Wallach
6 juli 2026 · 39 min
Futurist Ari Wallach joins Intel at the Edge to discuss why the U.S. government canceled its long-range forecasting program — and what it costs us. From scenario planning and megatrends to AI, loneliness, and narrative warfare, Wallach makes the case for embedding foresight into how America thinks and acts. Lees meer
Wallach is the founder of Long Path Labs and the former host of the PBS television series A Brief History of the Future. He has advised the Department of State, the United Nations Refugee Agency, and consulted on strategic foresight — the discipline of mapping not just what is likely to happen, but what could happen, and how to recognize the early signals that tell you which future is taking shape.
Intel at the Edge Podcast is a product of the Special Competitive Studies Project.
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Inside the US-UK Intelligence Partnership with Gen. Tim Haugh & Sir Jeremy Fleming
17 juni 2026 · 39 min
In this episode of “Intel at the Edge”, former NSA Director General Tim Haugh and former GCHQ Director Sir Jeremy Fleming sit down for a rare, candid conversation about one of the most consequential intelligence relationships in the world. From the wartime roots at Bletchley Park to the age of AI and quantum computing, they explore how the US-UK signals intelligence alliance has evolved over 80+ years — and what it must do to stay ahead of an increasingly complex threat landscape. Lees meer
Topics covered: The origins of the NSA-GCHQ SIGINT partnership How AI is transforming intelligence work China, cyber threats, and the scale of modern adversaries Space, climate change, and emerging national security domains The critical role of private sector partnerships Advice for the next generation of intelligence leaders
Intel at the Edge Podcast is a product of the Special Competitive Studies Project.
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Why Supply Chain Blind Spots Are a National Security Problem with Brandon Daniels
3 juni 2026 · 34 min
From rare earth minerals to nitrocellulose, Exiger CEO Brandon Daniels warns that invisible vulnerabilities in America's supply chains pose serious national security risks. He also makes the case for smarter public-private partnerships and AI-driven tools to close the gap before adversaries exploit it. Lees meer
Recorded at the AI+ Expo, Daniels draws on his experience leading one of the world's most advanced supply chain intelligence platforms to argue that the U.S. must move beyond reactive policy and invest in proactive visibility. Additionally, he shares a candid and measured assessment of where generative AI stands today — acknowledging its promise for workforce augmentation while cautioning that complex, large-scale applications still require significant human engineering talent.
Topics: National Security, Critical Minerals, Public-Private Partnerships, China Competition, Supply Chain Resilience
Intel at the Edge Podcast is a product of the Special Competitive Studies Project.
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How Israel uses AI for Intelligence & Why It's Not Enough with Amos Lahav
20 mei 2026 · 30 min
In this episode of "Intel at the Edge", host Chip Usher is joined by Amos Lahav, founder of Airis Labs, to examine one of the most consequential questions in modern defense: what happens when AI becomes the backbone of intelligence collection and battlefield targeting? Drawing on hard lessons from the October 7th intelligence failure, the rise of systems like Gospel, and the growing threat of adversarial AI, Lahav offers a firsthand account of how the technology is changing — and sometimes failing — the people who depend on it most. Lees meer
Intel at the Edge Podcast is a product of the Special Competitive Studies Project.
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Is AI Actually Useful for Intelligence Analysis? with Wayne McCool & Bruce Frost
22 april 2026 · 33 min
Two senior CIA veterans — Wayne McCool, former Associate Deputy Director for Analysis, and Bruce Frost of "Rhombus Power" — cut through the hype. They discuss how AI is being used inside the intelligence community today, what the real limitations are, and what the future of all-source analysis looks like. Lees meer
0:00:10 — Introduction & Context
0:01:24 — Panel Introductions: Wayne McCool & Bruce Frost
0:02:28 — AI as a "Silver Bullet"? Where It's Delivering Real Value
0:05:39 — Rhombus Power's Approach: Empowering the Analyst
0:06:55 — Predicting Threats: Undersea Cables & Satellites
0:08:20 — Building Trust in AI: Human-in-the-Loop at CIA
0:09:48 — Experiment Widely, Adopt Specifically
0:11:09 — The Sourcing Problem: Can You Cite AI in Intelligence Products?
0:13:02 — Trust & Model Auditability: A Decade-Long Journey
0:14:26 — Defining Good Analysis in an AI-Augmented World
0:15:56 — Speed to Insight & the Data Overload Problem
0:18:09 — The Repeatability Problem with LLMs
0:19:32 — Retrieval-Augmented Generation & Managing Hallucinations
0:21:12 — Analyst Skepticism as a Core Tradecraft Skill
0:22:43 — Curating Data: Giving Analysts Control Over Outputs
0:24:39 — The Human Side: Will AI Replace Analyst Expertise?
0:25:46 — Automation Bias & the Risk of Eroding Critical Thinking
0:27:46 — How AI Is Changing the Editing & Review Process
0:29:07 — The Future Role of the Reviewer
0:29:52 — AI as a Training & Feedback Tool for Junior Analysts
0:31:09 — What Does the Analytic Team of the Future Look Like?
0:32:06 — Closing Thoughts & Final Takeaways
Intel at the Edge Podcast is a product of the Special Competitive Studies Project.
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FISA Section 702 with Brett Freeman
8 april 2026 · 49 min
FISA Section 702 is one of the most powerful — and controversial — surveillance laws in the United States. It allows the U.S. intelligence community to collect electronic communications from foreign targets passing through American company infrastructure, without a traditional warrant. Lees meer
In this episode, we sit down with Brett Freeman, a former attorney at the NSA, the National Counterterrorism Center, and the Department of Justice's National Security Division, who has spent years briefing the White House and Congress on exactly how this law works.
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00:00:09 - Introduction: What is FISA Section 702?
00:01:47 - Guest Introduction: Brett Freeman
00:02:00 - Brett's Background & Career in Intelligence Law
00:04:16 - FISA 101: The History of the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act
00:05:16 - How FISA Worked Before 9/11
00:06:13 - How 9/11 & the Internet Changed Everything
00:42:26 - The Reauthorization Debate in Congress
00:43:34 - Trump Administration's Stance on 702
00:44:31 - What a Clean vs. Reformed Reauthorization Means
00:45:30 - How Many Times Can 702 Be Reformed Before It Breaks?
00:47:44 - The Role of Sunset Clauses in National Security Law
00:49:06 - Artificial Intelligence & FISA Section 702
00:52:07 - Closing Remarks
Intel at the Edge Podcast is a product of the Special Competitive Studies Project.
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Inside Beijing's Strategy: The Trump-Xi Summit, Taiwan & the Tech War with Chris Johnson
25 maart 2026 · 33 min
With the Trump-Xi summit approaching, former CIA senior China analyst Chris Johnson joins “Intel at the Edge” to give an unvarnished assessment of Beijing's priorities, Xi Jinping's mindset, and how China is navigating an increasingly unpredictable America. Lees meer
Chris draws on over two decades in the US intelligence and foreign affairs communities to explain what Xi really wants from this summit, how the rare earth standoff reshaped the bilateral relationship, and why China's long-term focus is breaking America's technological chokehold — not winning a diplomatic photo op.
00:00 - Introduction & Guest Bio
01:35 - How Important Is the Summit to Xi Jinping?
03:17 - Xi's Real Goal: Stability Over Diplomacy
04:41 - How Beijing Is Briefing Xi on Trump
05:01 - Xi's Gamble: The Rare Earth Sword & Staring Trump Down
06:07 - The Other Side: US Hegemonism Is on the Prowl
07:13 - The Wounded Animal: How Beijing Reads America Right Now
07:37 - Xi's Play: Buy Trump Off & Wait Him Out
20:10 - What Xi Will Put on the Table on Taiwan
21:18 - Xi's Real Priority: Breaking the Semiconductor Chokehold
26:14 - Summit Timing & Xi's Return Visit Window
27:02 - The Atmospherics: How China Stages These Meetings
28:20 - Trump Treats Xi as an Equal — And Xi Knows It
28:40 - "Trump Sees Xi as a Badass"
29:57 - How Confident Is Beijing About Winning the Long Game?
30:21 - Short Term Confident, Long Term Uncertain
31:22 - China's Real Problems: Demographics, Debt & the Economy
32:31 - What Keeps Xi Up at Night
32:53 - Closing Remarks
Intel at the Edge Podcast is a product of the Special Competitive Studies Project.
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China’s Greatest Heist: How Beijing Stole America’s Technology with Andrew Badger
11 maart 2026 · 49 min
China didn’t just compete with the United States — it harvested America’s innovation. In this episode of “Intel at the Edge” Andrew Badger joins Chip Usher to discuss The Great Heist — the story of how China used industrial espionage, talent recruitment, and a whole-of-society strategy to leapfrog the U.S. in critical technologies. Lees meer
From AI and hypersonic missiles to semiconductor manufacturing and electric vehicles, this conversation explores:
• How China turned WTO entry into a collection apparatus
• The rise of the Ministry of State Security’s global network
• The Tesla “billion-dollar thumb drive” case
• Hypersonic and the Los Alamos connection
• Why economic security is national security
• What the U.S. intelligence community must do differently
If the 20th century was about military dominance, the 21st century is about technological power. The question is not whether China is competing — it’s whether America is prepared.
00:00 Intro – The Great Heist
02:20 From DIA to Industrial Espionage
03:15 WTO 2000: The Turning Point
06:25 The “Kaspersky Doctrine” Strategy
08:10 The Most Consequential Economic Heist in History
10:30 China’s Whole-of-Society Intelligence Model
13:20 Sun Tzu & The Cultural Mindset Behind Espionage
17:40 The Cost: $600–800 Billion a Year
21:05 The Tesla “Billion-Dollar Thumb Drive”
22:45 Hypersonic & The Los Alamos Connection
25:15 “We Let Them Do It” – Strategic Distraction
29:20 The China Initiative & Political Hesitation
31:35 AI, Quantum & Emerging Tech Theft
34:20 The Wave Energy Case Study
36:40 Semiconductor War & ASML
38:15 Economic Security = National Security
40:20 Time to Stop Playing Defense
43:30 OPSEC Mindset & Intelligence Reform
46:50 Final Thoughts
Intel at the Edge Podcast is a product of the Special Competitive Studies Project.
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How U.S. Intelligence Views China’s Military Power with Admiral Michael Studeman
25 februari 2026 · 47 min
Admiral Michael Studeman joins "Intel at the Edge " to discuss the shifting landscape of Indo-Pacific security. Drawing from his decades of experience in the U.S. Intelligence Community, including as the Director of Intelligence at Indo-Pacific Command, Admiral Studeman provides a rare inside look into how America’s intelligence services view China’s growing military power and how Beijing is positioning itself for regional and global leadership. Lees meer
Additionally, as Former Director of the Office of Naval Intelligence, Admiral Studeman breaks down the sudden removal of General Zhang Youxia and what it means for the future of the PLA. Is Xi Jinping clearing out "overcautious" generals to make room for "Yes Men!"? We dive deep into China's massive military modernization and why Admiral Studeman believes the "window of greatest danger" is closer than we think.
00:00:09 – Introduction: Admiral Mike Studeman’s 35-Year Career
00:01:37 – Welcome & Setting the Stage for the China Challenge
00:02:27 – The Scale and Speed of PLA Modernization
00:05:09 – China's Navy: A Peer Global Power
00:07:22 – Latent Power vs. Ready Power: How China Converts Wealth to Military Strength
00:09:58 – Comprehensive National Power & The Misdiagnosis of China’s Strategy
00:11:36 – Political Warfare: China’s "Short of War" Expansion
00:13:55 – Regional Anxiety & China’s Daily Influence Operations
00:15:25 – Analyzing the Ouster of General Zhang Youxia
00:19:56 – Xi Jinping’s Fourth Term & The Consolidation of "Yes Men"
00:21:51 – Pressure Tactics Around Taiwan: An Ongoing Cognitive War
00:25:24 – The "Window of Greatest Danger" (Late 2020s–Early 2030s)
00:29:28 – Reforming the Intelligence Community: Beyond the "Ivory Tower"
00:33:49 – Harnessing Open Source & Advanced Technology
00:39:03 – Economic Intelligence: The Blind Spot of 21st Century Security
00:41:54 – Protecting National Competitiveness through Private Sector Dialog
00:44:36 – Advice for the Next Generation: Courage and …
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Emergency Update on Iran with Norman Roule
24 februari 2026 · 31 min
With two U.S. carrier strike groups converging on Iran and a presidential deadline looming, the clock is ticking. In this urgent episode of Intel at the Edge, host Chip Usher — Senior Director for Intelligence at the Special Competitive Studies Project (SCSP) — sits down with Norman Roule, former National Intelligence Manager for Iran at the CIA, to assess what may be one of the most consequential moments in U.S.-Iran relations in decades. Lees meer
They cover the state of diplomacy ahead of the Geneva talks, whether Iran will ever genuinely negotiate on its nuclear and missile programs, the risks of miscalculation, Iranian retaliation scenarios, regime stability, and the sweeping transformation reshaping the broader Middle East. Norman Roule spent over three decades as a senior CIA operations officer, including as the National Intelligence Manager for Iran — one of the most critical and sensitive intelligence roles in the U.S. government.
🔔 Subscribe for more expert intelligence and national security analysis from SCSP.
00:00 – Introduction: Emergency Podcast on the Iran Situation
00:40 – Guest Introduction: Norm Roule’s CIA and Intelligence Background
01:25 – Announcement: AI Plus Intelligence Summit at the Waldorf Astoria 02:03 – Current Military Posture: Carrier Strike Groups and Aircraft Deployment
02:28 – The Diplomatic Inflection Point and March Deadlines
03:38 – Core Issues: Iran’s Nuclear Program and Enrichment Deals
05:31 – U.S. Demands: Missiles and the "Axis of Resistance"
07:56 – Iran’s Missile Arsenal and ICBM Capabilities
08:33 – Upcoming Geneva Talks and Potential for Miscalculation
10:51 – Evaluating Potential U.S. Military Strikes and Iranian Retaliation
14:06 – Degradation of Hezbollah, Hamas, and Iranian Ballistic Assets
16:03 – Diplomacy vs. Military Action: What Compels Tehran to Negotiate?
18:44 – Regime Stability: Domestic Protests and Internal Pressures
20:54 – Outlook: How the Next Two Weeks Will Play Out
25:22 – Regional Dynamics: S…
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The "High Ground" of the North Atlantic: Why Greenland is the Next Frontier of Global Competition with Heather Conley
11 februari 2026 · 38 min
In this episode of Intel at the Edge, host Chip Usher is joined by Heather Conley, a nonresident senior fellow at the American Enterprise Institute and a leading expert on Arctic security. Together, they unpack the strategic value of Greenland and the evolving geopolitical stakes in the Arctic. In this episode, we discuss: The Strategic Imperative: Why Greenland serves as a "first line of defense" for North America, providing early warning for ballistic missiles and tracking Russian nuclear submarines. Russia & China’s Presence: How Russia has militarized the region since 2014 and China’s ambition to become a "great polar power" by 2030. The "Ownership" Debate: Analyzing the diplomatic impact of President Trump’s interest in acquiring Greenland and what it means for the 225-year relationship with the Kingdom of Denmark. The Future of the Arctic: Why the U.S. needs to prepare for the Arctic of 2040 today by investing in icebreakers, ISR sensors, and a persistent presence. Lees meer
00:00 – Introduction
01:26 – Background on President Trump’s Interest
02:38 – The Strategic Value of "Eyes and Ears"
03:47 – Ownership vs. Partnership
05:15 – Russia: The Arctic Superpower
07:52 – China: The "Near-Arctic State" Ambition
09:44 – The North Pacific vs. North Atlantic Vectors
12:15 – Missile Defense and the "Golden Dome"
15:13 – Economic Potential: Critical Minerals
17:37 – The "Alaska First" Perspective
20:01 – The Icebreaker Gap
23:08 – History of U.S. Purchase Attempts
27:59 – Post-Cold War Atrophy
30:47 – NATO’s Future Role: "Arctic Sentry"
35:25 – The Next Strategic Frontiers: Seabed and Space
Intel at the Edge Podcast is a product of the Special Competitive Studies Project.
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How the CIA Launched the Predator Program with Alec Bierbauer
28 januari 2026 · 45 min
In this episode of Intel at the Edge, host Chip Usher sits down with retired CIA officer Alec Bierbauer, a core founder of the team that launched the agency’s revolutionary Predator drone program. Bierbauer recounts the high-stakes history of the hunt for Osama bin Laden before 9/11, revealing how a small team bypassed traditional bureaucracy to put "U.S. eyes on target" in the rugged terrain of Afghanistan. The conversation explores the technical and ethical evolution of unmanned systems, from the groundbreaking "Man in White" video captured at Turnak Farm to the rapid weaponization of the platform with Hellfire missiles. Lees meer
Intel at the Edge Podcast is a product of the Special Competitive Studies Project.
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Emergency Update on the Iran Crisis with Jonathan Panikoff
16 januari 2026 · 30 min
In this emergency episode of Intelligence at the Edge, host Chip Usher is joined by Jonathan Panikoff, Director of the Near East Security Initiative at the Atlantic Council and former Deputy National Intelligence Officer for the Near East. They provide a critical update on the widespread protests and severe regime crackdown that have seized Iran since late December 2025. Lees meer
Panikoff analyzes how this movement differs from previous uprisings, noting that while the "Woman, Life, Freedom" protests were driven by social frustrations, the current unrest is fueled by a collapsing economy, soaring food prices, and a dire potable water crisis, all while the regime imposes internet blackouts to repress connectivity. The discussion explores the regime's ruthless use of force—resulting in casualties far exceeding those of 2022—and the potential for an inflection point similar to the 1979 revolution.
Intel at the Edge Podcast is a product of the Special Competitive Studies Project.
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Congressional Perspectives on Technology and Intelligence with Representative Pat Fallon of Texas
7 januari 2026 · 23 min
On this episode of Intel at the Edge, host Chip Usher is joined by U.S. Congressman Pat Fallon (TX-04) to discuss the evolving landscape of national security and his first year on the House Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence. Congressman Fallon emphasizes the urgent need for the Intelligence Community to embrace AI and emerging technologies to keep pace with global adversaries like China and Russia. As a leader on the Subcommittee on Open Source Intelligence, he highlights the critical value of unclassified, publicly available data and the necessity of using AI to sift through vast amounts of information to find "the needle in the Pacific. Lees meer
Intel at the Edge Podcast is a product of the Special Competitive Studies Project.
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Rethinking Intelligence with Dr. Shay Hershkovitz
17 december 2025 · 35 min
In this episode, Chip is joined by Dr. Shay Hershkovitz, professor at Georgetown University and a senior analyst at the RAND Corporation. They discuss the current intelligence landscape, key topics from Dr. Hershkovitz’s book, “The Future of National Intelligence”, intelligence in a democratic society, and advice to young professionals trying to enter national security. Lees meer
Intel at the Edge Podcast is a product of the Special Competitive Studies Project.
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An Update on America's Cyberdefenses with Former FBI Cyber Director Cynthia Kaiser
4 december 2025 · 32 min
Joining Intel at the Edge is Cynthia Kaiser, a veteran at the Federal Bureau of Investigation for twenty years, most recently as Deputy Assistant Director at the FBI’s Cyber Division. Throughout her career, Kaiser specialized in cyber intelligence and cyber policy, also serving as a President's Daily Briefing intelligence briefer in two administrations. She is currently anti-ransomware company Halcyon's Senior Vice President of the Ransomware Research Center, which is a one-of-its-kind program that develops information sharing programs and new research into threat actor methodology and ransomware trends across the public and private sectors. Lees meer
Intel at the Edge Podcast is a product of the Special Competitive Studies Project.
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Implementing Digital Transformation in US Intelligence with Former Director of NGA, Robert Cardillo
20 november 2025 · 49 min
In this episode of Intel at the Edge, host Chip Usher is joined by Robert Cardillo, the former Director of the NGA. They discuss the increasing role commercial companies play in imagery intelligence, how NGA is incorporating AI technologies, and the future of the US commercial space launch industry. Lees meer
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Intel at the Edge Podcast is a product of the Special Competitive Studies Project.
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Understanding the Cyber Threat Environment with Rob Joyce & Leah Siskind
5 november 2025 · 27 min
In this episode of Intel at the Edge, taped during SCSP's AI Unlocked event, Chip is joined by Rob Joyce and Leah Siskind to explore how the PRC, Russia, and Iran are taking advantage of America's open society and economy to steal data and IP and conduct espionage. Lees meer
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Intel at the Edge Podcast is a product of the Special Competitive Studies Project.
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Can AIs Be Good Spies?: A Conversation with Adam Leslie and Aaron Brown
29 oktober 2025 · 43 min
In this episode of Intel at the Edge, Chip sits down with Adam Leslie, former Australian Army and intelligence community veteran, and Aaron Brown, former U.S. Army Ranger and CIA case officer, to discuss their recent report, "The Digital Case Officer, Reimagining Espionage with Artificial Intelligence". Together, they examine the opportunities and vulnerabilities with AI shaping the future of spy craft. Lees meer
Intel at the Edge Podcast is a product of the Special Competitive Studies Project.
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Government at the Speed of Silicon Valley: Implementing AI Transformation Across the USIC with Garrett Berntsen
15 oktober 2025 · 44 min
In this episode, Chip is joined by Garrett Berntsen, the Defense & Intelligence Data and AI Lead at Accenture Federal Services (AFS). Prior to this role, Garrett was the Deputy Chief Digital and Artificial Intelligence Officer for Scaled Capabilities at the Department of Defense’s Chief Digital and Artificial Intelligence Office (CDAO), preceding positions at the State Department and the National Security Council. He has a distinguished record as a public servant and expertise in hands-on AI implementation. Chip and Garrett discuss the realities of implementing advanced technologies, such as AI, in the federal government, AI’s evolving role in defense and intelligence, strategic competition, and the federal workforce. Intel at the Edge Podcast is a product of the Special Competitive
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The Fourth Intelligence Revolution: AI, National Security, and the Future of Intelligence Work with Anthony Vinci
24 september 2025 · 39 min
In this episode of Intel at the Edge, Chip is joined by Anthony Vinci, Adjunct Senior Fellow at the Center for a New American Security (CNAS). Anthony is a former Chief Technology Officer and Associate Director for Capabilities at the National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency (NGA) and author of the upcoming book “The Fourth Intelligence Revolution: The Future of Espionage and the Battle to Save America”. Anthony and Chip talk about how AI, autonomous systems, and other technologies are driving change in the business of intelligence and what the future of intelligence might look like. Lees meer
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Intel at the Edge Podcast is a product of the Special Competitive Studies Project.
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Inside Intelligence: A Conversation with Former DDCIA David Cohen
10 september 2025 · 44 min
In the inaugural episode of our new podcast, "Intel at the Edge", host William "Chip" Usher is joined by David Cohen, former Deputy Director of the CIA and former Adjunct Senior Fellow at the Center of a New American Security (CNAS). Lees meer
In this episode, we will discuss his leadership in the CIA, the efficacy of sanctions, and the modern intelligence landscape in an era of emerging technologies.
Intel at the Edge Podcast is a product of the Special Competitive Studies Project.
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Episode 0 - Welcome to Intel at the Edge
4 september 2025 · 1 min
Where technology meets intelligence. Intel at the Edge is a podcast by the Special Competitive Studies Project (SCSP), hosted by Chip Usher, Senior Director for Intelligence. Chip explores the latest innovations transforming the intelligence community with experts who are shaping the future of national security. Lees meer
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Intel at the Edge Podcast is a product of the Special Competitive Studies Project.