Alle afleveringen

1.516 afleveringen, van nieuw naar oud

Reading Jeff Snider: 1/3 of US, Canadian Small Businesses Can't Pay Rent [Ep. 117]

5 oktober 2021 · 11 min
Afspelen

Recent polling data from Alignable reveals a difficult small-business environment. Three regional Fed surveys confirm the softness. Is it merely the passing Delta-Covid? Or the labor-shortage? Will demand in 2022 be able to meet the oncoming wave of goods orders? A reading, by Emil Kalinowski. Lees meer

----------WHO----------
Jeff Snider of Alhambra Investments. Read by Emil Kalinowski. Art by David Parkins. Intro/outro is "Deadlines" by Dylan Sitts at Epidemic Sound.

----------WHAT----------
Revisiting The Last Overhang-An Economy Dividing By Inventory And Labor: https://bit.ly/3muwQcO

----------WHERE----------
Jeff's Alhambra Blog: https://bit.ly/2VIC2wW
Jeff's RealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7
Jeff's Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP

Emil's Twitter: https://twitter.com/EmilKalinowski
David's Art: https://davidparkins.com/

---------HEAR IT----------
Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn
Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN
Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE
iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI
TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z
Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza
Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M
Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY
Pandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3Qg
Breaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFO
Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ
Podbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDgh
Stitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GB
PlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjV
Podchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwN
PocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdt
SoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfK
ListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pb
AmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2P
PodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr
Reading Jeff Snider: Revisiting 2019's Inventory Overhang [Ep. 116]

4 oktober 2021 · 14 min
Afspelen

Like the bond market and the yield curve, the inventory situation is most often forward-looking. Powell is tapering and ignoring the potential of an inventory overhang, pretty much the same way as a few years ago. A reading, by Emil Kalinowski. Lees meer

----------WHO----------
Jeff Snider of Alhambra Investments. Read by Emil Kalinowski. Art by David Parkins. Intro/outro is "36mm" by Jobii at Epidemic Sound.

----------WHAT----------
Revisiting The Last Overhang: https://bit.ly/3isH5Nk

----------WHERE----------
Jeff's Alhambra Blog: https://bit.ly/2VIC2wW
Jeff's RealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7
Jeff's Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP

Emil's Twitter: https://twitter.com/EmilKalinowski
David's Art: https://davidparkins.com/

---------HEAR IT----------
Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn
Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN
Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE
iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI
TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z
Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza
Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M
Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY
Pandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3Qg
Breaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFO
Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ
Podbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDgh
Stitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GB
PlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjV
Podchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwN
PocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdt
SoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfK
ListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pb
AmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2P
PodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr
Bonds, Treasury Bonds [Ep. 115]

3 oktober 2021 · 1 uur 16 min
Afspelen

PART 01: US Treasury Bonds have lost a lot of value since August, and especially in the last weeks of September. Is it a taper tantrum? Are foreigners selling lousy Uncle Sam paper? Is it Armageddon (again)? No, this happens—incredibly—'every' August. But why? Lees meer

PART 02: Since 2011, the US Treasury 10-year bond peaks in value during the summer-to-autumn transition. Ignoring the economic context, whether positive or negative, bonds lose value. They lose value whether central banks are hawkish or dovish. Why? We offer five theories.

PART 03: Financial collateral is indispensable to the modern monetary system. Unfortunately the most pristine collateral, the US Treasury Bill, is in short supply because of the political debt ceiling drama. So, we identify seven warning indicators for acute collateral shortage.

---------SPONSOR----------
Macropiece Theater with Alistair Cooke (i.e. Emil Kalinowski) reading the latest essays, blog posts, speeches and excerpts from economics, geopolitics and more. Interesting people write interesting things. Recent readings include thoughts from George Friedman, Lyn Alden, Daniel Oliver, Michael Pettis, the Bank for International Settlements

-----SEE EPISODE 115------
Alhambra YouTube: https://bit.ly/2Xp3roy
Emil YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisL

-----HEAR EPISODE 115----
Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn
Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN
Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE
iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI
TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z
Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza
Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M
Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY
Pandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3Qg
Breaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFO
Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ
Podbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDgh
Stitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GB
PlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjV
Podchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwN
PocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdt
SoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfK
ListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pb
AmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2P
PodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr

----EP. 115a REFER…
Reading Michael Pettis: Why the Bezzle Matters to the Economy [Ep. 114]

2 oktober 2021 · 39 min
Afspelen

The bezzle is the temporary gap between the perceived value of assets and long-term economic value. Economies at times systematically create bezzle, unleashing substantial economic consequences that economists have rarely understood or discussed. A reading, by Emil Kalinowski. Lees meer

----------WHO----------
Michael Pettis, Finance Professor at Peking University and Senior Fellow at Carnegie-Tsinghua Center. Read by Emil Kalinowski. Art by David Parkins. Intro/outro is "36mm" by Jobii at Epidemic Sound.

----------WHAT----------
Why the Bezzle Matters to the Economy: https://bit.ly/3B4T5vO

----------WHERE----------
Michael's Blog: https://www.mpettis.com/
Michael's Twitter: https://twitter.com/michaelxpettis

Emil's Twitter: https://twitter.com/EmilKalinowski
David's Art: https://davidparkins.com/

---------HEAR IT----------
Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn
Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN
Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE
iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI
TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z
Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza
Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M
Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY
Pandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3Qg
Breaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFO
Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ
Podbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDgh
Stitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GB
PlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjV
Podchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwN
PocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdt
SoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfK
ListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pb
AmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2P
PodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr
Reading the BIS: 70 Years of International Banking [Ep. 113]

1 oktober 2021 · 32 min
Afspelen

The Bank for International Settlements summarizes the rise and fall of the offshore eurodollar system. Offshore banking, regulatory arbitrage, financial liberalization and financial innovation created the system, which expanded exponentially--at least until 2007. A reading, by Emil Kalinowski. Lees meer

----------WHO----------
Robert McCauley, Patrick McGuire and Philip Wooldridge of the Bank for International Settlements. Read by Emil Kalinowski. Art by David Parkins. Intro/outro is "36mm" by Jobii at Epidemic Sound.

----------WHAT----------
Seven decades of international banking: https://bit.ly/2ZxIzzc

----------WHERE----------
BIS Website: https://www.bis.org/
BIS Twitter: https://twitter.com/BIS_org

Emil's Twitter: https://twitter.com/EmilKalinowski
David's Art: https://davidparkins.com/

-----EURODOLLAR 101------
@CatherineSchenk: https://bit.ly/3fFLMix
@JeffSnider_AIP: https://bit.ly/3ATBzdW
@BankOfEngland: https://bit.ly/30Hsx3G
@ResearchGate: https://bit.ly/3thkJm9
@ysi_commons: https://bit.ly/3pH4V95
@MacroVoices: https://bit.ly/3fX9fw4
@BundesBank: https://bit.ly/34tKsfc
@ICMAgroup: https://bit.ly/2VAPnYb
@PMehrling: https://bit.ly/31GRHiF
@CSissoko: https://bit.ly/3iFpoas
@BIS_org: https://bit.ly/2ZxIzzc

---------HEAR IT----------
Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn
Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN
Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE
iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI
TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z
Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza
Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M
Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY
Pandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3Qg
Breaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFO
Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ
Podbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDgh
Stitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GB
PlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjV
Podchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwN
PocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdt
SoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfK
ListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pb
AmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2P
PodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr
Reading Lyn Alden: Supply Chain Woes [Ep. 112]

30 september 2021 · 26 min
Afspelen

Lyn Alden's August newsletter focuses on the ongoing supply chain issues, inflation, and commodities. In many ways, the 2020s decade continues to mirror the 1940s in terms of fiscal policy, monetary policy, and de-globalization. A reading, by Emil Kalinowski. Lees meer

----------WHO----------
Lyn Alden of Lyn Alden Investment Strategy. Read by Emil Kalinowski. Art by David Parkins. Intro/outro is "36mm" by Jobii at Epidemic Sound.

----------WHAT----------
Supply Chain Woes: https://bit.ly/2XRMCpi

----------WHERE----------
Lyn's Website: https://www.lynalden.com/
Lyn's Twitter: https://twitter.com/LynAldenContact

Emil's Twitter: https://twitter.com/EmilKalinowski
David's Art: https://davidparkins.com/

---------HEAR IT----------
Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn
Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN
Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE
iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI
TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z
Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza
Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M
Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY
Pandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3Qg
Breaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFO
Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ
Podbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDgh
Stitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GB
PlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjV
Podchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwN
PocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdt
SoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfK
ListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pb
AmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2P
PodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr
Reading Jeff Snider: History's Great Monetary Shortages [Ep. 111]

29 september 2021 · 1 uur 1 min
Afspelen

Jeff Snider presents history's great monetary shortages -- the 14th century's Great Bullion Famine, the 20th century's Triffin's Paradox, the 21st century's Eurodollar Famine -- and how human innovation -- ghost money, eurodollar, cryptocurrency -- overcame monetary adversity. A reading, by Emil Kalinowski. Lees meer

----------WHO----------
Jeff Snider of Alhambra Investments. Read by Emil Kalinowski. Art by David Parkins. Intro/outro is "36mm" by Jobii at Epidemic Sound.

----------WHAT----------
Rebel Capitalist Live Q&A with Jeff: https://youtu.be/KpqaDv2RYdU

----------WHERE----------
Jeff's Alhambra Blog: https://bit.ly/2VIC2wW
Jeff's RealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7
Jeff's Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP

George's Website: https://www.georgegammon.com/
Rebel Capitalist Meetup: https://rebelcapitalistlive.com/

Emil's Twitter: https://twitter.com/EmilKalinowski
David's Art: https://davidparkins.com/

---------HEAR IT----------
Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn
Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN
Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE
iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI
TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z
Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza
Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M
Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY
Pandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3Qg
Breaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFO
Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ
Podbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDgh
Stitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GB
PlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjV
Podchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwN
PocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdt
SoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfK
ListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pb
AmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2P
PodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr
Reading Jeff Snider: Liquidity Risk Concerns Given Credit Risk 'Solutions' [Ep. 110]

28 september 2021 · 23 min
Afspelen

Jeff Snider reviews the recent Bank of Japan experience with quantitative and qualitative easing. The central bank starts off on the wrong foot, focusing on credit quality issues instead of market participants' liquidity preferences and it goes sideways from there. A reading, by Emil Kalinowski. Lees meer

----------WHO----------
Jeff Snider of Alhambra Investments. Read by Emil Kalinowski. Art by David Parkins. Intro/outro is "36mm" by Jobii at Epidemic Sound.

----------WHAT----------
Central Bankers Refuse to Learn QE's Obvious Lessons: https://bit.ly/3F0faOi

----------WHERE----------
Jeff's Alhambra Blog: https://bit.ly/2VIC2wW
Jeff's RealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7
Jeff's Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP

Emil's Twitter: https://twitter.com/EmilKalinowski
David's Art: https://davidparkins.com/

---------HEAR IT----------
Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn
Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN
Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE
iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI
TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z
Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza
Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M
Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY
Pandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3Qg
Breaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFO
Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ
Podbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDgh
Stitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GB
PlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjV
Podchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwN
PocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdt
SoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfK
ListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pb
AmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2P
PodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr
Reading Jeff Snider: If a Fed Taper Falls in the Woods... [Ep. 109]

27 september 2021 · 16 min
Afspelen

The Fed's expected taper is just empty, insignificant theater. The Fed is tapering never once having answered for headwinds, false dawns, and the world’s true wealth repeatedly suffering under stagnation and decline. A reading, by Emil Kalinowski. Lees meer

----------WHO----------
Jeff Snider of Alhambra Investments. Read by Emil Kalinowski. Art by David Parkins. Intro/outro is "Born in the 90's" by Ameryh at Epidemic Sound.

----------WHAT----------
Previewing The Taper Theater: https://bit.ly/3CEBQ4N

----------WHERE----------
Jeff's Alhambra Blog: https://bit.ly/2VIC2wW
Jeff's RealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7
Jeff's Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP

Emil's Twitter: https://twitter.com/EmilKalinowski
David's Art: https://davidparkins.com/

---------HEAR IT----------
Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn
Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN
Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE
iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI
TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z
Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza
Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M
Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY
Pandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3Qg
Breaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFO
Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ
Podbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDgh
Stitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GB
PlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjV
Podchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwN
PocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdt
SoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfK
ListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pb
AmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2P
PodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr
Ticker Tape(r) Parade? [Ep. 108]

27 september 2021 · 1 uur 4 min
Afspelen

PART 1: Offshore shadow money funds the global economy, but it lies in the shadows; it's off-balance sheet and off-the-regulatory-radar. A good place to get a sense of offshore shadow money is the Treasury International Capital report. Jeff Snider serves as our guide through July's data - and warnings. Lees meer

PART 2: Interest rate swap spreads are negative. These 'underwater' derivatives indicate very high market demand relative to money dealer supply. So, if bank balance sheet capacity remains constrained--available only at a premium--that means there's not enough 'money' in the world economy.

PART 3: Will 2022-demand be strong enough to absorb 2021-supply surges? A review of the US inventory cycle and how global covid-related restrictions have convinced retailers, wholesalers and producers to surge goods orders. If demand isn't there, they will have over-ordered.

-----SEE EPISODE 108------
Alhambra YouTube: https://bit.ly/2Xp3roy
Emil YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisL

-----HEAR EPISODE 100----
Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn
Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN
Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE
iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI
TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z
Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza
Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M
Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY
Pandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3Qg
Breaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFO
Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ
Podbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDgh
Stitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GB
PlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjV
Podchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwN
PocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdt
SoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfK
ListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pb
AmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2P
PodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr

----EP. 108 REFERENCES---
Dollar Warning Update From The Islands Which Started It: https://bit.ly/3ESLFhI
PracTICal Remainders and Reminders: https://bit.ly/3kBfpr0
Hey Jay, Maybe Check The Swaps Before Committing to Taper: https://bit.ly/3ET9VjM
(WSJ) Spread on 30-Year Treasury Swaps Turns Positive: https://on.wsj.com/2XNJLxr
All…
Reading Karl Marx: The Paris Manuscripts [Ep. 107]

26 september 2021 · 10 min
Afspelen

Karl Marx, the 19th-century German philosopher, economist, historian, sociologist, political theorist, journalist and socialist revolutionary, on the confounding and inverting nature of money and wealth. A reading, by Emil Kalinowski. Lees meer

----------WHO----------
Karl Marx. Read by Emil Kalinowski. Art by David Parkins. Intro/outro is "Born in the 90's" by Ameryh at Epidemic Sound.

----------WHAT----------
Economic & Philosophic Manuscripts of 1844: https://bit.ly/2XG9I2c

----------WHERE----------
(Wikipedia) Economic and Philosophic Manuscripts of 1844: https://bit.ly/3hUSHs4
(SparkNote) Economic and Philosophic Manuscripts of 1844: https://bit.ly/3hZPnvV

Emil's Twitter: https://twitter.com/EmilKalinowski
David's Art: Art: https://davidparkins.com/

---------HEAR IT----------
Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn
Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN
Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE
iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI
TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z
Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza
Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M
Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY
Pandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3Qg
Breaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFO
Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ
Podbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDgh
Stitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GB
PlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjV
Podchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwN
PocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdt
SoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfK
ListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pb
AmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2P
PodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr
Reading Myrmikan: Real Rates Go More Negative [Ep. 106]

25 september 2021 · 17 min
Afspelen

Financial historian Daniel Oliver's essay on real rates, the profligacy of the Federal Reserve, inflation and the path of nominal gold prices. A reading, by Emil Kalinowski. Lees meer

----------WHO----------
Daniel Oliver of Myrmikan Capital. Read by Emil Kalinowski. Art by David Parkins. Intro/outro is "Born in the 90's" by Ameryh at Epidemic Sound.

----------WHAT----------
Real Rates Go More Negative: https://bit.ly/3EG5ada

----------WHERE----------
Myrmikan: http://myrmikan.com/
Daniel Oliver: https://twitter.com/Myrmikan

Emil's Twitter: https://twitter.com/EmilKalinowski
David's Art: Art: https://davidparkins.com/

---------HEAR IT----------
Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn
Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN
Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE
iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI
TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z
Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza
Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M
Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY
Pandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3Qg
Breaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFO
Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ
Podbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDgh
Stitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GB
PlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjV
Podchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwN
PocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdt
SoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfK
ListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pb
AmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2P
PodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr
Reading George Friedman: JFK & the Origin of Forever Wars [Ep. 105]

24 september 2021 · 14 min
Afspelen

Historian and geopolitical strategist George Friedman asks, 'Why has the United States, the most powerful state (since the Roman Empire) lost three wars in the past 50 years?' A reading, by Emil Kalinowski. Lees meer

-------HEADS UP-------
In October Geopolitical Futures will do a special series on Geopolitics and Economics. George Friedman and special guests as we dig into the socio-economics of international conflict, the relationship between a nation’s economics, military, and political aspects, and technology, innovation, and the geopolitical system.

----------WHO----------
George Friedman of Geopolitical Futures. Read by Emil Kalinowski. Art by David Parkins. Intro/outro is "Born in the 90's" by Ameryh at Epidemic Sound.

----------WHAT----------
John F. Kennedy and the Origin of Wars Without End: https://bit.ly/3zvzumK

----------WHERE----------
George Friedman's Writings: https://bit.ly/3gUl7ms
George Friedman's Twitter: https://twitter.com/George_Friedman

Geopolitical Futures: https://geopoliticalfutures.com/
Geopolitical Futures Twitter: https://twitter.com/gpfutures

Emil's Twitter: https://twitter.com/EmilKalinowski
David's Art: Art: https://davidparkins.com/

---------HEAR IT----------
Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn
Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN
Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE
iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI
TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z
Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza
Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M
Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY
Pandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3Qg
Breaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFO
Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ
Podbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDgh
Stitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GB
PlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjV
Podchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwN
PocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdt
SoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfK
ListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pb
AmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2P
PodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr
Reading Jeff Snider: PracTICal Remainders and Reminders [Ep. 104]

23 september 2021 · 13 min
Afspelen

A review of August's Treasury International Capital data. The chief benefit is, unlike most who don’t know or can’t read the data, which is pretty much everyone, you at least know in which direction to start looking. A reading, by Emil Kalinowski. Lees meer

----------WHO----------
Jeff Snider of Alhambra Investments. Read by Emil Kalinowski. Art by David Parkins. Intro/outro is "Born in the 90's" by Ameryh at Epidemic Sound.

----------WHAT----------
PracTICal Remainders and Reminders: https://bit.ly/3u98BnX

----------WHERE----------
Jeff's Alhambra Blog: https://bit.ly/2VIC2wW
Jeff's RealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7
Jeff's Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP

Emil's Twitter: https://twitter.com/EmilKalinowski
David's Art: https://davidparkins.com/

---------HEAR IT----------
Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn
Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN
Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE
iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI
TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z
Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza
Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M
Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY
Pandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3Qg
Breaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFO
Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ
Podbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDgh
Stitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GB
PlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjV
Podchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwN
PocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdt
SoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfK
ListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pb
AmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2P
PodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr
Reading Jeff Snider: Evergrande isn't Lehman but (another) Bear Stearns [Ep. 103]

22 september 2021 · 17 min
Afspelen

The mainstream media is asking if China's property developer imminent demise will be the "Lehman" moment. Unlikely. It's more likely this will be yet another Chinese Bear Stearns. The first? Shanghai Chaori Solar. In 2013. This is no new development catching authorities offguard. A reading, by Emil Kalinowski. Lees meer

----------WHO----------
Jeff Snider of Alhambra Investments. Read by Emil Kalinowski. Art by David Parkins. Intro/outro is "Born in the 90's" by Ameryh at Epidemic Sound.

----------WHAT----------
China’s Managed Decline Ain’t Ever To Be Grand(e), It’s (euro)Dollars: https://bit.ly/3AtwqJr

----------WHERE----------
Jeff's Alhambra Blog: https://bit.ly/2VIC2wW
Jeff's RealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7
Jeff's Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP

Emil's Twitter: https://twitter.com/EmilKalinowski
David's Art: https://davidparkins.com/

---------HEAR IT----------
Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn
Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN
Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE
iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI
TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z
Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza
Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M
Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY
Pandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3Qg
Breaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFO
Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ
Podbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDgh
Stitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GB
PlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjV
Podchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwN
PocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdt
SoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfK
ListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pb
AmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2P
PodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr
Reading Jeff Snider: The Caribbean's Dollar Warning [Ep. 102]

21 september 2021 · 16 min
Afspelen

Central bankers had a choice in the 1970s: follow the offshore money, diving headfirst down the rabbit hole; or, ignore it entirely, pretend none of this exists, and then hope by stroke of luck it won’t matter. We’re still paying for the ignorance and dereliction. A reading, by Emil Kalinowski. Lees meer

----------WHO----------
Jeff Snider of Alhambra Investments. Read by Emil Kalinowski. Art by David Parkins. Intro/outro is "Born in the 90's" by Ameryh at Epidemic Sound.

----------WHAT----------
Dollar Warning Update From The Islands Which Started It: https://bit.ly/3zBCezn

----------WHERE----------
Jeff's Alhambra Blog: https://bit.ly/2VIC2wW
Jeff's RealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7
Jeff's Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP

Emil's Twitter: https://twitter.com/EmilKalinowski
David's Art: https://davidparkins.com/

---------HEAR IT----------
Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn
Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN
Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE
iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI
TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z
Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza
Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M
Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY
Pandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3Qg
Breaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFO
Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ
Podbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDgh
Stitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GB
PlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjV
Podchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwN
PocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdt
SoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfK
ListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pb
AmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2P
PodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr
Reading Jeff Snider: There's Too Little Money Now [Ep. 101]

20 september 2021 · 21 min
Afspelen

It’s becoming too obvious to keep overlooking Keynes' statement when little credit-collateral-money, "is...available our wealth suffers stagnation or decline.” The problem is hardly anyone knows what just why there might be so little. A reading, by Emil Kalinowski. Lees meer

----------WHO----------
Jeff Snider of Alhambra Investments. Read by Emil Kalinowski. Art by David Parkins. Intro/outro is "Born in the 90's" by Ameryh at Epidemic Sound.

----------WHAT----------
They're Ignoring That There's Too Little Money Now: https://bit.ly/3u7So2l

----------WHERE----------
Jeff's Alhambra Blog: https://bit.ly/2VIC2wW
Jeff's RealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7
Jeff's Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP

Emil's Twitter: https://twitter.com/EmilKalinowski
David's Art: https://davidparkins.com/

---------HEAR IT----------
Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn
Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN
Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE
iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI
TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z
Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza
Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M
Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY
Pandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3Qg
Breaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFO
Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ
Podbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDgh
Stitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GB
PlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjV
Podchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwN
PocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdt
SoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfK
ListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pb
AmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2P
PodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr
Inflation is not a Price Increase [Ep. 100]

19 september 2021 · 1 uur 8 min
Afspelen

PART 01: Producer prices in the US are elevated, but decelerating. They're elevated because of demand surges, supply shocks and logistics snarls - all TRANSITORY factors. Producer prices ARE NOT elevated because of permanent, pervasive central bank or government inflationary action. Lees meer

PART 02: Consumer prices in the US are elevated, but decelerating. They're elevated because of demand surges, supply shocks and logistics snarls - all TRANSITORY factors. Consumer prices ARE NOT elevated because of permanent, pervasive central bank or government inflationary action.

PART 03: Import and export prices are elevated in the US, but decelerating. They're high because of demand surges, supply shocks and logistics snarls - all TRANSITORY factors. Import/export prices ARE NOT elevated because of permanent, pervasive central bank or government inflationary action.

-----SEE EPISODE 100------
Alhambra YouTube: https://bit.ly/2Xp3roy
Emil YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisL

-----HEAR EPISODE 100----
Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn
Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN
Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE
iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI
TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z
Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza
Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M
Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY
Pandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3Qg
Breaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFO
Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ
Podbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDgh
Stitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GB
PlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjV
Podchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwN
PocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdt
SoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfK
ListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pb
AmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2P
PodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr

----EP. 100a REFERENCES---
The Non-Charitable economics of (Not) Inflation: https://bit.ly/3EpQA9r
CPI Comes ‘Home’ To The Other Side of Inverted TIPS: https://bit.ly/3tPG3j5
First Transitory In Producers, Then More For Consumers, Now A Negative For Import Prices: https://bit.ly/2YZ0uP1
Alhambra Investments Blog: https://bit.ly/2VIC2wWlin
…
Labor Shortage: The Fed's Get Out Of Jail Free Card [Ep. 99]

13 september 2021 · 1 uur 13 min
Afspelen

PART 1: 'Maybe the economy isn't in as good a condition as you economists / academics / technocrats think it is,' says the labor force participation rate. 'The economy is in fantastic shape,' says the unemployment rate. Which one is correct? Lees meer

PART 2: Labor shortages are normal, at the microscale, from time to time, in this or that industry. Yet since 2008, establishment economists use "labor shortage" as an excuse to: A) support a misleadingly low unemployment rate and, B) explain away the participation problem.

PART 3: In 1971, US Treasury Secretary John Connally told a group of European finance ministers that the US dollar "is our currency, but your problem." Half a century later, the problem has grown bigger encompassing the whole world. A world that is short of dollars.

-----SEE EPISODE 99-------
Alhambra YouTube: https://bit.ly/2Xp3roy
Emil YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisL

-----HEAR EPISODE 99-----
Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn
Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN
Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE
iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI
TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z
Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza
Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M
Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY
Pandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3Qg
Breaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFO
Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ
Podbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDgh
Stitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GB
PlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjV
Podchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwN
PocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdt
SoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfK
ListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pb
AmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2P
PodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr

----EP. 99 REFERENCES----
Just In Time For Labor Day: It’s Not Payrolls Missing The Mark By Such A Wide Margin: https://bit.ly/3lc1k2j
Bad-Monetary-Joke Twitter: https://bit.ly/3A3RHZN
Turning The LABOR SHORTAGE Up to 11: https://bit.ly/3hifOww
The Eurodollar’s Nose: https://bit.ly/2X6LApB
Alhambra Investments Blog: https://bit.ly/2VIC2wWlin
RealClear Markets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7

-----------WHO-----------…
Wisdom of the Crowds [Ep. 98]

5 september 2021 · 1 uur 13 min
Afspelen

PART 01: A lousy labor market report for August is being blamed on a "labor shortage". Also, 'lazy Americans' and 'the delta'. But the real problem is that businesses will not pay a market-clearing wage to hire the workers they need. Why not? Because the economy is lousy. Lees meer

PART 02: A long-standing NBC News Survey shows John & Jane Q. Public perceive the economy's condition BETTER than economists who anchor to the unemployment rate. Since 2005, US citizens have sensed each global dollar squeeze. They may be noticing another one, right now.

PART 03: Lightning round review of the: Australian dollar, Chinese yuan, gold-silver ratio, Federal Reserve's reverse repo program, European Central Bank's symmetric inflation target and natural gas. Also, the House of Lords questions the Bank of England's use of QE.

-----SEE EPISODE 98-------
Alhambra YouTube: https://bit.ly/2Xp3roy
Emil YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisL

-----HEAR EPISODE 98-----
Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn
Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN
Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE
iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI
TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z
Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza
Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M
Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY
Pandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3Qg
Breaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFO
Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ
Podbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDgh
Stitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GB
PlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjV
Podchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwN
PocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdt
SoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfK
ListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pb
AmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2P
PodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr

----EP. 98a REFERENCES----
Yes And No Taper To Labor (and inflation): https://bit.ly/38E77YJ

----EP. 98b REFERENCES----
They’ve Lost That Loving Feeling: https://bit.ly/3zJ6sB3
NBC News Survey Study #210188: https://bit.ly/3n5o0Ec

----EP. 98c REFERENCES----
China, Australia, and The European Way Into Reverse Repo: https://bit.ly/2WYpuFr
ECB: The new monetary policy strategy: implication…
Taper (but no) Tantrum! Why not? [Ep. 97]

30 augustus 2021 · 50 min
Afspelen

Jay Powell announced his central bank is satisfied (enough) with the economy's direction. Thus, the Fed will soon be 'tapering'; lessening the 'monetary stimulus'. What did bond-money markets say? Did they have a tantrum? No, because they don't believe what Jay believes. Lees meer

-----SEE EPISODE 97-------
Alhambra YouTube: https://bit.ly/2Xp3roy
Emil YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisL

-----HEAR EPISODE 97-----
Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn
Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN
Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE
iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI
TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z
Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza
Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M
Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY
Pandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3Qg
Breaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFO
Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ
Podbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDgh
Stitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GB
PlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjV
Podchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwN
PocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdt
SoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfK
ListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pb
AmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2P
PodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr

----EP. 97 TOPICS--------
00:10 Intro: Jay Powell announced it anticipates its purchases of US Treasury bonds will slow.
00:48 Financial press puts the Federal Reserve upon a pedestal of omnipotence, competence.
03:29 A previous Fed "taper", in 2013, resulted in a so-called tantrum. But was it, really?
08:13 Knut Wicksell told us 114 years ago that rising interest rates signal a healthy economy.
10:34 Markets are not considered reliable leading indicators by technocrats at the Fed.
13:24 Leading market indicators include: sovereign bonds, eurodollar futures, the US dollar.
14:57 In mid-August it was clear there would be no tantrum if there ever was a taper.
18:16 Fed officials demurred to define what maximum employment is last year, but now...
20:11 (Fed officials believe that inflation surges are and will be transitory; so does Jeff).
21:01 ...but now, Fed officials believe maximum employment is within sight; achievabl…
The dogs bark, but the caravan goes on... [Ep. 96]

22 augustus 2021 · 1 uur 16 min
Afspelen

PART 01: What did the Federal Reserve think about gold and the Nixon Shock in 1971? According to the transcripts they didn't think much about gold, neither pre- nor post-announcement. The Fed did not see the move as a release from its 'golden fetters' so as to dominate the monetary order. Lees meer

PART 02: The US Treasury Department released their Treasury International Capital, one of the keyholes analysts can look through to get a sense what is happening in the eurodollar system. Jeff Snider explains three items that caught his attention. Three concerns.

PART 03: German financiers and American consumers reported HISTORIC DROPS in optimism in August. Meanwhile, in Britain and Japan, consumer confidence remains steady though both nations are reporting they intend to consume less. 'Not great, Bob!'

-----SEE EPISODE 96-------
Alhambra YouTube: https://bit.ly/2Xp3roy
Emil YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisL

-----HEAR EPISODE 96-----
Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn
Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN
Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE
iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI
TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z
Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza
Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M
Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY
Pandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3Qg
Breaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFO
Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ
Podbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDgh
Stitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GB
PlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjV
Podchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwN
PocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdt
SoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfK
ListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pb
AmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2P
PodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr

-----EP. 96 REFERENCES----
The Two Big Anniversaries of August: The Lost Decade (plus) Of The ‘Fiat’ Half Century: https://bit.ly/3gkpENP
A TIC Trio of More Serious Deflation Potential: Asset Rebound, Banks Can’t Borrow T-bills From Foreigners, And The China Cringe Which Goes Along: https://bit.ly/3zjhBs0
Germans Got Global: https://bit.ly/3D6sCPW
The Third Of The Transitory Inflation Trifecta And To…
Omens of Bad Luck [Ep. 95]

16 augustus 2021 · 1 uur 12 min
Afspelen

PART 01: Inflation is a broad, sustained monetary phenomenon. Price deviations in a narrow set of economic sectors, though they last months, are just that: price deviations. Today's high CPI-readings will in all likelihood subsumed by the global monetary disorder, like in 2008 and 2011. Lees meer

PART 02: A review of July's HUGE increase in consumer prices. We conclude these price surges are due to supply problems, base comparison effects and mostly Uncle Sam stimmy checks. None of which are permanent changes to the situation of monetary malfunction and economic depression.

PART 03: In 1998 the Bank of England completed its transformation from "central bank" to "economist club" - the two are not synonymous. The former defines, identifies, measures and maps money-credit-collateral. The latter is a narrative machine.

-----SEE EPISODE 95-------
Alhambra YouTube: https://bit.ly/2Xp3roy
Emil YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisL

-----HEAR EPISODE 95-----
Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn
Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN
Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE
iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI
TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z
Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza
Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M
Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY
Pandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3Qg
Breaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFO
Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ
Podbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDgh
Stitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GB
PlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjV
Podchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwN
PocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdt
SoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfK
ListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pb
AmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2P
PodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr

-----EP. 95 REFERENCES----
There Is So Much, Too Much, Just Enough the Same: https://bit.ly/37Iluus
Inflation More Than Hints ‘Transitory’: https://bit.ly/3iQc9aD
The Money Is 'Double Missing' Thanks to Economists: https://bit.ly/3yHqKKR
Alhambra Investments Blog: https://bit.ly/2VIC2wWlin
RealClear Markets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7

-----------WHO-------------
Jeff Snider, Head…
Let them Eat SDRs

8 augustus 2021 · 1 uur 4 min
Afspelen

PART 01: Fifty years ago the "Nixon Shock" closed the 'Gold Window' on "international speculators" and killed the Bretton Woods gold exchange era. That's what we're told. Actually, Bretton Woods died a decade (or more!) earlier; it's just that we only noticed in 1971. Lees meer

PART 02: The IMF will 'print' $650 billion -- BILLION! -- in SDR-money to help with global liquidity. BIG numbers! BIG Deal! But we've heard this before from the IMF, like in 2009, their last BIGGEST EVER allocation, which was as effective as QE1, QE2, QE3, QE4, QE5, QE6...

PART 03: "This might be one of the biggest downward revisions I have ever observed," says Jeff Snider. The benchmark revision to Real Personal Income ERASED billions of dollars in presumed earnings from US workers since 2015, and especially in 2020 to 2021. "Truly stunning."

-----SEE EPISODE 94-------
Alhambra YouTube: https://bit.ly/2Xp3roy
Emil YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisL

-----HEAR EPISODE 94-----
Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn
Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN
Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE
iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI
TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z
Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza
Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M
Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY
Pandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3Qg
Breaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFO
Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ
Podbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDgh
Stitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GB
PlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjV
Podchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwN
PocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdt
SoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfK
ListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pb
AmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2P
PodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr

----EP. 94a REFERENCES----
No Matter What They Say, the Future Isn't Inflationary: https://bit.ly/3AjfK6N
RealClear Markets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7

----EP. 94b REFERENCES----
Sophistry Dressed (as) Reallocation: https://bit.ly/3rZOhUM
Alhambra Investments Blog: https://bit.ly/2VIC2wWlin

----EP. 94c REFERENCES----
Inflation Estimates (PCE) *Totally* Overshadowed By Benchma…
Out of the Frying Pan Recession and into...

2 augustus 2021 · 1 uur 29 min
Afspelen

PART 01: Gold Slams! Rapid, huge sales in early morning hours are warnings about a malfunction deep within the plumbing of global capital flows. They're also multi-week, precipitous price declines. We review the last few months of gold price to triangulate if the pipes are rattling warnings. Lees meer

PART 02: Foreigners were heavily selling US Treasuries in May 2021. Is this a GEOPOLITICAL plot? Is America's BANKRUPTCY imminent?!? Almost certainly not. We review the LONG HISTORY of foreigners selling US Treasuries in acute periods of dollar shortage. May's selling is a monetary warning.

PART 03: America's Covids Recession lasted only two months, says the National Bureau of Economic Research. But what if it wasn't a recession? What if 2007-09 wasn't a recession either? What if 2007-21 has been a depression? The Silent Depression.

-----SEE EPISODE 93-------
Alhambra YouTube: https://bit.ly/2Xp3roy
Emil YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisL

-----HEAR EPISODE 93-----
Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn
Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN
Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE
iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI
TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z
Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza
Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M
Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY
Pandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3Qg
Breaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFO
Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ
Podbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDgh
Stitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GB
PlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjV
Podchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwN
PocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdt
SoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfK
ListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pb
AmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2P
PodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr

----EP. 93a REFERENCES----
Golden Collateral Checking: https://bit.ly/3j7HKmS
Alhambra Investments Blog: https://bit.ly/2VIC2wWlin

----EP. 93b REFERENCES----
Yet Another Key Warning Sign, Piece Of Strong Evidence: TIC & The Long Misunderstood History of Selling Treasuries: https://bit.ly/3yezqrV
RealClear Markets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7

----EP. 93c REFERENCES-…
What FRONTLINE got SO wrong about the Fed

26 juli 2021 · 1 uur 36 min
Afspelen

FRONTLINE critiques the Fed for showering big banks, big business and Wall Street with easy money, which reached neither the real economy nor the vast majority of Americans. Yes to the latter, but no-no-no-no to the former. Lees meer

----SEE EPISODE 92-----
Alhambra YouTube: https://bit.ly/2Xp3roy
Emil YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisL

----HEAR EPISODE 92----
Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn
Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN
Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE
iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI
TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z
Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza
Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M
Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY
Pandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3Qg
Breaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFO
Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ
Podbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDgh
Stitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GB
PlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjV
Podchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwN
PocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdt
SoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfK
ListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pb
AmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2P
PodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr

----EP. 92 TOPICS--------
00:00:10 Frontline: the Fed is pumping billions of dollars into the financial system.
00:01:46 Frontline: the Fed is powerful and misunderstood.
00:04:58 Frontline: speculators crashed the system and the Fed rescued it.
00:12:24 Frontline: the Fed came up with the idea of quantitative easing.
00:14:38 Frontline: QE's purpose was to lower interest rates.
00:18:14 Frontline: QE was to increase credit to the economy.
00:20:33 Frontline: QE was a new experiment because Fed officials said it was.
00:23:48 Frontline: QE flooded the economy with easy money.
00:26:40 Frontline: QE powered the stock market.
00:33:40 Frontline: QE disconnected stocks from the real economy.
00:35:42 Frontline: QE didn't fix the economy because banks didn't allow it.
00:40:50 Frontline: QE2 was necessary because the Tea Party hobbled Congress.
00:47:10 Frontline: QE caused inequality because money went to banks.
00:59:33 Frontline: Wall St. was so addicted to QE it had a tap…
Glowing Orange: Repo Market Collateral Rumble

25 juli 2021 · 30 min
Afspelen

Early-morning action in the repo market shows a musical chairs-like collateral scramble; it has the Fed's attention. But the Fed is blasé about it (i.e. 'too much cash'). Yet these collateral scrambles resemble what we saw in March 2020. Lees meer

----SEE EPISODE #91----
Alhambra YouTube: https://bit.ly/2Xp3roy
Emil YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisL

----HEAR EPISODE #91---
Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn
Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN
Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE
iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI
TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z
Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza
Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M
Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY
Pandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3Qg
Breaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFO
Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ
Podbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDgh
Stitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GB
PlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjV
Podchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwN
PocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdt
SoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfK
ListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pb
AmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2P
PodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr

----EP #91 TOPICS-------
01:53 Montana Senator Daines asked a Jeff-Snider-question to Jerome Powell in testimony.
05:02 Jerome Powell stated the Fed is focusing on the [dead] Federal Funds rate / range. WHY?!
06:29 In later testimony Powell changes his mind from "too much cash" to "not little collateral"
11:11 The NYFed notices that most repo transactions take place very early in the morning. Why?
13:39 Early morning collateral scrambles? The repo market? These took place in March 2020.
17:53 The NYFed offers several other reasons for the scramble: fees and liquidity.
19:07 The NYFed notes that more trades are taking place pre-market (to preempt the scramble?)
20:27 Monday, July 19 UST Bond yields dropped - but that was not a Jeff Snider "collateral day"
23:32 Tuesday, July 20 UST Bill yields traced out a fang-like drop in an early morning scramble
25:25 Show Conclusion: collateral scrambles are not rainbow/unicorn-reflationary phenomena

----EP #91 REFERENC…
Interview-Professor Samuel Williamson: What is that Thing's Value Today? [Eurodollar University, Ep. 90]

22 juli 2021 · 58 min
Afspelen

Professor Sam Williamson, economic historian, explains how the value of commodities, projects and income/wealth should be properly measured across time (AND IT IS NOT WITH A CPI INDEX!). Otherwise, like a recent NY Times article, your worth may be off by a factor of 20!!!! Lees meer

--------EP. 90 REFERENCES--------
Measuring Worth: https://bit.ly/36TfZZD
Measuring Worth Twitter: https://bit.ly/3BuZotf
Measuring Worth Blog: https://bit.ly/3rqyz4R

NY Times Tulsa Article: https://nyti.ms/3eKKDIR
National Geographic Tulsa Article: https://on.natgeo.com/3izkL41

---------SEE IT-----------
Alhambra YouTube: https://bit.ly/2Xp3roy
Emil YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisL

---------HEAR IT----------
Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn
Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN
Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE
iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI
TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z
Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza
Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M
Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY
Pandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3Qg
Breaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFO
Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ
Podbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDgh
Stitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GB
PlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjV
Podchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwN
PocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdt
SoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfK
ListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pb
AmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2P
PodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr

----EPISODE #90 TOPICS----
0:00:00 The NYTimes says the 1921 Tulsa Race Riot cost $27M. And Professor Williamson? $534m.
0:06:24 Introducing Professor Samuel H. Williamson
0:09:21 At what point does using "CPI" to value something in the past stop making sense?
0:11:25 George Washington's nephew asked to borrow $1,000 in 1800 - how much is that worth now?
0:16:03 Why does the mainstream press continue to use woefully inadequate estimates of worth?
0:16:38 How does one select the correct measure of present worth for a historical value?
0:20:45 What does Professor Williamson think about the current "transitory" inflation debate?
0:29:41 Is the…
Light at the End of the Tunnel

19 juli 2021 · 1 uur 12 min
Afspelen

PART 01: Jay Powell has confirmed a surging Fed program (RRP) is partly the result of safe-asset demand. But he plays it off as a monetary technicality, mere arcana. Nope! Safe-asset scarcity is step one along a well-trod path towards a malfunctioning economy. Here's what happens next. Lees meer

PART 02: The People's Bank of China lowers its bank Required Reserve Ratio to get money into a slowing economy. A lowered RRR means that there aren't enough (euro)dollars flowing into China. Why? Because there aren't enough (euro)dollars in the world. A lower RRR is a warning for the whole world.

PART 03: El Salvador announced its crypto intentions seemingly out of the blue. But a closer look reveals the nation had run dangerously short of (euro)dollars in early 2021. It went to the IMF for a bailout. Now it heads to the crypto world for one. Just like people did in the 14th-century. Wait, what?!

----SEE EPISODE #89----
Alhambra YouTube: https://bit.ly/2Xp3roy
Emil YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisL

----HEAR EPISODE #89---
Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn
Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN
Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE
iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI
TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z
Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza
Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M
Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY
Pandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3Qg
Breaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFO
Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ
Podbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDgh
Stitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GB
PlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjV
Podchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwN
PocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdt
SoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfK
ListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pb
AmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2P
PodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr

----EP #89a REFERENCES---
Powell Admits RRP and Collateral Scarcity, Still Unaware Of What It Means: https://bit.ly/3hK2dP9
To This Day, the World Still Thinks It Was About QE: https://bit.ly/3zbSS8V
The China of Today Seeks Nothing But Its Own Terms: https://bit.ly/3ks2qII

----EP #89b REFERENCES---
How Do You Spel…
Götterdämmerung

12 juli 2021 · 1 uur 11 min
Afspelen

PART 01: When the US Treasury yield curve inverts it is a warning that recession is on the horizon. What about when the Eurodollar Futures yield curve rolls over on its back? Not good news either. Would you believe that there's a kink in the curve now? Would you believe it's not great news? Lees meer

PART 02: The yields on German sovereign bonds began to tumble in May - now we know why. German Factory Orders and Industrial Production delivered lousy results that month. Germany is an export power so these negatives say a lot about the global customer - that's us.

PART 03: A review of US, Chinese and global purchasing manager indices for manufacturing and services shows just a few too many "not great" readings. Not necessarily bad but within the context of HUGE 'money printing' and GIGA deficit blowouts shouldn't the economy be rip-roaring?

----SEE EPISODE #88----
Alhambra YouTube: https://bit.ly/2Xp3roy
Emil YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisL

----HEAR EPISODE #88---
Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn
Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN
Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE
iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI
TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z
Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza
Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M
Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY
Pandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3Qg
Breaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFO
Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ
Podbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDgh
Stitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GB
PlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjV
Podchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwN
PocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdt
SoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfK
ListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pb
AmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2P
PodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr

----EP #88 REFERENCES----
Eurodollar Curve Quirk Trivia, But Not Trivial To Anti-Inflation: https://bit.ly/2UFv51P
Bond Reversal In Japan, But Pay Attention To It In Germany: https://bit.ly/2VvCa5J
ISM’s Nasty Little Surprise Isn’t Actually A Surprise: https://bit.ly/3k2Y1LU
Alhambra Investments Blog: https://bit.ly/2VIC2wW
RealClear Markets Essays: https://bit.ly/…
Reading Jeff Snider on the Fed's Not-Hot Dot-Plot

2 juli 2021 · 22 min
Afspelen

Non-economist, monetary iconoclast Jeff Snider's commentary on the the 'big news' about the 'hawkish' new Fed forecast implying economic recovery championed by the business press while at the same time an underlying liquidity reading (RRP) glows orange. A warning. And a reading, by Emil Kalinowski. Lees meer

----------WHO----------
Jeff Snider of Alhambra Investments. Read by Emil Kalinowski. Art by David Parkins. Intro/outro is "Strolling with You" by John Runefelt at Epidemic Sound.

----------WHAT----------
The Dots Are On the Move, But So Are the Dot Spoilers: https://bit.ly/360hjJM
Overnight Reverse Repurchase Agreements: https://bit.ly/3jDOLxV

----------WHERE----------
Jeff's Alhambra Blog: https://bit.ly/2VIC2wW
Jeff's RealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7
Jeff's Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP

Emil's Twitter: https://twitter.com/EmilKalinowski
David's Art: https://davidparkins.com/

---------HEAR IT----------
Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn
Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN
Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE
iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI
TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z
Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza
Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M
Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY
Pandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3Qg
Breaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFO
Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ
Podbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDgh
Stitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GB
PlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjV
Podchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwN
PocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdt
SoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfK
ListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pb
AmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2P
PodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr
Reading Jeff Snider on Central Bankers Having No New Ideas

30 juni 2021 · 21 min
Afspelen

Non-economist, monetary iconoclast Jeff Snider's commentary on yet another central bank study concluding that there are TANGIBLE problems with quantitative easing and what benefits can be observed are INTANGIBLE. Sweden's Riksbank observes collateral shortages. A reading, by Emil Kalinowski. Lees meer

----------WHO----------
Jeff Snider of Alhambra Investments. Read by Emil Kalinowski. Art by David Parkins. Intro/outro is "Steak Frites" by Dylan Sitts at Epidemic Sound.

----------WHAT----------
Because Central Bankers Have No Clue What Else To Do: https://bit.ly/3xXInFx
The Liquidity of the Government Bond Market – What Impact Does Quantitative Easing Have? Evidence from Sweden: https://bit.ly/3w8iWjm

----------WHERE----------
Jeff's Alhambra Blog: https://bit.ly/2VIC2wW
Jeff's RealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7
Jeff's Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP

Emil's Twitter: https://twitter.com/EmilKalinowski
David's Art: https://davidparkins.com/

---------HEAR IT----------
Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn
Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN
Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE
iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI
TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z
Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza
Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M
Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY
Pandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3Qg
Breaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFO
Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ
Podbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDgh
Stitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GB
PlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjV
Podchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwN
PocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdt
SoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfK
ListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pb
AmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2P
PodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr
Reading Jeff Snider on Trouble Ahead

28 juni 2021 · 21 min
Afspelen

Non-economist, monetary iconoclast Jeff Snider's commentary on why inflation is unwelcome directly and welcome indirectly. Also, economic depression and hopelessness have struck the United States many times. A review of contemporary accounts of despair and hope about the future from the 19th and 20th centuries. A reading, by Emil Kalinowski. Lees meer

----------WHO----------
Jeff Snider of Alhambra Investments. Read by Emil Kalinowski. Art by David Parkins. Intro/outro is "Nocturnal Jam" by Sarah, the Illstrumentalist at Epidemic Sound.

----------WHAT----------
Growing Indications There's More Trouble Ahead: https://bit.ly/35XF1Xc

----------WHERE----------
Jeff's Alhambra Blog: https://bit.ly/2VIC2wW
Jeff's RealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7
Jeff's Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP

Emil's Twitter: https://twitter.com/EmilKalinowski
David's Art: https://davidparkins.com/

---------HEAR IT----------
Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn
Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN
Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE
iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI
TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z
Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza
Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M
Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY
Pandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3Qg
Breaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFO
Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ
Podbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDgh
Stitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GB
PlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjV
Podchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwN
PocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdt
SoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfK
ListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pb
AmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2P
PodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr
The Bond Market Foreshadows

23 juni 2021 · 1 uur 6 min
Afspelen

PART 01: After the Federal Reserve raised the return on one of its bank programs, a record $756 billion flowed into the central bank’s reverse repo facility. Jerome Powel said, "We're not concerned." He should be. Like the Fed should've been in 2017 when something similar happened. A warning. Again. Lees meer

PART 02: How is it possible 14 years of data shows the Federal Reserve FLAILING ABOUT trying to raise or lower bond yields with MASSIVE purchases of securities via quantitative easing? Because they were 'massive'. The CENTRAL BANK IS NOT CENTRAL to money. The bond market is.

PART 03: The multi-year benchmark revisions to Retail Sales and Industrial Production reveal - Surprise! - the economy was much worse than initially reported. But guess who wasn't surprised? The bond market.

---------SEE IT-----------
Alhambra YouTube: https://bit.ly/2Xp3roy
Emil YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisL

---------HEAR IT----------
Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn
Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN
Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE
iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI
TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z
Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza
Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M
Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY
Pandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3Qg
Breaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFO
Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ
Podbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDgh
Stitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GB
PlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjV
Podchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwN
PocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdt
SoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfK
ListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pb
AmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2P
PodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr

--------REFERENCES--------
The FOMC Accidentally Exposes Itself (Reverse Repo-style): https://bit.ly/3zCfXTe
79a Warning: the Fed's Reverse Repo Program Surges!: https://youtu.be/9VqAB07ny4w
Upcoming Bill Cliff Refunding Recalls Rerun Reverse Repo: https://bit.ly/3j59E4P
Overnight RRP Operations as a Monetary Policy Tool: https://bit.ly/2TN1XFr
No Reason To Toss Out Low Rates In The Inflation Debate: The Repo Rat …
Interview: Daniel Want

18 juni 2021 · 1 uur 25 min
Afspelen

Daniel Want, the early-21st century Australian philosopher and Chief Investment Officer of Prerequisite Capital, discusses: absence of knowledge at educational institutions, transitory inflation, first principles, disconnected markets, justice as prerequisite and the unified magnitude of the crisis. Lees meer

--------REFERENCES--------
Prerequisite Capital: https://bit.ly/3gjMvd7
Training Videos: https://bit.ly/3czM4sM

Daniel LinkedIn: https://bit.ly/3gt3Rmq
Daniel Twitter: https://bit.ly/3gsH0r3
Daniel Gold Presentation: https://youtu.be/W619cfz25lQ

---------SEE IT-----------
Alhambra YouTube: https://bit.ly/2Xp3roy
Emil YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisL

---------HEAR IT----------
Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn
Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN
Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE
iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI
TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z
Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza
Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M
Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY
Pandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3Qg
Breaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFO
Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ
Podbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDgh
Stitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GB
PlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjV
Podchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwN
PocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdt
SoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfK
ListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pb
AmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2P
PodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr

----EPISODE #83 TOPICS----
0:01:04 Will you receive an education if you attend college / university in the year 2021?
0:12:38 The Treasury, Eurodollar and US dollar markets are in agreement: transitory inflation.
0:26:16 What condition is the world (excluding the USA) economy in?
0:28:52 What condition is China's economy in?
0:37:02 Are sovereign bond yields still reliable signals if central banks are buying bonds?
0:45:58 Collateral demand signals system deterioration and impediments to private enterprise.
0:53:36 Economists pursue an ideal technocracy unaware of limits to understanding / knowledge.
0:59:53 Properly functioning markets rest upon …
Janitor, Not Central Bank

16 juni 2021 · 54 min
Afspelen

PART 01: What should a central bank be? What does one do? Is what the Fed does 'central banking'? What did Ben Bernanke promise in 2002 that the Fed would never do again -- learning the lesson of the 1930s -- and how did he break his promise less than 5 years later? Lees meer

PART 02: In March 2020 long-term US Treasury yields shot higher - why? Aren't these safe assets? Did the 'Treasury market break'? No. Yields shot higher due to illiquidity. And liquidity is JOB #1 of a central bank. So... here's looking at you Federal Reserve.

PART 03: Central banks inject liquidity into money markets to PREVENT a crisis. Let us review the last 14 years: Global Financial Crisis I (2008), European Sovereign Debt Crisis (2011), Chinese Reserve Crisis (2015), Global Financial Crisis II (2020). Not too good. Do they know what they're doing?

---------SEE IT-----------
Alhambra YouTube: https://bit.ly/2Xp3roy
Emil YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisL

---------HEAR IT----------
Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn
Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN
Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE
iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI
TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z
Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza
Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M
Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY
Pandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3Qg
Breaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFO
Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ
Podbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDgh
Stitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GB
PlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjV
Podchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwN
PocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdt
SoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfK
ListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pb
AmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2P
PodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr

--------REFERENCES--------
When You Aren’t Actually A Central Bank, Part 1: The Real Inflation: https://bit.ly/350rgXe
The Fed Is the Perpetual Janitor, Cleaning Up After Itself: https://bit.ly/3ird5Cw
When You Aren’t Actually A Central Bank, Part 2: The Stubborn Deflation: https://bit.ly/3x5fMxt
Alhambra Investments Blog: https://bit.ly/2VIC2wW
RealClear Markets Essays: h…
Uncertain Shadow Money

7 juni 2021 · 46 min
Afspelen

PART 01: A new measure of the monetary order will be unveiled at the end of this two-part episode. But first, a discussion of uncertainty, incomplete pictures, relativity, perspective and the limits of human knowledge. Also, bank reserves and repurchase agreements. Lees meer

PART 02: Within the US Triparty Repo environment, utilizing data from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, we observe that three dollar shortages between 2010-20 appeared as a stagnation and/or contraction in observations per repurchase agreement transaction.

---------SEE IT-----------
Alhambra YouTube: https://bit.ly/2Xp3roy
Emil YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisL

---------HEAR IT----------
Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn
Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN
Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE
iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI
TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z
Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza
Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M
Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY
Pandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3Qg
Breaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFO
Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ
Podbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDgh
Stitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GB
PlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjV
Podchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwN
PocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdt
SoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfK
ListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pb
AmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2P
PodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr

--------REFERENCES--------
The First Part of the Quantum of Money: QE, Repo, and…Niels Bohr: https://bit.ly/3fRdITU
The Second Part of the Quantum of Money: Results From The Triparty Repo Experiment: https://bit.ly/3vSWzPs
NY FRB Tri-Party/GCF Repo: https://nyfed.org/2TxpV7B
Alhambra Investments Blog: https://bit.ly/2VIC2wW
RealClear Markets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7

---------WHO-----------
Jeff Snider, Head of Global Investment Research for Alhambra Investments and Emil Kalinowski. Art by David Parkins. Podcast intro/outro is "36mm" by Jobii at Epidemic Sound.
Reading Around - Myrmikan on The Path to Hyperinflation

4 juni 2021 · 21 min
Afspelen

Historian and political economist Daniel Oliver's commentary on why the quantity of currency is less important than the quality of the collateral backing it. In the USA the quality of the Federal Reserve's assets suggests two options remain: searing hyperinflation or wrenching austerity. A reading, by Emil Kalinowski. Lees meer

----------WHO----------
Daniel Oliver of Myrmikan Capital. Read by Emil Kalinowski. Art by David Parkins. Intro/outro is "Glitterati" by Fox Morrow at Epidemic Sound.

----------WHAT----------
The Path to Hyperinflation: https://bit.ly/3uDNmZW

----------WHERE----------
Daniel Oliver's Writings: http://www.myrmikan.com/
Daniel Oliver's Twitter: https://twitter.com/myrmikan

Emil's Twitter: https://twitter.com/EmilKalinowski
Jeff's Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP
Art: https://davidparkins.com/

---------HEAR IT----------
Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn
Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN
Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE
iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI
TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z
Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza
Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M
Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY
Pandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3Qg
Breaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFO
Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ
Podbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDgh
Stitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GB
PlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjV
Podchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwN
PocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdt
SoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfK
ListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pb
AmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2P
PodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr
Ghost Money, the Eurodollar and Crypto

2 juni 2021 · 1 uur 8 min
Afspelen

PART 01: All of a sudden the Federal Reserve's Reverse Repo Program has exploded higher to half-a-trillion dollars. Why? The mainstream, orthodox narrative is that 'this is fine'; a response to 'too many bank reserves'. What does it really mean? Collateral scarcity. Systemic fragility. A warning. Lees meer

PART 02: Chile, one of the 20th-century's rare economic success stories - from a low level of development to just short of advanced - held an election to rewrite its constitution. The winners? Anti-capitalists. And why not? After all, if a decade-long depression is capitalism...

PART 03: In the 15th century there was a Great Bullion Famine, which was solved by "ghost money". In the 1950s there was a Dollar Shortage, which was solved by the "eurodollar". In 2007 the Great Eurodollar Famine began (and hasn't ended!). Will it be solved by crypto currencies?

---------SEE IT-----------
Alhambra YouTube: https://bit.ly/2Xp3roy
Emil YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisL

---------HEAR IT----------
Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn
Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN
Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE
iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI
TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z
Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza
Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M
Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY
Pandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3Qg
Breaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFO
Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ
Podbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDgh
Stitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GB
PlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjV
Podchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwN
PocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdt
SoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfK
ListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pb
AmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2P
PodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr

--------REFERENCES--------
Reserving Observations On The Reverse Repo Of Reserves: https://bit.ly/3c4hyXz
No Reserving Interpretation About Reverse Repo Collateral Connection(s): https://bit.ly/3usmxb7
Chilling Global Wind Blowing Stronger: Chilly In Chile: https://bit.ly/3vy1Yv9
We'll Continue Hearing About a Global Recovery That Isn't Real…
Confessions to the Super Blood Moon

31 mei 2021 · 1 uur 16 min
Afspelen

PART 01: On May 26, 2021 the Earth will witness a Super Flower Blood Moon - a sure sign of the apocalypse (again). It is no wonder then that, with the end upon us all, the Federal Reserve took the opportunity to confess in their recent meeting minutes that bank reserves are not money. Lees meer

PART 02: There may be no better view into the incomprehensibly complex global monetary order than the Treasury International Capital report. We review the March TIC report and find a number of positive, good reflationary signals. We also find a number of bad, anti-reflationary warnings.

PART 03: A review of three economic accounts and three monetary accounts produce the same message: "Meh". Retail Sales, Fixed Asset Investment and Industrial Production point to continued economic deceleration. Meanwhile the People's Bank of China is not bothering to stimulate. Why?

---------SEE IT-----------
Alhambra YouTube: https://bit.ly/2Xp3roy
Emil YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisL

---------HEAR IT----------
Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn
Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN
Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE
iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI
TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z
Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza
Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M
Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY
Pandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3Qg
Breaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFO
Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ
Podbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDgh
Stitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GB
PlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjV
Podchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwN
PocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdt
SoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfK
ListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pb
AmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2P
PodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr

--------REFERENCES--------
Inflation Huge: Jay Powell Did Blink, But It Had *Nothing* To Do With ‘Taper’: https://bit.ly/3vnrJOz
Minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee (April 27–28, 2021): https://bit.ly/3bVjnpJ
TIC Reflation Rolling (Over?): https://bit.ly/3fQwPwg
China Repeats Its Same Case For No-Inflation Bond Yields: https://bit.ly…
4 Reasons Why Inflation is Transitory

24 mei 2021 · 38 min
Afspelen

"Inflation" is a generalized, sustained increase in consumer prices. A spike in consumer prices is just that - a transitory spike. Watch as Jeff gives four reasons and examples (2000, 2008, 2021 bond yields and auctions) why the probabilities favor a rise in CPI, not "inflation". Lees meer

---------SEE IT-----------
Alhambra YouTube: https://bit.ly/2Xp3roy
Emil YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisL

---------HEAR IT----------
Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn
Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN
Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE
iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI
TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z
Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza
Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M
Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY
Pandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3Qg
Breaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFO
Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ
Podbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDgh
Stitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GB
PlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjV
Podchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwN
PocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdt
SoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfK
ListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pb
AmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2P
PodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr

----EPISODE #77 TOPICS----
00:00 What is the difference between a rise in consumer prices and inflation?
02:10 What are some examples of generalized "inflation" versus "consumer price increase"
04:09 Does generalized, sustained inflation mean real generalized, sustained economic activity?
06:30 The summer-autumn of 2000 delivered surging inflation - right on the cusp of a recession.
09:06 The bond market looked through the 2000 inflation surge to... the incoming recession.
13:06 The bond market looked through the 2008 inflation surge to... the incoming recession.
17:43 The April 2021 reading of US consumer price (including core) was nuclear explosion hot.
19:46 In 2000 we witnessed a similar inflation shock, that was not sustained (transitory?).
21:23 Since 2000 we have witnessed a number of inflation SURGES... that proved transitory.
23:18 What would change Jeff's mind about "transitory" inflation?
26:04 Prod…
Reading George Friedman on The Myth of a Rules-Based World

21 mei 2021 · 12 min
Afspelen

Historian and geopolitical strategist George Friedman's commentary on two concepts of international relations: a liberal international order and a rules-based system. A reading, by Emil Kalinowski. Lees meer

----------WHO----------
George Friedman of Geopolitical Futures. Read by Emil Kalinowski. Art by David Parkins. Intro/outro is "South Is That Way" by Lofive featuring Divty at Epidemic Sound.

----------WHAT----------
The Myth of a Rules-Based World: https://bit.ly/3ugx2yP

----------WHERE----------
George Friedman's Writings: https://bit.ly/3gUl7ms
George Friedman's Twitter: https://twitter.com/George_Friedman

Geopolitical Futures: https://geopoliticalfutures.com/
Geopolitical Futures Twitter: https://twitter.com/gpfutures

Emil's Twitter: https://twitter.com/EmilKalinowski
Jeff's Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP
Art: https://davidparkins.com/

---------HEAR IT----------
Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn
Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN
Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE
iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI
TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z
Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza
Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M
Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY
Pandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3Qg
Breaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFO
Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ
Podbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDgh
Stitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GB
PlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjV
Podchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwN
PocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdt
SoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfK
ListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pb
AmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2P
PodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr
A Rise in Prices or Dictators or Both

20 mei 2021 · 1 uur 3 min
Afspelen

PART 01: In the 1930s the economic devastation was so bad that only radical solutions remained. But then, like now in our Silent Depression, radicalism does not mean success necessarily. The key is to first understand why the devastation in the first place. Otherwise? Dictators. Lees meer

PART 02: Starting in October 2019 the Federal Reserve began to buy US Treasury Bills, EXCLUSIVELY. Starting in March 2020 the Fed stopped buy UST Bills, EXPLICITLY. What happened in between? Only the second Global Financial Crisis. 'Oops! Sorry we stripped the system of collateral.'

PART 03: Claudius Ptolemy, a genius, reconciled a geocentric model of the Universe with unexpected planetary paths with "deferent", "epicycle", "eccentric" and "equant" movements. Ben Bernanke, a technocrat, reconciled the unexpected path of bond yields with "term premia".

---------SEE IT-----------
Alhambra YouTube: https://bit.ly/2Xp3roy
Emil YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisL

---------HEAR IT----------
Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn
Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN
Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE
iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI
TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z
Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza
Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M
Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY
Pandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3Qg
Breaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFO
Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ
Podbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDgh
Stitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GB
PlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjV
Podchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwN
PocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdt
SoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfK
ListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pb
AmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2P
PodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr

--------REFERENCES--------
Higher Prices Must Be Engineered to Restrain Dictators: https://bit.ly/3ttRxXt
SOMA’s Been Talking For Over A Year: Jay’s Got Some Explaining To Do (bills): https://bit.ly/33sXYja
Global, Not Term Premiums: What Low Yields Really Say: https://bit.ly/2RCgVgL
Is There a Global Factor in U.S. Bond Yields?: https://bit.ly/3f7qjRo
Alhambra …
Interview: Allison Fedirka

17 mei 2021 · 1 uur 23 min
Afspelen

Geopolitical analyst Allison Fedirka explains what made some countries socioeconomic success stories, where the next emerging market stars may be, and whether a decentralized international balance is in our future. Lees meer

---------SEE IT-----------
Geopolitical Futures: https://bit.ly/3hv7Px0
LinkedIn: https://bit.ly/3eN7qEi
Twitter: https://twitter.com/AFedirka

Alhambra YouTube: https://bit.ly/2Xp3roy
Emil YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisL

---------HEAR IT----------
Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn
Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN
Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE
iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI
TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z
Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza
Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M
Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY
Pandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3Qg
Breaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFO
Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ
Podbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDgh
Stitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GB
PlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjV
Podchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwN
PocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdt
SoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfK
ListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pb
AmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2P
PodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr

----EPISODE #74 TOPICS----
01:10 Allison Fedirka, director of analysis for Geopolitical Futures (and polyglot!) as guest.
06:18 Uruguay is the (very?) rare socioeconomic success story - how did they do it?
14:52 Chile is the (very?) rare socioeconomic success stories - how did they do it?
18:55 Where does long-term political stability emanate from?
23:46 Which country or region has the potential to be the next emerging market success story?
26:52 How does the trend of deglobalization factor into geopolitical analysis?
29:31 Which countries demonstrate and execute successfully on a long-term vision? How do they?
40:06 Was the conceit of post-Cold War Globalization that it was inevitable and an evolution?
45:23 The biggest danger to geopolitical strategists is to not forecast serious changes.
49:40 What does the next world order look like? What is the next geopo…
LIVE! Reaction Answering the WSJ's Greg Ip

14 mei 2021 · 18 min
Afspelen

Might the economy take off? According to a Wall Street Journal opinion column, solid wage growth and unfilled openings point to much less labor market slack than headline unemployment data. Jeff Snider reacts live. Lees meer

---------SEE IT-----------
Alhambra YouTube: https://bit.ly/2Xp3roy
Emil YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisL

---------HEAR IT----------
Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn
Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN
Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE
iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI
TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z
Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza
Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M
Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY
Pandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3Qg
Breaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFO
Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ
Podbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDgh
Stitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GB
PlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjV
Podchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwN
PocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdt
SoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfK
ListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pb
AmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2P
PodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr

----EPISODE #73 TOPICS----
00:58 Some data suggests the US labor market is starting to look - well - tight.
02:08 Expect to hear about labor shortages and bottlenecks for the rest of the year.
02:46 In a bad labor market workers would accept much lower pay. That hasn’t happened.
04:34 Another sign of a tightening labor market: employers having trouble staffing up.
06:59 Why do some numbers suggest labor slack while other numbers suggest it is tight?
09:20 Greg Ip suggests "Only a small share of those labor market dropouts want a job."
14:52 The jobs market is not as bad as we think, therefore there is a risk of inflation.

--------REFERENCES--------
The Job Market Is Tighter Than You Think: https://on.wsj.com/3heuQ7q
Alhambra Investments Blog: https://bit.ly/2VIC2wW
RealClear Markets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7

---------WHO-----------
Jeff Snider, Head of Global Investment Research for Alhambra Investments with Emil Kalinowski. Art by David Parkins. Podcast intro/outro i…
Is Warren Buffett Beautiful?

12 mei 2021 · 32 min
Afspelen

From 2009-12 Buffett warned that emergency monetary and fiscal action would stoke inflation, that the dollar was in the hands of a profligate Congress and that Treasuries would lose real value. He was wrong. Now he's back. Lees meer

"Number one rule of Wall Street: nobody - I don't care if you're Warren Buffett or Jimmy Buffett - nobody knows if the stock's going to go up, down, sideways, or in [#]ucking circles; least of all stockbrokers. It's all a Fugazzi. You know what a Fugazzi is?"
- Matthew McConaughey as Mark Hanna in "The Wolf of Wall Street"

---------SEE IT-----------
Alhambra YouTube: https://bit.ly/2Xp3roy
Emil YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisL

---------HEAR IT----------
TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z
Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn
Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE
iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI
Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza
Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M
Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN
Breaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFO
Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ
Podbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDgh
Stitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GB
PlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjV
Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY
Pandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3Qg
Podchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwN
SoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfK
PocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdt
ListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pb
AmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2P
PodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr

----EPISODE #72 TOPICS----
01:16 Howard Buffett, Warren's father, was an outspoken opponent of the New Deal fiscal deficits
03:04 Prior to 1933 the gold standard was an opportunity for people to act as 'bond vigilantes'
05:14 In 2009 Buffett warned of fiscal irresponsibility; the dollar's value in danger (nope).
09:21 In 2011 Buffett warned that the US dollar purchasing power would suffer losses (nope).
12:13 In 2011 Buffett warned that the potential for inflation was significant (nope).
12:26 In 2012 Buffett warned that the value of US Treasuries would suffer real losses (nope).
14:29 Are stocks a discounting mechanism that accurately reflect eco…
Interview: Carolyn Sissoko

10 mei 2021 · 54 min
Afspelen

Professor Sissoko focuses attention on the fact that the post-2008 financial system has changed dramatically but that technocrats have not tackled what the changes mean. Sissoko discusses the path to the 2008 and 2020 shocks and proposes we turn the clock back to a wiser time. Lees meer

---------SEE IT-----------
Alhambra YouTube: https://bit.ly/2Xp3roy
Emil YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisL

---------HEAR IT----------
Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn
Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN
Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE
iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI
TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z
Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza
Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M
Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY
Pandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3Qg
Breaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFO
Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ
Podbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDgh
Stitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GB
PlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjV
Podchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwN
PocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdt
SoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfK
ListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pb
AmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2P
PodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr

----EPISODE #71 TOPICS----
01:57 Who is Carolyn Sissoko, associate professor of at the University of the West of England?
05:41 What legal decisions led to such a preeminent position for the modern day repo market?
11:03 The Fed delivered liquidity in 2008 and 2020 but should markets come to count on it?
17:02 Profound legal changes in financial markets caught central bank economists unawares.
19:26 A summary of Carolyn's "The Collateral Supply Effect on Central Bank Policy"
22:27 When the Fed stopped freely financing intraday credit for banks, it encouraged repo
25:30 Is a collateralized loan safer than uncollateralized at both the micro and macro levels?
27:36 What 'moment' led to the 'birth' of the modern-day, systemically critical repo market?
34:15 Is the repo market inherently and irredeemably unstable?
39:27 Is there a solution: central counterparty, dealer of last resort, standing repo facility
43:16 Caro…
Reading Around: George Friedman on War with China and Russia

7 mei 2021 · 15 min
Afspelen

Historian and geopolitical strategist George Friedman's commentary on the (un)likelihood of war with China and Russia. A reading, by Emil Kalinowski. Lees meer

----------WHO----------
George Friedman of Geopolitical Futures. Read by Emil Kalinowski. Art by David Parkins. Intro/outro is "Sweet Violet" by Yi Nantiro at Epidemic Sound.

----------WHAT----------
The Unlikelihood of a War With China and Russia: https://bit.ly/2Rg3LWn
The most dangerous place on Earth: https://econ.st/3nHHcG5
Putin’s next move: https://econ.st/3aVQQQw

----------WHERE----------
George Friedman's Writings: https://bit.ly/3gUl7ms
George Friedman's Twitter: https://twitter.com/George_Friedman

Geopolitical Futures: https://geopoliticalfutures.com/
Geopolitical Futures Twitter: https://twitter.com/gpfutures
Geopolitical Futures Podcast: https://bit.ly/3tgFahj

Emil's Twitter: https://twitter.com/EmilKalinowski
Art: https://davidparkins.com/

---------HEAR IT----------
Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn
Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN
Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE
iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI
TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z
Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza
Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M
Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY
Pandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3Qg
Breaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFO
Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ
Podbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDgh
Stitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GB
PlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjV
Podchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwN
PocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdt
SoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfK
ListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pb
AmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2P
PodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr
LIVE! Reaction: Answering The Economist

5 mei 2021 · 18 min
Afspelen

The Economist magazine states that "the covid-19 crisis is highlighting the limits of unemployment-insurance figures" and therefore "jobless-claims data give little insight into America’s economy". Jeff Snider reacts Live! to the article and offers his own thoughts. Lees meer

---------SEE IT-----------
Alhambra YouTube: https://bit.ly/2Xp3roy
Emil YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisL

---------HEAR IT----------
Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn
Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN
Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE
iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI
TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z
Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza
Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M
Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY
Pandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3Qg
Breaker: https://bit.ly/2CpHAFO
Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ
Podbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDgh
Stitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GB
PlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjV
Podchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwN
PocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdt
SoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfK
ListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pb
AmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2P
PodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr

----EPISODE #69 TOPICS----
01:34 The Economist finds some of the unemployment data in the United States unbelievable
03:32 The 80 million claims filed last year does not mean that 80 million were unemployed
05:09 The Economist implies that because the 80M is preposterous the other labor stats are too
07:34 It is legitimate to acknowledge distortions to the labor stats; there are anomalies
09:32 Many economic accounts indicate that bad news in unemployment is perfectly reasonable
10:22 The jobless claims / labor market is improving over recent weeks.
13:13 Is there a clearly, unambiguous positive economic metric in the US economy?

--------REFERENCES--------
Why jobless-claims data give little insight into America’s economy: https://econ.st/3xzZn5r
Alhambra Investments Blog: https://bit.ly/2VIC2wW
RealClear Markets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7

---------WHO-----------
Jeff Snider, Head of Global Investment Research for Alh…
Constrained Money Dealers

3 mei 2021 · 1 uur 12 min
Afspelen

PART 01: The rise and fall of an arbitrage trade by hedge funds known as the Treasury cash-futures basis trade. That was the focus of an excellent research paper by two government researchers. But there's just one problem. They don't ask what caused the rise of the basis trade in the first place. Lees meer

PART 02: Open interest in US Treasury Long Bond futures have crossed the 800,000-line only a few times in the past quarter-century. Nothing ever good happened in markets or the world economy when that happened. Where are they today? Almost 1.2 million. Why, who and when?

PART 03: On April 23 the 5-year US Treasury Inflation Protected Security auction resulted in LOWER inflation expectations. For years now these auctions conveyed RISING market-based inflation expectations. But now? With monetary 'printing' and fiscal 'stimulus' gone wild the market says, "Put your shirt back on."

---------SPONSOR----------
But first, this from Eurodollar Enterprises! Friends, are you employed by the Ministry of Treasure? Do your political masters require foaming asset prices to placate the great unwashed? Are you unsure how to balance maniacal froth with sustainable momentum? Then a box of Bath Suds from Eurodollar Enterprises is for you!

Yes, practice blowing bubbles in the gurgling luxury of your free-standing clawfoot tub. Find the perfect mix between liquidity and hot air with the capital markets foam formulation. Our line of bubble brews include: currencies, commodities, cryptos and collectibles. Blow them all! Orders received today will come with a fussy central banker - typically retailing for the price of hedge fund general partner - absolutely free! Simulate the political arena trying to blow it in the presence of an erratic technocrat. Don't blow it! Blow it, with Bath Suds. New! From Eurodollar Enterprises. (Central banker swimsuit not included.)

---------SEE IT-----------
Alhambra YouTube: https://bit.ly/2Xp3roy
Emil YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisL

---------HEAR IT--------…

Alle afleveringen

Reading Jeff Snider: 1/3 of US, Canadian Small Businesses Can't Pay Rent [Ep. 117]

Reading Jeff Snider: Revisiting 2019's Inventory Overhang [Ep. 116]

Bonds, Treasury Bonds [Ep. 115]

Reading Michael Pettis: Why the Bezzle Matters to the Economy [Ep. 114]

Reading the BIS: 70 Years of International Banking [Ep. 113]

Reading Lyn Alden: Supply Chain Woes [Ep. 112]

Reading Jeff Snider: History's Great Monetary Shortages [Ep. 111]

Reading Jeff Snider: Liquidity Risk Concerns Given Credit Risk 'Solutions' [Ep. 110]

Reading Jeff Snider: If a Fed Taper Falls in the Woods... [Ep. 109]

Ticker Tape(r) Parade? [Ep. 108]

Reading Karl Marx: The Paris Manuscripts [Ep. 107]

Reading Myrmikan: Real Rates Go More Negative [Ep. 106]

Reading George Friedman: JFK & the Origin of Forever Wars [Ep. 105]

Reading Jeff Snider: PracTICal Remainders and Reminders [Ep. 104]

Reading Jeff Snider: Evergrande isn't Lehman but (another) Bear Stearns [Ep. 103]

Reading Jeff Snider: The Caribbean's Dollar Warning [Ep. 102]

Reading Jeff Snider: There's Too Little Money Now [Ep. 101]

Inflation is not a Price Increase [Ep. 100]

Labor Shortage: The Fed's Get Out Of Jail Free Card [Ep. 99]

Wisdom of the Crowds [Ep. 98]

Taper (but no) Tantrum! Why not? [Ep. 97]

The dogs bark, but the caravan goes on... [Ep. 96]

Omens of Bad Luck [Ep. 95]

Let them Eat SDRs

Out of the Frying Pan Recession and into...

What FRONTLINE got SO wrong about the Fed

Glowing Orange: Repo Market Collateral Rumble

Interview-Professor Samuel Williamson: What is that Thing's Value Today? [Eurodollar University, Ep. 90]

Light at the End of the Tunnel

Götterdämmerung

Reading Jeff Snider on the Fed's Not-Hot Dot-Plot

Reading Jeff Snider on Central Bankers Having No New Ideas

Reading Jeff Snider on Trouble Ahead

The Bond Market Foreshadows

Interview: Daniel Want

Janitor, Not Central Bank

Uncertain Shadow Money

Reading Around - Myrmikan on The Path to Hyperinflation

Ghost Money, the Eurodollar and Crypto

Confessions to the Super Blood Moon

4 Reasons Why Inflation is Transitory

Reading George Friedman on The Myth of a Rules-Based World

A Rise in Prices or Dictators or Both

Interview: Allison Fedirka

LIVE! Reaction Answering the WSJ's Greg Ip

Is Warren Buffett Beautiful?

Interview: Carolyn Sissoko

Reading Around: George Friedman on War with China and Russia

LIVE! Reaction: Answering The Economist

Constrained Money Dealers