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100 afleveringen, van nieuw naar oud
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Geopolitics and US and European yields in the spotlight
24 augustus 2026 · 19 min
Today, a look at the importance and geostrategic implications of the US-Canada trade stand-off, even if the current 50% tariff threat only impacts a small portion of the trade relationship. The geopolitical implications of the US threat to counter Iran's "enablers" are also considered, together with the latest news flow on AI data center financing stories, incoming earnings from Nvidia and other interesting names this week and much more, especially what to watch in the US and European sovereign debt markets. Today's pod was hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Lees meer
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Michael Every X post highlighting key geopolitical points and why this latest round in the US-Canada "trade war" is critical stuff.
The New York Times covers Powerus, the company already manufacturing thousands of drone interceptors a month in the UAE.
US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's threat to cut off Iran's economy from the world, focusing especially on its "enablers" - what might that mean for new US-China tensions, which have been put on the back burner for quite some time?
Volkswagen wants to make some deep cuts to capacity and may repurpose some of its factories for defense.
Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here.
Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions.
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DISCLAIMER
This content is marketing material.
Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with t… -
Bessent panics, gold and crypto rip, equity technicals pivotal
21 augustus 2026 · 20 min
Today, we look at Treasury Secretary Bessent out trying to massage the market again after the Wednesday treasury buyback announcement failed to crush long US treasury yields. The treasury's actions continue to provide fuel for the sharp gold and crypto rallies. We also note that the market's so far modest correction is getting us close to pivotal technical territory for the S&P 500, with one critical earnings report up next week for the AI space. This and much more on today's pod, which was hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Lees meer
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Have you heard of SLM's (Small Language Models that can run on a PC/laptop), these might have performance parity with LLMs for large percentage of AI tasks, which could - could - call into question the need for the scale of hyperscaler spending we are seeing.
Fed piece on stablecoins: Payment stablecoins and cross border payments: Implications for monetary policy implementation.
There is no one like The Telegraph's Ambrose Evans-Pritchard, who waxes dramatic as only he can on the dire risks of a US debt crisis.
Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here.
Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions.
Click here to open an account with Saxo.
Intro music by AShamaluevMusic
DISCLAIMER
This content is marketing material.
Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options. -
US Treasury buyback announcement sets fire to the US dollar.
20 augustus 2026 · 21 min
Today, looking of course at the impact of the US Treasury's increase of its treasury buyback program and the knock-on effects across asset markets, particularly the plunge in the US dollar versus hard- and even more so crypto assets. Importantly, we don't feel we have all of the answers, but hopefully we are asking some of the most important questions and pointing out the pivotal developments to watch as we head for what is now a much higher stakes Jackson Hole appearance by Fed Chair Warsh next week, after the Treasury has sent this critical signal. Today's pod hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Lees meer
Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here.
Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions.
Click here to open an account with Saxo.
Intro music by AShamaluevMusic
DISCLAIMER
This content is marketing material.
Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options. -
Beginning of a larger bearish correction here?
20 augustus 2026 · 25 min
Today, a thorough look at the commodity space, especially crude oil as hopes for relief from geopolitical tensions fade and how it may be weighing on broader risk sentiment. With Saxo Head of Commodity Strategy Ole Hansen, we also take a look at copper market dynamics and grain and soft developments as geopolitical and El Niño risks weigh. We also sift through broader equity market dynamics and the risks that we are heading into a bearish correction here. Today's pod hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Lees meer
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Coverage of Cerebras' latest chip and claims of huge potential advances in inference computing efficiency. As well, WSJ covers a new semiconductor startup Etched, which shows that technical disruption risks in the AI compute hardware space are significant.
Polemic Paine with a thorough look at factors that have him concerned we face a significant equity market correction in the US.
Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here.
Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions.
Click here to open an account with Saxo.
Intro music by AShamaluevMusic
DISCLAIMER
This content is marketing material.
Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options. -
Speedrunning dead internet theory - an SMC listener weighs in.
13 augustus 2026 · 21 min
Today, a brief wrap of yesterday's equity market session in the US, which repeated some of the recent AI hardware vs. SaaS performance divergences. A couple of key AI-chip and hardware names reported with results that didn't satisfy the market. We also look at the US CPI release and the reaction across macro, noting a key US treasury auction up later today. Also, we read aloud a great email sent to us by a long-time SMC listener on the chaos that AI LLMs have unleashed on IT operations for companies and the internet. Today's pod hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Lees meer
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Cory Doctorow again on AI model collapse, with a particularly interesting link to a Lauren's data Substack post wonderfully titled "Temperature Zero for Culture: Why Everything Is Starting to Look the Same." Which makes us proud to produce a very non-AI generated podcast every day that doesn't try to be like anyone else.
There has been a lot of overage of Bill Ackman's latest position changes from his Pershing Square 13F filing. Here's a useful X post that usefully pastes in the coverage from his letter to shareholders.
The link from the email read on today's pod on the Hugging Face hack incident: the YouTube video link works, while the summary link Mr. O sent me did not contain the summary.
Michael Burry on Palantir being worth less than a dollar/share.
Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here.
Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions.
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DISCLAIMER
This content is marketing material.
Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a… -
Treasury market reaction to US CPI the next key
12 augustus 2026 · 21 min
Today, an emphasis on the importance of this US July CPI hurdle today and different scenarios based on what the data shows, all while emphasizing that geopolitics and the crude oil price are a very important independent variable as well. Also, a look at more AI hardware companies reporting yesterday and the market reception of those earnings reports as well as the next batch of AI-adjacent companies reporting today. Some quality links discussed in today's podcast as well on everything from Fed communication policy to the risks from AI replacing search. Today's pod hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Lees meer
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Aitken Advisors James Aitken ponders whether Jackson Hole is becoming a more significant event risk after Fed Chair Kevin Warsh flubbed his latest press conference.
Mike Green is striking out on a new adventure, one that will eye opportunities in the inefficiencies created by increasingly dominant passive flows.
Michael McNair responds to a Stephen Roach substack article on China's Deepening Japan Problem.
Michael Every's latest Global Daily from Rabobank, with some great comments and sub-links
Canada's The Walrus with a great piece discussed on today's pod, outlining the risks to the entire quality of the internet as AI results replace Google search.
Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here.
Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions.
Click here to open an account with Saxo.
Intro music by AShamaluevMusic
DISCLAIMER
This content is marketing material.
Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment… -
Pressures from macro backdrop building ahead of US CPI
11 augustus 2026 · 29 min
Today, we delve into the ongoing development of the "super el Niño" weather phenomenon, running through the difficulty in assessing the scale of potential impacts. Elsewhere, oil markets and refined product markets are spiking on the latest escalation in supply uncertainties from the Middle East. This we discuss with Saxo Head of Commodity Strategy Ole Hansen, together with the factors driving the recent gold and silver resurgence. Elsewhere, markets look potentially pivotal on the reaction to Wednesday's US CPI release as US long treasury yields are pinned at cycle highs. Plenty of single stock stories and more also on today's pod, which is hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Lees meer
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FT covers Nvidia putting together a financing package for USD 500 billion in AI spending with some of the world's largest financil groups.
FTAlphaville asks how much hidden leverage there is in the hyperscaler AI buildout. The answer seems to be "a lot".
The St. Louis Fed offers a deep dive into what is driving the steep decline in the US labor force participation rate, most of which looks benign and relative to statistical adjustments and the aging US population, but there was still some cause for concern from the June and July data on prime age workers.
Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here.
Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions.
Click here to open an account with Saxo.
Intro music by AShamaluevMusic
DISCLAIMER
This content is marketing material.
Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. Wh… -
Polysilicon supply chains may surprise you. US jobs data today!
7 augustus 2026 · 19 min
Today, a look at how the market is positioned ahead of today's US jobs data and how a surprise - especially a negative surprise - might read across markets. Also, a brief discussion of polysilicon supply chains, which may surprise you, as China only dominates one of the key two production types. Also, a preview of the many interesting names reporting earnings next week. This and more on today's pod, which is hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Lees meer
Links
Aakash Gupta points out the potential scale of impacts if this El Niño is as disruptive as the late 1990's one, which he argues compounded to a cost of US 5.7 trillion over the following 14 years.
An FT exclusive delves into how Google puts in place the financing pipeline to drive USD 200B of spending on Anthropic, especially to sell its own chips to the company.
And Ed Zitron suggests that 70% of Microsoft, Amazon and Google's AI-related revenue is derived from the black hole of OpenAI and Anthropic unprofitable spending.
ChipTycoon, an info-animation, shows the complexity of semiconductor supply chains in the style of the Rollercoaster Tycoon game.
About twice per week (in normal times, hopefully soon to resume), you will find links discussed on the podcast and a chart-of-the-day over at the John J. Hardy substack.
Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here.
Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions.
Click here to open an account with Saxo.
Intro music by AShamaluevMusic
DISCLAIMER
This content is marketing material.
Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fee… -
RIP Victor Niederhoffer
6 augustus 2026 · 28 min
Today, we look at the latest market moves as we position the importance of Friday's US jobs report, noting the reaction to key incoming earnings from Western Digital and Sandisk in particular and the impressive rally move in gold and silver. Considerable coverage as well of Victor Niederhoffer, a larger than life Wall Street figure who died this Tuesday and whose life inspired and touched countless speculators and professionals over his career, including this podcast host, Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Lees meer
Links
The all-time must read article for want-to-be speculators: The New Yorker article by Malcom Gladwell: Blowing Up, comparing and contrasting Victor Niederhoffer and Nassim Taleb.
The Henry Clews book Fifty Years in Wall Street. This book inspired Niederhoffer's giving out canes to people who offered valuable inspiration while writing his column for MSN's MoneyCentral.
Education of a Speculator - the legendary book.
Recent (less recent than I said on podcast - actually latest I can find is from this February) Mark Spitznagel prediction on one final meltup followed by 80% crash in stocks.
About twice per week (in normal times, hopefully soon to resume), you will find links discussed on the podcast and a chart-of-the-day over at the John J. Hardy substack.
Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here.
Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions.
Click here to open an account with Saxo.
Intro music by AShamaluevMusic
DISCLAIMER
This content is marketing material.
Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment… -
SpaceX's Starmind to start on terra firma. Gold rally a signal?
5 augustus 2026 · 21 min
Today, a look at the very strong day for US equity markets yesterday as the S&P 500 vaulted to a strong new all-time high amidst broad gains across sectors, with tech stocks roaring higher but the Nasdaq 100 not yet reaching a new peak. We look at the SpaceX earnings announcement and market reaction, including the announcement of a new Nvidia-chip based Starmind concept that is intended as the platform for the eventual SpaceX space-based AI data centers. Elsewhere, a look at the latest action in Macro and FX, especially whether the gold and silver surge yesterday suggests greater potential from here. Today's pod was hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Lees meer
Links
SpaceX's new Starmind AI1 concept - a compact data center unit based on the next generation Nvidia Vera Rubin chips that will start in earth-based data centers, but is intended for SpaceX's eventual space-based data centers.
The legendary Barry Eichengreen on "The real message in the JPY intervention".
About twice per week (in normal times, hopefully soon to resume), you will find links discussed on the podcast and a chart-of-the-day over at the John J. Hardy substack.
Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here.
Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions.
Click here to open an account with Saxo.
Intro music by AShamaluevMusic
DISCLAIMER
This content is marketing material.
Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing client… -
Palantir beats and entertains. What can SpaceX deliver?
4 augustus 2026 · 31 min
Today, a look at the broad market in a positive mood as recent divergences between AI hardware and other names were nowhere in evidence. We zoom in on Palantir's incredible quarterly reports and the wild and entertaining earnings call with CEO Alex Karp, wonder how SpaceX can deliver anything notable today relative to the company's valuation, and preview AMD, Novo Nordisk and Eli Lilly, all with Saxo Equity Strategist Ruben Dalfovo. Macro and FX and more also on today's pod, which was hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Lees meer
Links
Yesterday's John J. Hardy substack post with many links, including on AI.
John's The FX Trader piece from this morning, focusing especially on the recent coordinated JPY intervention and EURJPY.
69 Starship launches to get one decent payload to the moon? A Starship skeptic speaks out on concerns related to the idea of SpaceX using these space-based depots of fuel to extend the operating range of Starship.
Arnaud Bertrand challenges Palantir's AI Sovereignty framework, although Palantir's results spoke quite loudly late yesterday, as did CEO Alex Karp himself.
Tungsten as an indicator of war risk and once again, a mineral supply chain that China dominates.
About twice per week (in normal times, hopefully soon to resume), you will find links discussed on the podcast and a chart-of-the-day over at the John J. Hardy substack.
Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here.
Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions.
Click here to open an account with Saxo.
Intro music by AShamaluevMusic
DISCLAIMER
This content is marketing material.
Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this … -
Coordinated JPY intervention and a cleaner AI hardware slate
3 augustus 2026 · 20 min
Today, a look at the implications for a stronger JPY from coordinated intervention as the US has joined forces with Japan to force yen appreciation. As well, we wonder what the implications are for equities now that we trade with a much cleaner slate after reaching the other side of blowups in leveraged single-stock ETFs and the liquidation of the Situational Awareness fund late last week. A busy week ahead for earnings and macro and more also previewed on today's pod, which is hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Lees meer
Links discussed on today's podcast and our Chart of the Day can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (within two to four hours from the time of the podcast release).
Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here.
Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions.
Click here to open an account with Saxo.
Intro music by AShamaluevMusic
DISCLAIMER
This content is marketing material.
Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options. -
Momo trade roars back to life, but for how long?
31 juli 2026 · 17 min
Today, a look at the market returning to its past form as AI-related hardware stocks ripped higher even as the median stock on the S&P 500 posted a negative day. Also, a look at the many interesting earnings reports up next week, a rundown of the action in FX after massive USDJPY intervention and a Bank of Japan meeting and much more. Today's pod is hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Lees meer
John's The FX Trader piece from today.
About twice per week (in normal times, hopefully soon to resume), you will find links discussed on the podcast and a chart-of-the-day over at the John J. Hardy substack.
Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here.
Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions.
Click here to open an account with Saxo.
Intro music by AShamaluevMusic
DISCLAIMER
This content is marketing material.
Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options. -
Wishy washy Fed Chair Warsh vibe punches sentiment in the gut
30 juli 2026 · 22 min
Today, a look at the market's concern that this Fed isn't determined to get ahead of inflation and the impact on US treasury yields, which spooked market sentiment broadly in the US yesterday. Elsewhere, Microsoft's strong earnings report after the close is doing what it can to stabilize risk sentiment, even as the market soured further on Meta on its earnings call. Today and tomorrow feel high stakes with the negative shift in sentiment after the important FOMC pivot point, and Apple and Amazon are reporting after the close today. This and more on today's pod, which was hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Lees meer
Links
WSJ Fed reporter (no longer whisperer?) Nick Timiraos with a good quick take on the contradictory messages and takeaways from this FOMC meeting.
Are the memory prices just too darn high? FTAlphaville takes a look.
ArsTechnica reports that Anthropic's Mythos is finding bugs faster than Microsoft can fix them.
Mike Green with a forensic investigation of the pump in semiconductor stocks in Q2 and to what degree leveraged ETFs were to blame (Behind paywall, but can be read for free as a one-off).
About twice per week (in normal times, hopefully soon to resume), you will find links discussed on the podcast and a chart-of-the-day over at the John J. Hardy substack.
Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here.
Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions.
Click here to open an account with Saxo.
Intro music by AShamaluevMusic
DISCLAIMER
This content is marketing material.
Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotiona… -
Peak SK Hynix madness?
29 juli 2026 · 14 min
Today, we wonder if the back side of SK Hynix's earnings report overnight and the popping of the leveraged ETF bubble in some of the single tech names has now largely run its course - leaving the market for its next move - whether broadly up or otherwise. Certainly, a key event risk like today's FOMC and/or Friday's Bank of Japan meeting could serve as a pivot point. Today's pod hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Lees meer
About twice per week (in normal times, hopefully soon to resume), you will find links discussed on the podcast and a chart-of-the-day over at the John J. Hardy substack.
Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here.
Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions.
Click here to open an account with Saxo.
Intro music by AShamaluevMusic
DISCLAIMER
This content is marketing material.
Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options. -
Three hyperscalers set to report as AI momentum stocks stumble
28 juli 2026 · 31 min
Today, a look at the intensifying sell-off in high momentum AI hardware names, led by a an ugly meltdown in the two Korean memory stocks overnight. Meanwhile, the broader market posted a very different and far more positive day, an intensification of recent patterns. Also, we looked at the recent Alphabet, Tesla and Intel earnings reports and the coming reports from Meta, Microsoft, Amazon.com and Apple with Saxo Equity Strategist Ruben Dalfovo. Finally, a preview of the FOMC meeting tomorrow in the macro and FX discussion and much more also on today's pod, which was hosted by Saxo Global Macro Strategist John J. Hardy. Lees meer
Links
From what appears a credible source on X on the risks from the AI transformation to Alphabet's/Google's legacy "benevolent monopoly" business model.
Bloomberg weighs in on the circular financing concerns linked to Nvidia after a spate of recent stories.
Meta is fighting a mountain of social-media lawsuits, possibly worst legal challenge in its 22-year history.
Ford joins race to build the next US light duty vehicle for the US military.
About twice per week (in normal times, hopefully soon to resume), you will find links discussed on the podcast and a chart-of-the-day over at the John J. Hardy substack.
Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here.
Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions.
Click here to open an account with Saxo.
Intro music by AShamaluevMusic
DISCLAIMER
This content is marketing material.
Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensatio… -
FOMC, BoJ and Earnings Season peak this week
27 juli 2026 · 16 min
Today, we look at a few things that unfolded late last week in reaction to some of the first big earnings reports of this quarter and preview the week ahead, which is the biggest one for this quarterly earnings cycle. It's a big week ahead for macro as well, as the FOMC, Bank of England and Bank of Japan are all up later this week. This and more on today's pod, which is hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Lees meer
About twice per week (in normal times, hopefully soon to resume), you will find links discussed on the podcast and a chart-of-the-day over at the John J. Hardy substack.
Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here.
Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions.
Click here to open an account with Saxo.
Intro music by AShamaluevMusic
DISCLAIMER
This content is marketing material.
Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options. -
With special guest Peter Garnry of Gesda Capital
3 juli 2026 · 39 min
Today, a conversation with special guest Peter Garnry, co-founder of Gesda Capital on choosing and valuing stocks for the long run, observations on the current state of play in AI as expressed in equity markets, the Meta and other news this week and its implications, whether AI can truly scale as hoped and so much more, even what Peter is reading these days. I'm sure listeners will enjoy this conversation. Lees meer
Links
IBM IBM CEO interview we referenced on the podcast on the future of the AI rollout. There is also this newer one - probably a lot of overlap.
The Abraham Lincoln biography Peter Garnry referred by John Meacham.
and the John Kim book The Tao of Fund Raising.
The Gesda capital website.
John's latest FX Trader piece, including the impact of the US jobs data.
About twice per week (in normal times, hopefully soon to resume), you will find links discussed on the podcast and a chart-of-the-day over at the John J. Hardy substack.
Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here.
Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions.
Click here to open an account with Saxo.
Intro music by AShamaluevMusic
DISCLAIMER
This content is marketing material.
Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options. -
Meta announcement: just a warning shot or the actual pin prick?
2 juli 2026 · 21 min
Today, a look at global equity markets roiled by Meta's announcement that it will rent out use spare data center capacity for AI applications, raising concerns for AI-linked cap-ex and all stocks linked with the "AI picks and shovels" theme even as it was read as a boon for Meta's stock itself. Software as a service and consulting names also rallied on the news. Elsewhere, Japan is intervening against JPY weakness, sterling is breaking higher and we have a US June jobs report today ahead of a three-day weekend for US markets. This and more on today's pod, which is hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Lees meer
Links
Ole's awesome article on the sub-7 kg technical marvels used by Tour de France cyclists, and the commodities they contain.
Michael McNair TLDR piece on SiriusXM holdings and, among other things, why it might have large suitors for a takeover.
About twice per week (in normal times, hopefully soon to resume), you will find links discussed on the podcast and a chart-of-the-day over at the John J. Hardy substack.
Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here.
Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions.
Click here to open an account with Saxo.
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DISCLAIMER
This content is marketing material.
Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options. -
Rocket Lab enters the space comms fray with Iridium grab. Also, USA at 250!
1 juli 2026 · 20 min
John's piece: Wall Street at 250 through a Wall Street lens: Where we've been and what comes next. Lees meer
Today, a round-up of another session with AI hardware momentum names rocketing higher, while the broader market was largely sideways. Elsewhere, crypto and gold are both teetering near or beyond key support at critical technical levels, while we note an ugly turn in one part of the US Consumer Confidence picture. Finally, a look at Rocket Lab's acquisition of Iridium as it enters directly into the space-based communications fray with the big boys SpaceX and Amazon. And, with the USA set to turn 250 years old this Friday, we note today's link of the day on the USA through a Wall Street lens as it turns 250 years old this Saturday. Today's pod hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy.
About twice per week (in normal times, hopefully soon to resume), you will find links discussed on the podcast and a chart-of-the-day over at the John J. Hardy substack.
Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here.
Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions.
Click here to open an account with Saxo.
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DISCLAIMER
This content is marketing material.
Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options. -
Leverage upon leverage, what could go wrong?
30 juni 2026 · 19 min
Today, a look at the latest strong session for some of the market's highest momentum names, as we note with some caution the risks that leverage, especially not fully evident hidden leverage is a mounting risk for the most speculative corners of the market. We also preview Nike earnings as the company does not yet look like a bargain after its 77% fall from all time highs into yesterday's low, unless it surprises strongly today after the close. Some thoughts on macro, FX and much more also on today's pod, which is hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Lees meer
Links
FTAlphaville with coverage of the rising costs of equity financing on margin and concerns into today's quarter-end.
Bloomberg also with coverage of leverage and especially the hidden leverage as some combine margin lending with options buying, even on levered ETFs. What could go wrong?
About twice per week (in normal times, hopefully soon to resume), you will find links discussed on the podcast and a chart-of-the-day over at the John J. Hardy substack.
Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here.
Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions.
Click here to open an account with Saxo.
Intro music by AShamaluevMusic
DISCLAIMER
This content is marketing material.
Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options. -
Flat Friday on the index surface, but bonkers beta underneath.
29 juni 2026 · 22 min
Today, a look at a much zanier Friday session in US equities than the almost flat close on the S&P 500 suggested as market internals have become wildly divergent, much of it linked to the market's bucketing of AI winners and losers. Elsewhere, as Volkswagen sets up a possibly 100,000 layoffs, in part on weaker Chinese demand and greater competition from cheaper Chinese EVs, and as Europe roasts with record high temperatures, will Europe's trade policy toward coal-burning China harden on climate grounds? As usual, macro and FX and much more also on today's pod, which is hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Lees meer
Links
See Friday's John J. Hardy substack, in which I discussed the AI winners and losers on the very day when market internals went especially haywire along the fault lines of this theme.
A WSJ article suggests that one of China's latest AI models may match the ability to exploit cybersecurity vulnerabilities shown by Anthropic's Mythos.
FTAlphaville with an excellent article wondering whether the current AI revolution may echo some of the impacts on labor and capital that marked especially the early decades of the Indutrial revolution.
About twice per week (in normal times, hopefully soon to resume), you will find links discussed on the podcast and a chart-of-the-day over at the John J. Hardy substack.
Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here.
Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions.
Click here to open an account with Saxo.
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DISCLAIMER
This content is marketing material.
Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from w… -
Apple pays for the hubris. Samsung to bust out a quadrillion in cap-ex.
26 juni 2026 · 23 min
Today's John J. Hardy substack post. Lees meer
Today, a look at some incredible volatility and cross-currents in the US equity market as Mag7 continues to come in for a beating as chip stocks soared once again. But then the two Korean memory makers stumble overnight, perhaps on Samsung announcing it my plow KRW 1 quadrillion (about USD 650 billion) into cap-ex over the next decade. Elsewhere, the market gave Apple the thumbs down for its greedy plan to make even more money from its customers due to higher input costs. Macro and FX and a busy event risk calendar next week and more also on today's pod, which is hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy.
Links discussed on today's podcast and our Chart of the Day can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (within two to four hours from the time of the podcast release).
Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here.
Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions.
Click here to open an account with Saxo.
Intro music by AShamaluevMusic
DISCLAIMER
This content is marketing material.
Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options. -
Micron tries to revive AI hardware momo. Gold tests below 4,000.
25 juni 2026 · 24 min
Today, the blow-out Micron earnings report is doing all it can to revive the AI hardware momentum trade, and it will be interesting to see how the huge jump in Micron shares ages into the options expiry this Friday. Elsewhere, the US dollar has continued its rally, but will fresh drivers for further strength be hard to come by? A focus on sterling's upside potential on the potential Burnham political revolution unfolding as well. In commodities, we discuss the latest on crude oil and gold and especially silver getting into existential chart territory. Today's pod features Saxo Head of Commodity Strategy Ole Hansen and is hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Lees meer
Links
John's The FX Trader piece on whether USD can find fresh fuel and special GBP focus.
Bloomberg piece on a hedge fund manager looking to short private equity in interesting ways
New York times piece on what kind of managers have demanded that their workers stop working from home.
About twice per week (in normal times, hopefully soon to resume), you will find links discussed on the podcast and a chart-of-the-day over at the John J. Hardy substack.
Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here.
Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions.
Click here to open an account with Saxo.
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DISCLAIMER
This content is marketing material.
Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable in… -
The US dollar is having its cake and eating it too...for now.
24 juni 2026 · 34 min
Today, we look at the drivers of the stronger US dollar as it pulls to new highs for the year and what may be holding back USDJPY from participating in the greenback rally as those forty-year highs from 2024 approach. Elsewhere, yesterday's US equity market session was so far mostly only a one-off meltdown in high momentum stocks, with the median stock positive on the day. Massive interest and potential implications in how the market reacts to Micron earnings after the US equity market close today. This and more on today's pod, which is hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Lees meer
Link
WSJ looks at China's attempt to "lure the world to the yuan" - and it's not just Iran and Russia that is taking the bait.
About twice per week (in normal times, hopefully soon to resume), you will find links discussed on the podcast and a chart-of-the-day over at the John J. Hardy substack.
Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here.
Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions.
Click here to open an account with Saxo.
Intro music by AShamaluevMusic
DISCLAIMER
This content is marketing material.
Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options. -
Chips suddenly on tilt into Micron earnings Wednesday
23 juni 2026 · 25 min
Today's John J. Hardy Substack post - you won't want to miss today's links! Lees meer
Today, a huge vibe shift overnight as Korean memory stocks come unglued Tuesday, sending US equity market futures into a tailspin. Is this just a bit of retrenchment ahead of Micron's earnings Wednesday after the close or is the market at risk of a bigger air-pocket? Elsewhere, the US dollar is breaking higher, but with USDJPY not participating at the moment on fears of intervention after Bessent-Katayama call. Also, some follow up thoughts on climate after yesterday's super El Niño / AMOC collapse discussion and more. Today's pod hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy.
Links discussed on today's podcast and our Chart of the Day can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (within two to four hours from the time of the podcast release).
Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here.
Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions.
Click here to open an account with Saxo.
Intro music by AShamaluevMusic
DISCLAIMER
This content is marketing material.
Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options. -
Likely Super El Niño building: a non-alarmist take on the risks
22 juni 2026 · 31 min
Today, a sober and thorough look at the risks for key commodities and equities on the powerful El Niño climate phenomenon building in the Pacific, one that could prove the most intense humanity has experienced in many decades. Saxo Head of Commodity Strategy takes you through the potential commodity impacts and reminds us that some areas can see positive outcomes even if key food commodities and even mining output could suffer significant disruptions. Saxo Equity Strategist Ruben Dalfovo looks at the impacts for key equity supply chains, insurance and energy. This, a round-up of what to look for in the week ahead as the US dollar is in breakout mode and more on today's pod, which is hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Lees meer
Links
Ole's recent thorough survey of the key commodities markets that could see an impact from El Niño
Ruben's recent piece look at El Niño risks from an equity sector angle, particularly the impact on supply chains.
As mentioned on today's pod that while the equatorial Pacific is heating up, there is a "cold blob" in the North Atlantic, possibly suggesting something is going wrong with the important AMOC, the critical Atlantic Ocean current system that keeps Europe warm, among other impacts. Craig Tindale made a few comments on the cold blob on X and also links to his longer form post on how we are modeling climate change poorly, not properly appreciating feedback loops that could accelerate our climate impacts. Here is a good, "popular science" look at the AMOC and the feedback loop risks if the Greenland ice melt threatens to shut it down.
About twice per week (in normal times, hopefully soon to resume), you will find links discussed on the podcast and a chart-of-the-day over at the John J. Hardy substack.
Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here.
Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions.
Click here to open an account with Saxo.
… -
Accenture needing dentures after market knocks its teeth out
19 juni 2026 · 24 min
Today, we highlight another high energy day for the equity market, with semiconductor stocks screaming back higher and the US dollar continuing its move higher post-FOMC, even as we question whether the market is anticipating the future path of Fed policy appropriately. A focus on the worst performer in the S&P 500 today: Accenture, which was pummelled 18% to an almost nine-year low on fears of additional AI disruption even as the company scrambles for a new business model to have an answer for the age of AI. This and more on today's pod, which is hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Lees meer
Links
John's latest The FX Trader update
Accenture knocked post earnings as it is scrambling to redefine itself - good coverage from FT.
Izabella Kaminska with more of her usual second order thinking on how to position the USD 300 billion package in the Iran deal.
Odd Lots podcast interviews the venerable Jeremy Grantham, who has seen a think or two in his 87-plus years.
WSJ profiles the success of the Lynas CEO in building its rare earths capacity.
About twice per week (in normal times, hopefully soon to resume), you will find links discussed on the podcast and a chart-of-the-day over at the John J. Hardy substack.
Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here.
Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions.
Click here to open an account with Saxo.
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DISCLAIMER
This content is marketing material.
Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation fro… -
Fed Chair Warsh impact washes over markets
18 juni 2026 · 24 min
Today, we note the huge change in vibe and substance as new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh took charge at the Fed at his first meeting. He is a great communicator and put his stamp on how this Fed will be a very different one with far fewer hints on its intentions - i.e. no forward guidance to the degree possible. The initial market read was clearly hawkish, but while short rates jumped as a possible FOMC rate hike was pulled forward, the longest treasury yields fell. We look at the reaction function across markets, including in currencies and more as the market will have to find its sea legs with this new Fed. This and more on today's pod, which is hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Lees meer
Link
As discussed on today's pod, interesting to note the GM-Lockheed Martin partnership announcement. It wasn't specified what GM might produce, but the Iran war made clear that the US needs a new approach to mass producing military tech.
About twice per week (in normal times, hopefully soon to resume), you will find links discussed on the podcast and a chart-of-the-day over at the John J. Hardy substack.
Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here.
Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions.
Click here to open an account with Saxo.
Intro music by AShamaluevMusic
DISCLAIMER
This content is marketing material.
Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options. -
Choppy chips even as crude mega-dips. Warsh on tap.
17 juni 2026 · 18 min
Today, some last thoughts on the FOMC ahead of the meeting as the market is treating it with little anticipation even if this is likely to prove the most significant ideological change at the Fed since Greenspan left in 2006. Also - evidence from a choppy session for chips that the market nervousness may be rising for the hero sectors powering the recent market advance, especially given the max supportive move lower in crude oil yesterday, showing that lower oil prices have lost their impact as macro driver. This and more on today's pod, which is hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Lees meer
Links
Yesterday's John J. Hardy substack with more links, if you missed these.
Craig Tindale's latest on "Who owns the chemistry that turns metal into power." Laying out why those critical materials are so critical and the systematic changes required to address the issue if China isn't to maintain its dominance and leverage.
Peter Garnry on SpaceX and how truly rare it is to see the kind of growth that some are anticipating for this company - with only two prior examples that are even in the same universe for a company of size.
About twice per week (in normal times, hopefully soon to resume), you will find links discussed on the podcast and a chart-of-the-day over at the John J. Hardy substack.
Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here.
Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions.
Click here to open an account with Saxo.
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DISCLAIMER
This content is marketing material.
Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promot… -
The tails wagging the market and SpaceX dogs
16 juni 2026 · 22 min
Today's John J. Hardy Substack post for this podcast Lees meer
Today we look at a fresh stunning advance in US equities as we reapproach the all time highs for the main US indices, with a wild advance in SpaceX shares perhaps one key bit of the sentiment "tail" wagging the overall market dog as we also discuss why SpaceX shares may have risen so aggressively, even after hours yesterday. Elsewhere, a breakdown of the RBA and BoJ meetings and their impact, what we're watching for from the Fed, observations on the quality and sustainability of the US-Iran "deal" and more. Today' pod hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy.
Links discussed on today's podcast and our Chart of the Day can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (within two to four hours from the time of the podcast release).
Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here.
Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions.
Click here to open an account with Saxo.
Intro music by AShamaluevMusic
DISCLAIMER
This content is marketing material.
Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options. -
FOMO in equities, ho-hum in macro even as new Fed era begins this week.
15 juni 2026 · 19 min
Today, a look at risk sentiment in full swing after a successful SpaceX IPO on Friday and a stronger sense that the Iran war ceasefire may last long enough for shipping lanes to fully open in the Hormuz Strait, at least for a time. But while speculative energy remains high in equities, the broader macro picture is subdued, with little FX and rates volatility even as the new Kevin Warsh Fed marks the biggest shift at the Fed in a generation. This and much more, including the BoJ up tonight, on today's pod, which is hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy Lees meer
Links
John's The FX Trader piece from today, discussing the technical situation in EURUSD and previewing the seven G-10 central bank meetings this week.
A 20-minute CNBC interview with SpaceX President and COO Gwynne Shotwell, where she talks a good game and even delivers the outlook for orbiting data centers with a straight face.
FT discusses the many forced buyers of SpaceX as the company has been fast tracked to join many major stock indices, the members of which enjoy passive inflows.
The Wall Street Journal with the basic, but important discussion of how Kevin Warsh is set to alter the Fed's communication strategy (an important first step, but as emphasized on the podcast - there are much bigger questions afoot down the line.)
About twice per week (in normal times, hopefully soon to resume), you will find links discussed on the podcast and a chart-of-the-day over at the John J. Hardy substack.
Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here.
Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions.
Click here to open an account with Saxo.
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DISCLAIMER
This content is marketing material.
Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular mann… -
Rounding up the usual suspects as a new era at the Fed dawns next week.
12 juni 2026 · 28 min
Today, the usual suspects knee-jerked higher Thursday on Trump's latest peace declaration as crude oil dropped, while the other usual suspects (software as a service) were some of the worst performers ahead of Adobe's earnings release after the close. Also, a strong discussion of the status for gold, copper, crude oil and El Niño with Saxo Head of Commodity Strategy Ole Hansen, a look at macro and FX and much more. Today's pod hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Lees meer
Links
FT suggests that the quantum computing revolution may be coming sooner than we think.
Jesse Felder on the Thoughtful Money podcast, pointing out some concerning trends within the AI phenomenon and suggesting we are near a bubble top.
A recent Matt Stoller substack post, mostly just encouragement to follow his work and to read his book Goliath and to point out his link to this old post from May of 2009 about Wall Street's capture of Washington - something that Treasury Secretary Bessent has promised to do something about. The new Kevin Warsh Fed will have a critical role to play if this is ever to amount to anything.
About twice per week (in normal times, hopefully soon to resume), you will find links discussed on the podcast and a chart-of-the-day over at the John J. Hardy substack.
Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here.
Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions.
Click here to open an account with Saxo.
Intro music by AShamaluevMusic
DISCLAIMER
This content is marketing material.
Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or ret… -
The either-or moment for US stocks and gold
11 juni 2026 · 23 min
Today, a look at markets testing the lows again yesterday, but trying to put in a rally ahead of a huge market event tomorrow that could define where this market heads next in what could prove an either-or moment. Elsewhere, interesting market reaction to Oracle's earnings report after the close, and super-critical support levels have come into play for the gold price, which faces its own either-or moment technically and thematically as the USD remains strong. Lots more on macro and FX and more in today's pod, which is hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Lees meer
Links
In "The abundance illusion" noted oil industry analyst Jeff Currie notes the risks the oil market (and the wider global economy) faces this summer as seasonal demand rises inexorably while oil has yet to begin meaningfully flowing through the strait of Hormuz again. Also, he notes China's "New Joule Order" which has its own tremendous implications as the country puts its energy system resilience on display.
HT to FTAlphaville for another great link today, this one to a Kardamow substack article that discusses the same concerns Currie discusses in the above link, with some more data specifics.
An FT Article looks at US attempts to piece together a "dark transit" system for oil tankers to transit the Hormuz Strait via a narrow and risk shipping lane that hugs the Omani coast.
Stratechery.com has a much more positive take on Apple's AI strategy with Siri than the market's very negative assessment in recent days, in a piece it calls The iPhone's Last Stand.
This year's Microsoft Build conference is seeing the company's Project Solara announcement, the company's attempt to envision a new operating system and network of new devices, among other things, aimed at addressing the transition to the agentic AI era. The Verge discusses this as well as Microsoft's broader AI strategy.
About twice per week (in normal times, hopefully soon to resume), you will find links discussed on the podcas…
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Market volatility expansion flashes red. Gold key support in view.
10 juni 2026 · 23 min
Today, a look at what the further acceleration in US- and other market volatility means, particularly for the highly speculative chip stocks that have seen the greatest gains this year, even on a day when the broader market and median stock closed in the green. Elsewhere, gold is melting down and faces a critical support level soon if the selling continues. This and much more on macro and FX also on today's pod, which is hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Lees meer
Links
Today's only link is to an excellent FT op-ed "Why are we still arguing about the Industrial revolution?" that complains about the attempt to use poor quality 19th century data that provides few insights on how the Industrial Revolution transformed society and the types of available jobs as we attempt to anticipate how AI will transform our current society and the job market. Instead, we should consult the best fiction writers of the time, who provide excellent qualitative documentation of the impact of the industrial revolution.
About twice per week (in normal times, hopefully soon to resume), you will find links discussed on the podcast and a chart-of-the-day over at the John J. Hardy substack.
Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here.
Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions.
Click here to open an account with Saxo.
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DISCLAIMER
This content is marketing material.
Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created … -
Many moving parts ahead of next week's seminal event
9 juni 2026 · 18 min
Today, a look at the market trying to continue its bounce-back from Friday's meltdown in especially chip stocks, interesting news flow on the AI data center financing front, lots on macro and FX and much more. Today's pod hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Lees meer
Links
Today's The FX Trader from John
The great Izabella Kaminska with second order thinking in an X post on the possible signal from China's ability to crater its oil imports.
"Is the iPhone birth control?", asks an academic paper FTAlphaville links to, which is a study linking the launch of the iPhone in the US with lower fertility. Now imagine what widespread immersive AI will do...
About twice per week (in normal times, hopefully soon to resume), you will find links discussed on the podcast and a chart-of-the-day over at the John J. Hardy substack.
Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here.
Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions.
Click here to open an account with Saxo.
Intro music by AShamaluevMusic
DISCLAIMER
This content is marketing material.
Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options. -
Correction not yet a calamity.
8 juni 2026 · 22 min
Today, putting Friday's big market sell-off in perspective as an overdue development after the huge recent ramp in high momentum stocks. Broader risk sentiment remains fairly calm, though there is a bit of stress from geopolitics and higher oil prices, as well as on crypto and from a stronger US dollar and higher US treasury yields. Lots to focus on this week and next with the incoming earnings of note and the first Fed meeting led by Fed Chair Warsh next week. This and more on today's pod, which is hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Lees meer
Links discussed on today's podcast and our Chart of the Day can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (within two to four hours from the time of the podcast release).
Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here.
Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions.
Click here to open an account with Saxo.
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DISCLAIMER
This content is marketing material.
Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options. -
The real reason Musk wants to go to Mars?
29 mei 2026 · 20 min
Today we look at fresh blow-out enthusiasm for a major tech name reporting strong earnings that blasted its stock into the stratosphere after hours yesterday. We also note the bevy of interesting tech names reporting next week, run through some macro and FX observations, note the key technical hold in gold, the shifting forward curve in crude oil and more. Regarding today's episode title, consider Saxo's outrageous prediction for this year regarding the SpaceX IPO and one of the main things - or perhaps the main thing - Elon Musk hopes to achieve in going to Mars (link below). Today's pod hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Lees meer
Links
We took a stab at predicting the scale of the SpaceX IPO (undershooting badly!) and some of the true reasons for Elon Musk's passion for going to Mars in the Saxo Outrageous Predictions for 2026 released late last year.
The Register discussed Salesforce' "waving bye-bye" to its User Interface as it opens up its data to a trillion API calls from other platforms, including increasingly Anthropic via its Headless 360, a programmable agent platform.
The constantly shade-throwing Futurism (ironically a bit Luddite at times) with an article questioning whether CEO's are suffering from AI psychosis as they are out of touch with the struggle for AI to get traction at ground level in their organisations.
Is AI making some people feel and act dangerously over-competent and what are the risks if so? (HT FTAlphaville)
About twice per week (in normal times, hopefully soon to resume), you will find links discussed on the podcast and a chart-of-the-day over at the John J. Hardy substack.
Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here.
Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions.
Click here to open an account with Saxo.
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Trading financial instruments carries risks. Al… -
Snowflake rips, Gold at critical levels.
28 mei 2026 · 23 min
Today, we note the very different outcomes for the two admittedly very different software names Salesforce and Snowflake as both reported earnings after the close yesterday. Elsewhere, insane volatility for Marvell in yesterday's session ahead of its own earnings report after the close - are the wheels coming off a bit here for chip names. Also, Gold needs to take a stand here or else, plenty on macro and FX and more on today's pod, which is hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Lees meer
Links
Michael Burry points out that VC has gone whole hog in AI, similar to the situation in 2000 with TMT bubble.
Acquired put out a four-hour episode on the fascinating history and phenomenon that is Ferrari - these guys are great.
FT with an exclusive on Ukraine turning the tables in its war with Russia - amazing innovation and rates of production for their at least partially homegrown tech.
Stratechery with a brief discussion (paywall) of the SpaceX IPO, both quite dismissive in some ways, but also surprisingly supportive of the idea that space-based data centres could be a thing.
About twice per week (in normal times, hopefully soon to resume), you will find links discussed on the podcast and a chart-of-the-day over at the John J. Hardy substack.
Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here.
Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions.
Click here to open an account with Saxo.
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DISCLAIMER
This content is marketing material.
Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo… -
Memory mania or just catching up with fundamentals?
27 mei 2026 · 33 min
Today's John J. Hardy substack (and yes, embarrassing bad math from your host in today's podcast) Lees meer
Today, we try to keep observations balanced as we observe the latest race higher in memory chip makers after a big bank posted a jaw-dropping price target for Micron. This helped pull the broader market higher, as did the recent drop in crude oil prices. Elsewhere, we look at Ferrari's stumble with its new EV, note today's important earnings calendar, break down the latest in macro and FX and much more. Today's pod is hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy.
Links discussed on today's podcast and our Chart of the Day can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (within two to four hours from the time of the podcast release).
Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here.
Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions.
Click here to open an account with Saxo.
Intro music by AShamaluevMusic
DISCLAIMER
This content is marketing material.
Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options. -
Solace for quantum investors as long weekend awaits
22 mei 2026 · 21 min
Today, a look at quantum computing stocks getting a big bump on public investments in the space in the US. Elsewhere, it remains all about AI stocks pumping higher, while one notable software-as-a-service (Saas) name was the S&P 500 index's worst performer yesterday. Interesting earnings reports are up next week on both the chip and the SaaS front. Also, some more macro and FX observations and concerns that we are none the wiser on the Iran War ahead of a long weekend for US markets. Today's pod is hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Lees meer
Links
Blonde Money is worth a follow, particularly recently on the UK political situation.
Passive investing might blow up the stock market once it has become too dominant, at least according to models. The discussion is rambling, but some great nuggets in there.
The valuation maestro Aswath Damodaran puts together the case for a SpaceX valuation of USD 1.2 trillion.
Nasdaq bending over backwards to secure the SpaceX listing will guarantee enormous passive allocations to the company very early on, whatever its general level of financial success.
Peter Garnry of Gesda Capital has his own assessment of SpaceX after the drop of its pre-IPO S-1 filings. Worth a read.
And the public domain shy Albert Edwards made an appearance on the Odd Lots podcast, talking the risk of double-digit inflation and the general mayhem that he often sees right around the corner. Always worth listening to, if not for any well-timed market call.
About twice per week (in normal times, hopefully soon to resume), you will find links discussed on the podcast and a chart-of-the-day over at the John J. Hardy substack.
Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here.
Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions.
Click here to open an account with Saxo.
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Trading financial instrument… -
Nvidia earnings a damp squib as something else is blotting out the sun.
21 mei 2026 · 19 min
Today, the prospect of perhaps the most anticipated IPO ever is overwhelming the market's interest in processing Nvidia's latest earnings report, which checked all of the boxes, but no more. Elsewhere, the latest headline risks from the Iran war are pointing in the right direction, but pointing isn't enough - we need a deal to bring more profound relief to bond markets and perhaps as well to keep the USD bull at bay. Important trading day tomorrow ahead of the long Memorial Day weekend in the US. Today's podcast hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Lees meer
Links
Saxo Head of Commodity Strategy Ole Hansen brings key perspective on the latest US oil and product inventories report.
There is a risk that the age of agentic AI and Ad-supported LLM's could put the interests of the Ad-buyers way ahead of those of the end-users. Worth considering the potential conflicts of interest.
Jeremy Grantham's GMO wrote back in January that if at least two of the "big three" potential IPOs happened this year, it could represent a risk to the broader market.
About twice per week (in normal times, hopefully soon to resume), you will find links discussed on the podcast and a chart-of-the-day over at the John J. Hardy substack.
Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here.
Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions.
Click here to open an account with Saxo.
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DISCLAIMER
This content is marketing material.
Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation fro… -
Pivotal days for tech and AI stocks, FX and rates
20 mei 2026 · 27 min
Today, markets are looking pivotal across the board ahead of the single biggest earnings report of the quarter as Nvidia reports after the market close today. Is the AI chip focus shifting a bit more toward inference and away from GPU's? Meanwhile, in the background, US and global yields have pressurized focus on broader equity market valuations and even FX is trying to come a bit more alive here on the rates focus. And that's all without considering the ongoing headline risk from the Hormuz Strait and Iran war. This and more on today's pod, which is hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Lees meer
Links
A radically new commercial and military airplane concept, the JetZero Z4 is getting serious funding for actual production and is set to break ground on a production facility next month.
AI radio stations, DJ and all - listen at your own risk, listeners, or rather, biological processors. A very funny and fascinating experiment pitting four of the top LLM's against one another.
WSJ covers the declining popularity of AI in the US- a slight clash with the scale of growth currently priced, no?
WSJ with another piece, this once on US juries and rising lack of trust in the US justice system as well as the points of view of others on the jury. The implications of the "post-truth" society we live in - how can institutions every find renewed trust?
Molten lead nuclear reactors coming to Sweden? It's not as crazy as it sounds. There is even an Oklo angle with this Swedish company Blykalla.
About twice per week, you will find links discussed on the podcast and a chart-of-the-day over at the John J. Hardy substack.
Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here.
Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions.
Click here to open an account with Saxo.
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DISCLAIMER
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Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ens… -
Which vehicle does the Musk cult choose post SpaceX IPO?
19 mei 2026 · 23 min
Today, a look at markets that are - and should remain - a bit nervous given the big push higher in global yields of late. Up ahead, we have some huge tests for this market, including Nvidia's earnings report Wednesday, a critical Starship launch pre-SpaceX IPO. And once SpaceX does IPO, how will that impact Tesla shares as the Musk faithful will suddenly have two vehicles to choose from. Also, the USD surge, sterling comeback, other earnings ahead and more on today's pod, which is hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Lees meer
Links
Bloomberg covers Meta's insane USD 200 billion data center
A writer on Medium.com (paywall) questions whether SpaceX's Starship is a white elephant after Reuters reported the company has already sunk USD 15 billion into the project.
And once SpaceX IPO's, what will it mean for Tesla share holders as the Musk faithful suddenly have two vehicles into which to sink their life savings?
Saxo's own Charu Chanana covers the latest Berkshire 13F filings tracking their Q1 additions and reductions from their portfolio.
About twice per week, you will find links discussed on the podcast and a chart-of-the-day over at the John J. Hardy substack.
Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here.
Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions.
Click here to open an account with Saxo.
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DISCLAIMER
This content is marketing material.
Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created w… -
Global bond yields are the captain now.
19 mei 2026 · 19 min
Today, a look at global bond yields setting the agenda across markets, the "nothingburger" Xi-Trump summit failing to make waves, the king of earnings reports coming in this week in the form of Nvidia's call after the close on Wednesday, a look at key macro and FX developments and much more. Today's pod hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy Lees meer
Links
Bloomberg article says power prices are spiraling higher in the US' largest electric grid due to data center demand
FTAlphaville says that China is not Japan, but "its real estate market has been doing a darn good impression."
Mike Green was on Macrovoices, talking passive investing, lack of inflation risks and potential for Fed cuts surprisingly soon.
About twice per week, you will find links discussed on the podcast and a chart-of-the-day over at the John J. Hardy substack.
Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here.
Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions.
Click here to open an account with Saxo.
Intro music by AShamaluevMusic
DISCLAIMER
This content is marketing material.
Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options. -
Dip bought as Jensen Huang joins Trump in China. Also: oil, gold and wheat.
13 mei 2026 · 28 min
Today, a rundown of the market largely springing quickly back from a vicious semi-conductor sell-off ahead of critical potential incoming news as Jensen Huang is set to join Trump in Beijing as we await the outcome of the Trump-Xi summit. Is a deal afoot on semis and more? Also, Saxo Head of Commodity Strategy Ole Hansen on the outlook for oil, interesting signs of precious metals resilience given the backdrop, what is driving the big pop in wheat prices and more. Today's pod is hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Lees meer
Links
George (not Thomas) Friedmann talks geopolitical situation, particularly Russia, US-China summit.
Bloomberg exclusive on China's massive hidden debt piles.
A brief and brutal assessment of why the UK can't get its economy back to the way it used to be, because things simply aren't the way they used to be.
A hedge fund manager on why he steers clear of tech stocks.
About twice per week, you will find links discussed on the podcast and a chart-of-the-day over at the John J. Hardy substack.
Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here.
Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions.
Click here to open an account with Saxo.
Intro music by AShamaluevMusic
DISCLAIMER
This content is marketing material.
Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options. -
Korean politician pops the chip vibe. Sterling under pressure.
12 mei 2026 · 12 min
Today - a Korean politician sparked enormous volatility in the key chip names there on suggesting the idea of a "citizens' dividend" to be extracted from the companies' enormous profits. It's an important test of the chip space after the recent parabolic run-up in key names. Also, the lack of progress in the US and Iran re-opening the Hormuz Strait has the US dollar pushing higher on higher oil prices ahead of the US April CPI release. Elsewhere, sterling is under mounting pressure from political uncertainty as Gilts also suffer. This and more on today's pod, which is hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Lees meer
About twice per week, you will find links discussed on the podcast and a chart-of-the-day over at the John J. Hardy substack.
Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here.
Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions.
Click here to open an account with Saxo.
Intro music by AShamaluevMusic
DISCLAIMER
This content is marketing material.
Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options. -
Trump-Xi summit an historical moment. Also, an exquisitely timed IPO on deck.
11 mei 2026 · 19 min
Today, a look at the massive further ramping in the hottest AI-adjacent hardware names on Friday, although it was a former SaaS victim that rallied hardest in an ironic twist. Elsewhere, we note one of the more exquisitely timed AI-related IPOs set for this Thursday, while we await the historical moment of this week's Trump-Xi summit and the titanic stakes. This and more on today's pod, which is hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Lees meer
Today's links:
Been reading Chokepoints as I have previously noted - a critical book for understanding the leverage that economic (and financial) chokepoints provide, and an important work in light of the heavily intertwined US and Chinese economies.
An excellent Deutsche research piece on the "return of history" as gold is set to become a potentially dominant presence in global central bank reserves.
And as noted, the Back Mechanic, a book kindly recommended to me by a podcast listener on getting your back in shape and avoiding the kind of trauma I am currently suffering with a herniated disk.
About twice per week, you will find links discussed on the podcast and a chart-of-the-day over at the John J. Hardy substack.
Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here.
Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions.
Click here to open an account with Saxo.
Intro music by AShamaluevMusic
DISCLAIMER
This content is marketing material.
Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the… -
Some relief in software. Eyes on Trump-Xi next week.
8 mei 2026 · 21 min
Today, a look at US market performance behaving very differently yesterday as some software names got a big boost on an otherwise negative day, in part on DataDog's earnings result. Also, an interesting geopolitical signal comes out of Greenland, while there is plenty to talk about in macro and FX even if FX volatility remains restrained, waiting for US jobs data and next week's critical Trump-Xi summit. This and more on today's pod, which is hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Lees meer
Links discussed on today's show:
The Goldman Sachs research report on "Tracking the Trillions" in AI spending - very thorough look at many of the issues in understanding the risks in the assumptions about chip lifespan and much more.
An X post that looks at how the massive cap-ex spend on AI will drive S&P 500 earnings projections through next year, even if balance sheets are less robust on the other side.
Craig Tindale's massive work on how we are looking at climate change risks in the wrong way, with risks of ugly feedback loops in key systems that could accelerate change in ways the generalist models aren't.
About twice per week, you will find links discussed on the podcast and a chart-of-the-day over at the John J. Hardy substack.
Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here.
Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions.
Click here to open an account with Saxo.
Intro music by AShamaluevMusic
DISCLAIMER
This content is marketing material.
Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive comp… -
Chip madness getting close to FOMO mania phase?
6 mei 2026 · 15 min
Here is today's John J. Hardy substack post. Lees meer
Today, a look at the latest run-up in semiconductor names, especially after AMD reported earnings yesterday after the close and whether this almost parabolic action in the SOX index is some kind of mania phase in this market. Also, a look at the latest in macro and FX, as Japan's Ministry of Finance seems to be out showing its determination once again to strengthen the yen. This and much more on today's pod, which is hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy.
Links discussed on today's podcast and our Chart of the Day can be found on the John J. Hardy substack (within two to four hours from the time of the podcast release).
Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here.
Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions.
Click here to open an account with Saxo.
Intro music by AShamaluevMusic
DISCLAIMER
This content is marketing material.
Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.