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China's downfall
10 september 2023 · 18 min
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The Mysterious Book of the Federal Reserve
9 september 2023 · 18 min
https://www.eurodollar.university/sales-page
"If you want to delve into the deep background of how everything works, check it out here." Lees meer#money #inflation #deflation #interestrates #dollar #economy #credit #interestrates #eurodollar #recession
You can often tell what is going to happen by what policymakers don't want to talk about - or don't want you to talk about. The history of the Fed changing the Red Book's color reveals its gimmick. Decoding the words contained inside gives us sense of what real economy participants might actually be worried about whether officials want them to or not.Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis
Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP
https://www.eurodollar.university
https://www.marketsinsiderpro.com
https://www.PortfolioShield.netRealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7
THE EPISODES
YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisL
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They Really Did it
8 september 2023 · 17 min
https://www.eurodollar.university/sales-page
"If you want to delve into the deep background of how everything works, check it out here." Lees meer#money #inflation #deflation #interestrates #dollar #economy #credit #interestrates #eurodollar #oil
Saudi Arabia got its wish - oil prices are surging. So, back to inflation again? Not according to all the evidence. First of all, oil isn't actually inflation, a mistaken belief from what happened in the 70s Great Inflation. Second, markets are looking at crude as...deflationary. Even TIPS inflation expectations.Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis
Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP
https://www.eurodollar.university
https://www.marketsinsiderpro.com
https://www.PortfolioShield.netRealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7
THE EPISODES
YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisL
Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn
Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN
Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE
iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI
TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z
Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza
Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M
Reason: https://bit.ly/3lt5NiH
Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY
Pandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3Qg
Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ
Podbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDgh
Stitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GB
PlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjV
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This Will Be Worldwide Within 29 days
8 september 2023 · 18 min
https://www.eurodollar.university/sales-page
"If you want to delve into the deep background of how everything works, check it out here." Lees meer#money #inflation #deflation #interestrates #dollar #economy #credit #interestrates #europe #eurodollar #germany
Jerome Powell is selling a soft landing, but is anyone really buying? Not really, no. Risks - which are no longer just theoretical risks - are building all over the place. In addition to China/Asia, deflation has really gripped Europe. Producer prices there are sinking, even core rates. It's only a matter of time before consumer prices get sucked down, too. Only a couple years ago, Powell had admitted globally synchronized is a real danger.Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis
Niall Ferguson (Bloomberg): The US Economy’s Not a Plane and It Won’t Land Gently
https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2023-08-13/powell-s-fed-let-the-us-economy-get-too-hot-for-a-soft-landingMinutes of the Federal Open Market Committee
October 29–30, 2019
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/files/fomcminutes20191030.pdfTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP
https://www.eurodollar.university
https://www.marketsinsiderpro.com
https://www.PortfolioShield.netRealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7
THE EPISODES
YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisL
Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn
Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN
Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE
iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI
TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z
Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza
Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M
Reason: https://bit.ly/3lt5NiH
Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY
Pandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3Qg
Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ
Podbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDgh
Stitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GB
PlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjV
Podchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwN
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SoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfK
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PodcastRepubli… -
This is the ONLY Stock Market I watch (Secrets Revealed)
6 september 2023 · 17 min
#recession #money #inflation #deflation #interestrates #dollar #economy #credit #interestrates #hongkong #china #japan #stocks #dollar #yuan #yen
Hong Kong's Hang Seng stock index correlates with quite a lot of Euro$ money indications beginning with China's yuan. Also others you might not expect such as US$ IRS swap spreads (esp. 30s) and UST yield curve spreads like the 2s10s. Hang Seng is a connection between money and economy as it relates to much of Asia. China is a mess and the latest data from Japan is a true disaster, so no wonder Hang Seng having trouble hanging in. But that means a lot more than Asia. Lees meerEurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis
Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP
https://www.eurodollar.university
https://www.marketsinsiderpro.com
https://www.PortfolioShield.netRealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7
THE EPISODES
YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisL
Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn
Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN
Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE
iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI
TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z
Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza
Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M
Reason: https://bit.ly/3lt5NiH
Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY
Pandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3Qg
Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ
Podbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDgh
Stitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GB
PlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjV
Podchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwN
PocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdt
SoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfK
ListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pb
AmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2P
PodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr
PodcastRepublic:https://bit.ly/3LH8JlVDISCLOSURES
Jeffrey Snider (The Promoter) is acting as a promoter for an investment advisory firm, Atlas Financial Advisors, Inc. (AFA). Jeffrey Snider is affiliated with AFA as a promoter only and is not in any way giving investment advice or recommendations on behalf of AFA. The Promoter is being compensated by a fee arrangement: The Promoter will receive compensation on a quarterly basis,… -
The Job Market Actually BROKE
4 september 2023 · 16 min
#recession #money #inflation #deflation #interestrates #dollar #economy #credit #unemployment #interestrates #jobs
Payrolls numbers were all messed up. Household Survey, too, if not more. More revision madness plaguing the former while full-time jobs keep disappearing from the latter. Steve and I talk about what's really going on here with the data and what it means with a timely visit down memory lane with Tricky Dick. Lees meerEurodollar University's weekly conversation w/Steve Van Metre
President Richard Nixon: Address on the State of the Union Delivered Before a Joint Session of the Congress
https://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/documents/address-the-state-the-union-delivered-before-joint-session-the-congressTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP
https://www.eurodollar.university
https://www.marketsinsiderpro.com
https://www.PortfolioShield.netRealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7
THE EPISODES
YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisL
Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn
Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN
Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE
iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI
TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z
Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza
Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M
Reason: https://bit.ly/3lt5NiH
Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY
Pandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3Qg
Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ
Podbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDgh
Stitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GB
PlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjV
Podchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwN
PocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdt
SoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfK
ListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pb
AmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2P
PodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr
PodcastRepublic:https://bit.ly/3LH8JlVDISCLOSURES
Jeffrey Snider (The Promoter) is acting as a promoter for an investment advisory firm, Atlas Financial Advisors, Inc. (AFA). Jeffrey Snider is affiliated with AFA as a promoter only and is not in any way giving investment advice or recommendations on behalf of AFA. The Promoter is being compensated by a fee arrangement: The Promoter wil… -
Did China JUST Trigger GFC 2.0!!
3 september 2023 · 18 min
#recession #depression #inflation #interestrates #dollar #bank #money #credit #economy #money #whatismoney #jeffsnider #federalreserve #liquidity #yieldcurve #china #yuan
Another crazy couple of days in China's yuan saga. Authorities continue to escalate their tactics in the increasingly desperate attempt to stabilize CNY. Yet, the more officials feel they have to do, the more they also acknowledge what they've done so far hasn't done nearly enough. The eurodollar just isn't buying the Chinese spin. Lees meerEurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis
Bloomberg: China Uses Another Tool to Aid Yuan in String of Market Support
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-09-01/china-cuts-forex-reserve-ratio-in-bid-to-support-weakening-yuanTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP
https://www.eurodollar.university
https://www.marketsinsiderpro.com
https://www.PortfolioShield.netRealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7
THE EPISODES
YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisL
Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn
Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN
Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE
iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI
TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z
Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza
Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M
Reason: https://bit.ly/3lt5NiH
Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY
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Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ
Podbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDgh
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PocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdt
SoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfK
ListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pb -
Where is The Recession EVERYONE Is Talking About?
1 september 2023 · 18 min
Join us Friday Sept 1 for a free webinar. Register at the link below:
https://event.webinarjam.com/channel/eurodollaruniversity Lees meer#recession #depression #inflation #interestrates #dollar #bank #money #credit #economy #money #whatismoney #jeffsnider #federalreserve #liquidity #yieldcurve #unemployment #jobs
According to GDP, the US economy is resilient, really hanging in despite a tough global environment. On the other hand, GDP's twin indicates something very different. Spoiler: the very same as what has kept interest rates incredibly consistent for almost a year despite everything thrown at them. Worse, history has shown the other number is the superior cyclical indicator, not GDP.Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis
Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP
https://www.eurodollar.university
https://www.marketsinsiderpro.com
https://www.PortfolioShield.netRealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7
THE EPISODES
YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisL
Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn
Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN
Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE
iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI
TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z
Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza
Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M
Reason: https://bit.ly/3lt5NiH
Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY
Pandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3Qg
Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ
Podbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDgh
Stitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GB
PlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjV
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PocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdt
SoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfK
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Why Is This ALL Happening?
31 augustus 2023 · 18 min
Join us Friday Sept 1 for a free webinar. Register at the link below:
https://event.webinarjam.com/channel/eurodollaruniversity Lees meer#recession #depression #inflation #interestrates #dollar #bank #money #credit #economy #money #whatismoney #jeffsnider #federalreserve #liquidity #yieldcurve #unemployment #jobs
Beware the ides of...August? Only if it happens to foreshadow what's waiting for us in September. Looking for clues about what kind of September this one will be, inflationary and rate hike-y, or in the same category as past Septembers from 2019 or 2011, even last year's. USTs are telling us a lot by not moving around a lot. Labor data, too, telling us a lot though by moving quickly in the wrong direction.Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis
Bloomberg: US 30-Year Treasury Auction Signals Weak Demand to Wrap Up Week of Big Sales
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-08-10/treasuries-stumble-after-30-year-bond-auction-flags-weak-demandCNBC: Bill Ackman says he’s shorting 30-year Treasury bills, and yields could hit 5.5% ‘soon’
https://www.cnbc.com/2023/08/03/billionaire-investor-bill-ackman-says-hes-shorting-30-year-treasury-bills.htmlBill Ackman Tweet
https://twitter.com/BillAckman/status/1686906272937869312Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP
https://www.eurodollar.university
https://www.marketsinsiderpro.com
https://www.PortfolioShield.netRealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7
THE EPISODES
YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisL
Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn
Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN
Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE
iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI
TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z
Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza
Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M -
This Is WHY the Fed Is RIGHT
30 augustus 2023 · 19 min
Join us Friday Sept 1 for a free webinar. Register at the link below:
https://event.webinarjam.com/channel/eurodollaruniversity Lees meer#recession #depression #inflation #interestrates #dollar #bank #money #credit #economy #money #whatismoney #jeffsnider #federalreserve #liquidity #yieldcurve #jacksonehole #unemployment #employment
JOLTS for July jolted the heck out of the soft landing narrative and for very good reasons. To begin with, why the soft landing view has become so widespread. It isn't necessarily what you might think. We have to dig up the current increasingly absurd version of the Phillips Curve to find out. We also have to be aware of just how close the US economy might be to the recession cliff, savings, student loans and now maybe jobs, too.Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis
Jay Powell Press Conference July 26, 2023
https://www.federalreserve.gov/mediacenter/files/FOMCpresconf20230726.pdfJay Powell Jackson Hole August 25, 2023, Inflation: Progress and the Path Ahead
https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/speech/powell20230825a.htmFRBSF: Excess No More? Dwindling Pandemic Savings
https://www.frbsf.org/our-district/about/sf-fed-blog/excess-no-more-dwindling-pandemic-savings/Benigno & Eggertson, NBER: IT’S BAAACK: THE SURGE IN INFLATION IN THE 2020S AND THE RETURN OF THE NON-LINEAR PHILLIPS CURVE
https://www.nber.org/system/files/working_papers/w31197/w31197.pdfTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP
https://www.eurodollar.university
https://www.marketsinsiderpro.com
https://www.PortfolioShield.netRealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7
THE EPISODES
YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisL
Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn
Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN
Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE
iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI
TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z
Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza
Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M
Reason: https://bit.ly/3lt5NiH
Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY
Pandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3Qg
Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ… -
OMG: The global Bond Market just…
29 augustus 2023 · 18 min
Join us Friday Sept 1 for a free webinar. Register at the link below:
https://event.webinarjam.com/channel/eurodollaruniversity Lees meer#recession #depression #inflation #interestrates #dollar #bank #money #credit #economy #money #whatismoney #jeffsnider #federalreserve #liquidity #yieldcurve #jacksonehole #jgb #japan #china #europe #loans
Just over a week ago, I said keep an eye on the yield for the Japanese government's 3-month bill, but I didn't have this in mind at least not in August. The rate absolutely plunged today though the good news is that was the only big mover. Outside the Jbill, more trouble in China CNY along with a credit crunch in Europe that continues to get worse. The latter keeps raising the chances of European eurodollar woes getting added to what are already-serious Asian eurodollar problems.Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis
Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP
https://www.eurodollar.university
https://www.marketsinsiderpro.com
https://www.PortfolioShield.netRealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7
THE EPISODES
YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisL
Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn
Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN
Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE
iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI
TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z
Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza
Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M
Reason: https://bit.ly/3lt5NiH
Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY
Pandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3Qg
Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ
Podbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDgh
Stitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GB
PlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjV
Podchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwN
PocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdt
SoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfK
ListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pb -
Jerome Powell's Most Important Statement EVER
29 augustus 2023 · 18 min
Free Webinar on Friday, September 1 link to sign up here:
https://event.webinarjam.com/channel/eurodollaruniversity Lees meer#recession #depression #inflation #interestrates #dollar #bank #money #credit #economy #money #whatismoney #jeffsnider #federalreserve #liquidity #yieldcurve #jacksonehole
Why do central bankers need to be "confident" about inflation? At Jackson Hole, Fed Chair Jay Powell repeatedly referred to a high level of uncertainty. It doesn't matter if that was hawkish or dovish, those at the Fed portray that they know more than they do. It was the same at Jackson in August 2010 when then-Chair Ben Bernanke used the same "uncertainty" to launch a second QE.Eurodollar University's weekly conversation w/Steve Van Metre
Jay Powell, Jackson Hole: Inflation: Progress and the Path Ahead
https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/speech/powell20230825a.htmTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP
https://www.eurodollar.university
https://www.marketsinsiderpro.com
https://www.PortfolioShield.netRealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7
THE EPISODES
YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisL
Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn
Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN
Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE
iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI
TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z
Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza
Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M
Reason: https://bit.ly/3lt5NiH
Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY
Pandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3Qg
Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ
Podbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDgh
Stitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GB
PlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjV
Podchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwN
PocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdt
SoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfK
ListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pb
AmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2P
PodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr
PodcastRepublic:https://bit.ly/3LH8JlVDISCLOSURES
Jeffrey Snider (The Promoter) is acting as a promoter for an investment advisory firm, Atlas Financial Advisors, Inc. (AFA). Jeffrey Snider is affiliated with AFA as a promoter o… -
Is The Banking System Starting To Break?
27 augustus 2023 · 19 min
Join us on Friday, Sept 1 for our free webinar. To register, go here:
https://event.webinarjam.com/channel/eurodollaruniversity Lees meer#recession #depression #inflation #interestrates #dollar #bank #money #credit #economy #money #whatismoney #jeffsnider #federalreserve #liquidity #yieldcurve #china #cny #yuan
More developments in China as officials and banks struggle to stabilize the yuan. That is one way we can tell the Economy is getting worse and so are monetary conditions. While almost everyone still believes falling currencies are a choice, a form of export stimulus, here we debunk that myth by reviewing what makes the dollar go up and what that really means.Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis
Investopedia: The Impact of China Devaluing the Yuan in 2015
https://www.investopedia.com/trading/chinese-devaluation-yuan/RealClearMarkets: A Monetary System That Is No Longer Monetary
https://www.realclearmarkets.com/articles/2015/08/14/a_monetary_system_that_is_no_longer_monetary_101784.htmlTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP
https://www.eurodollar.university
https://www.marketsinsiderpro.com
https://www.PortfolioShield.netRealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7
THE EPISODES
YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisL
Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn
Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN
Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE
iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI
TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z
Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza
Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M
Reason: https://bit.ly/3lt5NiH
Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY
Pandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3Qg
Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ
Podbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDgh
Stitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GB
PlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjV
Podchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwN
PocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdt
SoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfK
ListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pb
AmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2P
PodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr
PodcastRepublic:https://bit.ly/3LH8JlVDISCLOSURES
Jeffrey Snider (The Promoter) is a… -
I've Got Bad News For Employees
25 augustus 2023 · 18 min
https://www.eurodollar.university Lees meer
Free Webinar on Friday, September 1 link to sign up here:
https://event.webinarjam.com/channel/eurodollaruniversity#recession #depression #inflation #interestrates #dollar #bank #money #credit #economy #money #whatismoney #jeffsnider #federalreserve #unemployment #employment #softlanding #germany #europe
We always talk about a soft landing, but do they ever happen? They are actually so exceedingly rate Economist Alan Blinder felt it necessary to change the standard to add a "softish" landing if only to make the Fed look better. But it's not about the Fed or rate hikes, rather that once the economy gets into this weak position the outcome - especially with inversions - isn't variable. Recent global data really shows why.ABCNews: Can Greenspan Engineer Soft Landing?
https://abcnews.go.com/Business/story?id=88786&page=1Alan Blinder: Landings, Soft and Hard: The Federal Reserve, 1965–2022
https://pubs.aeaweb.org/doi/pdfplus/10.1257/jep.37.1.101S&P Global Flash US Composite PMI™
https://www.pmi.spglobal.com/Public/Home/PressRelease/3bfc5a90d9d2416a8f6709f78f90d014HCOB Flash Eurozone PMI
https://www.pmi.spglobal.com/Public/Home/PressRelease/47840ba665f24e19b896088b4d160c6bHCOB Flash Germany PMI
https://www.pmi.spglobal.com/Public/Home/PressRelease/89529aecf6ec4de5bf1698ea086999fbEurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis
Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIPRealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7
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When WIll It END?
22 augustus 2023 · 19 min
Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis Lees meer
Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP
https://www.eurodollar.university
https://www.marketsinsiderpro.com
https://www.PortfolioShield.netRealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7
THE EPISODES
YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisL
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Jeffrey Snider (The Promoter) is acting as a promoter for an investment advisory firm, Atlas Financial Advisors, Inc. (AFA). Jeffrey Snider is affiliated with AFA as a promoter only and is not in any way giving investment advice or recommendations on behalf of AFA. The Promoter is being compensated by a fee arrangement: The Promoter will receive compensation on a quarterly basis, based on the increase in account openings that can be reasonably attributed to the Promoter's activity. The Promoter will not be receiving a portion of any advisory fees. The Promoter has an incentive to recommend the Adviser because the Promoter is being compensated. The opinions expressed on this site and in these videos are those solely of Jeffrey Snider and Eurodollar University and do not represent those of AFA. -
temp
20 augustus 2023 · 17 min
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We HAVE To Talk About the Bond Market!!
18 augustus 2023 · 19 min
https://event.webinarjam.com/channel/eurodollaruniversity
Check out my FREE Webinar here Lees meer#recession #depression #inflation #interestrates #dollar #bank #money #credit #economy #money #whatismoney #jeffsnider #federalreserve #liquidity #yieldcurve #japan #trade #jpy
Today's lackluster 20-year JGB auction has many wondering if there really is a demand issue for governments, especially after last week's 30-year UST sale (which really wasn't a big deal). It at least raises the question of whether or not a bear steepening in government bonds has ever happened before. Recent data from the US as well as Japan simply reinforce the uncertainty across financial as well as economic dimensions.Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis
Conference Board Leading Indicators
https://www.conference-board.org/topics/us-leading-indicatorsTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP
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What Do We Do NOW?!
17 augustus 2023 · 17 min
If you would like to see an exclusive webinar talking about stuff I cannot on YouTube, please check it out here:
https://event.webinarjam.com/channel/eurdollaruniversity Lees meerLast few days of the EDU membership/subscription sale:
https://www.eurodollar.university/memberssubscriptions#recession #depression #inflation #interestrates #dollar #bank #money #credit #economy #money #whatismoney #jeffsnider #federalreserve #liquidity #yieldcurve
Back and forth all year; two years, actually. No recession. Recession. Soft landing, Bank crisis contraction. Right back to soft landing again. Where do we go for something to anchor on to given so much uncertainty? For all the back and forth, there's been an unmistakable and remarkable consistency in it.Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis
RECOVERING EXPECTATIONS OF CONSUMPTION GROWTH FROM AN EQUILIBRIUM MODEL OF THE TERM STRUCTURE OF INTEREST RATES
https://people.duke.edu/~charvey/Research/Thesis/Thesis.pdfBloomberg: Economist Says His Indicator That Predicted Eight US Recessions Is Wrong This Year
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-01-04/pioneering-yield-curve-economist-sees-us-able-to-dodge-recessionWSJ: Pro Take: Yield-Curve Pioneer Says This Recession Warning Is Real
https://www.wsj.com/articles/pro-take-yield-curve-pioneer-says-this-inversion-warning-is-real-ac0b606Near Term Forward Spread:
https://www.neartermforwardspread.com/Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP
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This Is Getting Scary... China Is Getting WAY WORSE Than Expected
16 augustus 2023 · 18 min
#deflation #recession #depression #inflation #interestrates #dollar #bank #money #credit #economy #money #whatismoney #jeffsnider #federalreserve #liquidity #china #yuan #rmb #cny #japan #jpy #yen
China really is gloomy, but is there hope in Japan for a boom? Not so fast. Though Japanese GDP surged the economy there actually went the other way. A big reason why is the increasingly dangerous slide in China. This has even unnerved Beijing - the PBOC panicked into an unscheduled rate cut (pair of them) and the NBS yanked the youth unemployment rate altogether. Lees meerEURODOLLAR UNIVERSITY SEPTEMBER 1 WEBINAR
https://event.webinarjam.com/channel/eurdollaruniversityEurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis
Bloomberg: Japan’s Huge GDP Beat Driven by Exports as Domestic Demand Falls
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-08-14/japan-s-economy-expands-more-than-expected-signaling-resilienceChina Daily:
https://www.chinadaily.com.cn/a/202308/15/WS64db0857a31035260b81c3ea.html
NBS suspends release of youth unemployment rateTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP
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The Dollar Is Starting To MOVE... What This Means For YOU
15 augustus 2023 · 18 min
#deflation #recession #depression #inflation #interestrates #dollar #bank #money #credit #economy #money #whatismoney #jeffsnider #federalreserve #liquidity #china #yuan #rmb #cny #india #rupee
It's not just China's yuan which is experiencing serious turmoil. Now India's rupee has been drawn into the growing maelstrom, too. In both cases, both country's central banks are being forced to alter their currency tactics. Why now? That's the question since we already know the answer to why the dollar is being bullish. Lees meerEurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis
AP: ‘Bad situation’: Soaring US dollar spreads pain worldwide
https://apnews.com/article/inflation-middle-east-africa-business-global-trade-bee68344b1812dd48ca9c0735395b868Bruno & Shin: Capital Flows and the Risk-Taking Channel of Monetary Policy
https://www.princeton.edu/~ceps/workingpapers/237b%20shin.pdfReuters: Indian rupee strengthens on dollar weakness, likely RBI intervention
https://www.reuters.com/world/india/indian-rupee-strengthens-dollar-weakness-likely-rbi-intervention-2023-08-10/Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP
https://www.eurodollar.university
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The word is: LIQUIDITY.
14 augustus 2023 · 17 min
#deflation #recession #depression #inflation #interestrates #dollar #bank #money #credit #economy #money #whatismoney #jeffsnider #federalreserve #liquidity #loans #CRE #commercialrealestate #CMBS #ustreasuries #yieldcurve
Are there too many Treasuries? You hear this all the time and while Uncle Sam has spent and borrowed more than human imagination can conceive the reason why the feds are able to is safety and liquidity come first. In 2023, we can see why that would be the case especially as more cracks emerge in key markets. Lees meerEurodollar University's weekly conversation w/Steve Van Metre
BNNBloomberg: Property Loans Are So Unappealing That Banks Want to Dump Them
https://www.bnnbloomberg.ca/property-loans-are-so-unappealing-that-banks-want-to-dump-them-1.1955910Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP
https://www.eurodollar.university
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https://www.PortfolioShield.netRealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7
THE EPISODES
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Jeffrey Snider (The Promoter) is acting as a promoter for an investment advisory firm, Atlas Financial Advisors, Inc. (AFA). Jeffrey Snider is affiliated with AFA as a promoter only and is not in any way giving investment advice or recommendations on behalf of AFA. The Pro… -
This Is WORSE Than We FEARED
13 augustus 2023 · 18 min
#deflation #recession #depression #inflation #interestrates #dollar #bank #money #credit #economy #money #whatismoney #jeffsnider #federalreserve #liquidity #china #lending #yuan #rmb #cny #loans
China's efforts to control or stabilize its currency are failing because the Chinese system has itself become highly unstable. July 2023 lending data shows an alarming drop in credit across all types, indicating a growing credit problem exacerbating an economic and financial system already more than flirting with deflation triggered in full part by worsening global recession conditions. Lees meerEurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis
FT: China’s rapid reopening will stir the global economy
https://www.ft.com/content/cb5365eb-0b52-45ac-9870-923878aeb910Bloomberg: Next China: A Deflation Gift
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2023-08-11/why-deflation-could-become-a-welcomed-chinese-export-next-chinaCNNBusiness: Chinese property giant Country Garden warns of $7.6 billion loss as it nears default
https://www.cnn.com/2023/08/11/investing/china-country-garden-loss-warning-intl-hnk/index.htmlTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP
https://www.eurodollar.university
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THE EPISODES
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There is MORE Coming...
11 augustus 2023 · 18 min
#deflation #recession #depression #inflation #interestrates #dollar #bank #money #credit #economy #money #whatismoney #jeffsnider #federalreserve #liquidity
Another thoroughly disinflationary headline CPI joined for a second month by its core component. Not only that, strengthening hints of deflation are becoming more frequent in the details, too. And if that wasn't enough, China's CPI falls negative and its PPI alarmingly goes further on the bad side, too. Lees meerEurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis
Project Syndicate: M El-Erian
https://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/why-the-resurgent-transitory-inflation-narrative-is-dangerous-by-mohamed-a-el-erian-2023-02Tweet by M El-Erian
https://twitter.com/elerianm/status/1689617154608623616CNBC: July CPI report shows inflation gauge rose 3.2%, less than expected
https://www.cnbc.com/2023/08/10/cpi-inflation-july-2023-.htmlTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP
https://www.eurodollar.university
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This Day STOPPED The World: August 9th 2007
10 augustus 2023 · 19 min
#deflation #recession #depression #inflation #interestrates #dollar #bank #money #credit #economy #money #whatismoney #jeffsnider #federalreserve #liquidity
August 9, 2007, is a date that should live in infamy but doesn't - not yet. Hardly anyone knows what happened or why it is today still so important and relevant. Amidst a banking crisis that hasn't gone away, Moody's gave us a reminder of it yesterday, understanding what went on and what came after is crucial. Lees meerEurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis
RCM: Anniversary of a Market Event That Changed Everything
https://www.realclearmarkets.com/articles/2014/08/08/anniversary_of_a_panic_that_changed_everything_101216.htmlReuters: BNP freezes $2.2 bln of funds over subprime
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-bnpparibas-subprime-funds-idUSWEB612920070809FRBNY Liberty Street Economics: Did the Fed’s Term Auction Facility Work?
https://libertystreeteconomics.newyorkfed.org/2011/10/did-the-feds-term-auction-facility-work/CNBC: Moody’s cuts ratings of 10 U.S. banks and puts some big names on downgrade watch
https://www.cnbc.com/2023/08/08/moodys-cuts-ratings-of-10-us-banks-and-puts-some-big-names-on-downgrade-watch.htmlTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP
https://www.eurodollar.university
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China's NEW World-Altering Decision
9 augustus 2023 · 17 min
#deflation #recession #depression #inflation #interestrates #dollar #bank #money #credit #economy #money #whatismoney #jeffsnider #china #trade
Just plain ugliness from China today, first with economic statistics that weren't just the worst since 2009 they are now becoming like 2009. Second, CNY keeps pushing lower to the point the PBOC may be forced to alter its attempt to stabilize China's currency against heavier deflationary and recession eurodollar pressures. This isn't just about the dire shape of the Chinese system, either, rather an accurate reflection of so much negative global potential that is less and less mere potential. Lees meerEurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis
Bloomberg: China Deflation Threat Grows as Companies Cut Prices to Survive
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-08-07/china-deflation-threat-grows-as-companies-cut-prices-to-surviveTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP
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It Will ALL Be Over In 2024
8 augustus 2023 · 17 min
#deflation #recession #depression #inflation #interestrates #dollar #bank #money #credit #economy #money #whatismoney #jeffsnider #jobs #employment #unemployment
The second half of 2023 just isn't rebounding like so many have hoped. The inventory cycle continues to plague most of the world and is set to get worse not better. The yield curve has shifted to reflect that strong possibility; made stronger by the credit crunch which shows no signs of letting up through the first month of H2. Lees meerEurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis
A.P. Moller - Maersk reports robust Q2 financial results in difficult market conditions
https://www.maersk.com/news/articles/2023/08/04/maersk-reports-robust-q2-financial-results-in-difficult-market-conditionsBloomberg: BofA Clients Turn Cautious, Flee From Stocks on Recession Risks
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-08-04/bofa-clients-turn-cautious-flee-from-stocks-amid-recession-riskTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP
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Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn
Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN
Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE
iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI
TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z
Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza
Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M
Reason: https://bit.ly/3lt5NiH
Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY
Pandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3Qg
Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ
Podbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDgh
Stitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GB
PlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjV -
What is Inflation? What EVERYONE Gets WRONG
7 augustus 2023 · 18 min
#deflation #recession #depression #inflation #interestrates #dollar #bank #money #credit #economy #money #whatismoney #jeffsnider #jobs #employment #unemployment #supplyshock
People hate the word "transitory" because they naturally believe a couple years wouldn't qualify under it. Yet, supply shocks historically take that much time and the current one we are experiencing is following that pattern very closely. What matters now, however, is what comes next. The data not only confirms the supply shock, it also holds a serious warning as to that next step. Lees meerEurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis
Jeff's Interview w/Erik Townsend on MacroVoices
https://youtu.be/Zr578T08l7c
https://t.co/ZGaW1CSQ0MTime: Ketchup Shortage
https://time.com/6072227/miguel-patricio-ceo-kraft-heinz-ketchup-shortage/Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP
https://www.eurodollar.university
https://www.marketsinsiderpro.com
https://www.PortfolioShield.netRealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7
Epoch Times Columns: https://bit.ly/39ESkRfTHE EPISODES
YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisL
Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn
Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN
Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE
iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI
TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z
Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza
Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M
Reason: https://bit.ly/3lt5NiH
Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY
Pandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3Qg
Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ
Podbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDgh
Stitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GB
PlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjV
Podchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwN
PocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdt
SoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfK
ListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pb
AmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2P
PodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr
PodcastRepublic:https://bit.ly/3LH8JlVDISCLOSURES
Jeffrey Snider (The Promoter) is acting as a promoter for an investment advisory firm, Atlas Financial Advisors, Inc. (AFA). Jeffrey Snider is affiliated with AFA as a promoter only and is not in… -
It Just Happened...The JOB MARKET JUST BROKE!!
6 augustus 2023 · 18 min
#deflation #recession #depression #inflation #interestrates #dollar #bank #money #credit #economy #money #whatismoney #jeffsnider #jobs #employment #unemployment
Payroll report for July wasn't just about July's payrolls. Instead, major downward revisions to every single month this year consistent with a serious enough downturn in the labor market. Plus, hours continue to contract while cyclical industries are right on the edge of mass layoffs. Lees meerEurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis
CNBC: Payrolls rose 339,000 in May, much better than expected in resilient labor market
https://www.cnbc.com/2023/06/02/jobs-report-may-2023-.htmlFRB St Louis: Are Unemployment Data Revisions Biased?
https://research.stlouisfed.org/publications/employment-research/are-unemployment-data-revisions-biasedTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP
https://www.eurodollar.university
https://www.marketsinsiderpro.com
https://www.PortfolioShield.netRealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7
THE EPISODES
YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisL
Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn
Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN
Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE
iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI
TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z
Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza
Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M
Reason: https://bit.ly/3lt5NiH
Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY
Pandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3Qg
Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ
Podbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDgh
Stitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GB
PlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjV
Podchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwN
PocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdt
SoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfK
ListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pb
AmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2P
PodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr
PodcastRepublic:https://bit.ly/3LH8JlVDISCLOSURES
Jeffrey Snider (The Promoter) is acting as a promoter for an investment advisory firm, Atlas Financial Advisors, Inc. (AFA). Jeffrey Snider is affiliated with AFA as a promoter only and is not in any way giving investment advice or recommendatio… -
BREAKING NEWS SHOWS 77.6% Of US Job Market is IN DANGER
4 augustus 2023 · 18 min
#deflation #recession #depression #inflation #interestrates #dollar #bank #money #credit #economy #money #whatismoney #jeffsnider
Popular perception suggests services industries are insulated from macro problems plaguing manufacturers. While that may have been true at one time perhaps long ago, it wasn't true in '08 nor would it be today. If anything, service providers are even more closely linked to goods now than ever - many goods won't even function without services. Fewer sales of items, fewer service contracts and then fewer service jobs. Lees meerEurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis
Chairman Ben S. Bernanke At the International Monetary Conference, Barcelona, Spain (via satellite)
https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/speech/bernanke20080603a.htmFOMC Transcript June 2008
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/files/FOMC20080625meeting.pdfJ.P.Morgan Global Composite PMI
https://www.pmi.spglobal.com/Public/Home/PressRelease/3271b887e7634ea9bd6845578aa62a3bTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP
https://www.eurodollar.university
https://www.marketsinsiderpro.com
https://www.PortfolioShield.netRealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7
THE EPISODES
YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisL
Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn
Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN
Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE
iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI
TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z
Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza
Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M
Reason: https://bit.ly/3lt5NiH
Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY
Pandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3Qg
Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ
Podbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDgh
Stitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GB
PlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjV
Podchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwN
PocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdt
SoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfK
ListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pb
AmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2P
PodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr
PodcastRepublic:https://bit.ly/3LH8JlVDISCLOSURES
Jeffrey Snider (The Promoter) is acting as a promoter f… -
PREPARE for this $1.7 TRILLION EXPLOSION!
3 augustus 2023 · 17 min
#deflation #recession #depression #inflation #interestrates #dollar #bank #money #credit #economy #oil #gasoline #money #whatismoney #jeffsnider #treasury #debt
Fitch downgrades US government debt as its fiscal woes are piling up. Why? The same reason American use of gasoline just nosedived. This is also the reason why the government has been able to continue borrowing all it wants despite its dramatically worsening credit profile. Demand for safety and liquidity in unsafe and illiquid times matters more than how broke Uncle Sam is getting to be. Lees meerEurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis
Fitch Downgrades the United States' Long-Term Ratings to 'AA+' from 'AAA'; Outlook Stable
https://www.fitchratings.com/research/sovereigns/fitch-downgrades-united-states-long-term-ratings-to-aa-from-aaa-outlook-stable-01-08-2023Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP
https://www.eurodollar.university
https://www.marketsinsiderpro.com
https://www.PortfolioShield.netRealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7
THE EPISODES
YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisL
Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn
Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN
Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE
iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI
TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z
Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza
Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M
Reason: https://bit.ly/3lt5NiH
Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY
Pandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3Qg
Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ
Podbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDgh
Stitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GB
PlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjV
Podchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwN
PocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdt
SoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfK
ListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pb
AmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2P
PodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr
PodcastRepublic:https://bit.ly/3LH8JlVDISCLOSURES
Jeffrey Snider (The Promoter) is acting as a promoter for an investment advisory firm, Atlas Financial Advisors, Inc. (AFA). Jeffrey Snider is affiliated with AFA as a promoter only and is not in any way giving invest… -
It's about to go off.
2 augustus 2023 · 18 min
#deflation #recession #economy #bankfailure #money #whatismoney #jeffsnider #bankingcrisis #bankingcollapse #china #layoffs #jobs
Stocks are having a really good run, but why? Perceptions that rate hikes are coming to a close (correct) and the Fed has engineered a soft landing (not so much). What would spoil this illusion is a recession, though it will have to be confirmed by the labor market data first. Today's estimates indicate that's already happening. Lees meerEurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis
Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP
https://www.eurodollar.university
https://www.marketsinsiderpro.com
https://www.PortfolioShield.netRealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7
Epoch Times Columns: https://bit.ly/39ESkRfTHE EPISODES
YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisL
Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn
Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN
Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE
iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI
TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z
Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza
Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M
Reason: https://bit.ly/3lt5NiH
Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY
Pandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3Qg
Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ
Podbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDgh
Stitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GB
PlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjV
Podchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwN
PocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdt
SoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfK
ListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pb
AmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2P
PodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr
PodcastRepublic:https://bit.ly/3LH8JlVDISCLOSURES
Jeffrey Snider (The Promoter) is acting as a promoter for an investment advisory firm, Atlas Financial Advisors, Inc. (AFA). Jeffrey Snider is affiliated with AFA as a promoter only and is not in any way giving investment advice or recommendations on behalf of AFA. The Promoter is being compensated by a fee arrangement: The Promoter will receive compensation on a quarterly basis, based on the increase in account openings that can be reasonably attributed to the Promoter's activity. The Prom… -
What just happened?
1 augustus 2023 · 18 min
#yellow #deflation #recession #depression #inflation #interestrates #dollar #bank #money #credit #economy #bankfailure #money #whatismoney #jeffsnider #bankingcrisis #bankingcollapse #china
One of the largest trucking firms in the US, Yellow, is now formerly one of the largest trucking firms. Its story is the supply shock, general economy story in a nutshell. It was a fool's paradise that we now have to pay for. Most recent data shows the bill is already coming due and the costs are growing not the economy. Lees meerEurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis
Yellow’s CEO sees LTL in growth mode in opening SMC3 Connections conference
https://ajot.com/insights/full/ai-yellows-ceo-sees-ltl-in-growth-mode-in-opening-smc3-connections-conferenceYellow CEO Darren Hawkins: Q4 Earnings Show Carrier on Right Track
https://www.ttnews.com/articles/yellow-ceo-darren-hawkins-q4-earnings-show-carrier-right-trackDallas Fed's Texas Manu Survey Comments
https://www.dallasfed.org/research/surveys/tmos/2023/2307#tab-commentsTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP
https://www.eurodollar.university
https://www.marketsinsiderpro.com
https://www.PortfolioShield.netRealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7
THE EPISODES
YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisL
Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn
Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN
Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE
iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI
TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z
Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza
Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M
Reason: https://bit.ly/3lt5NiH
Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY
Pandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3Qg
Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ
Podbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDgh
Stitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GB
PlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjV
Podchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwN
PocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdt
SoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfK
ListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pb
AmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2P
PodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr
PodcastRepublic:https://bit.ly/3LH8JlVDISCLOSURES
Jeffrey Snider (The Promot… -
This should NOT be happening.
31 juli 2023 · 18 min
#deflation #recession #depression #inflation #interestrates #dollar #bank #money #credit #economy #bankfailure #money #whatismoney #jeffsnider #bankingcrisis #bankingcollapse
In July 2019, Fed Chairman Jay Powell told Congress he was increasingly worried major global weakness would envelope the US. As a result, the FOMC would vote to start cutting interest rates in a matter of weeks. Four years later, the FOMC is still hiking rates when the US and global economy is FAR weaker. How do we make sense of this? Lees meerEurodollar University's weekly conversation w/Steve Van Metre
Semiannual Monetary Policy Report to the Congress
https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/testimony/powell20190710a.htmTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP
https://www.eurodollar.university
https://www.marketsinsiderpro.com
https://www.PortfolioShield.netRealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7
THE EPISODES
YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisL
Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn
Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN
Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE
iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI
TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z
Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza
Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M
Reason: https://bit.ly/3lt5NiH
Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY
Pandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3Qg
Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ
Podbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDgh
Stitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GB
PlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjV
Podchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwN
PocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdt
SoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfK
ListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pb
AmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2P
PodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr
PodcastRepublic:https://bit.ly/3LH8JlVDISCLOSURES
Jeffrey Snider (The Promoter) is acting as a promoter for an investment advisory firm, Atlas Financial Advisors, Inc. (AFA). Jeffrey Snider is affiliated with AFA as a promoter only and is not in any way giving investment advice or recommendations on behalf of AFA. The Promoter is being compensated by a fee arrangement: The Promoter will receive co… -
NEED ANYMORE PROOF?!
30 juli 2023 · 18 min
#deflation #recession #depression #inflation #interestrates #dollar #bank #money #credit #economy #bankfailure #money #whatismoney #jeffsnider #bankingcrisis #bankingcollapse
The Goldilocks scenario is kept alive only through a fundamental misreading of the situation. New consumer price data from all over decisively shows the shift to disinflation. Here's what that actually means. Lees meerEurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis
Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP
https://www.eurodollar.university
https://www.marketsinsiderpro.com
https://www.PortfolioShield.netRealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7
THE EPISODES
YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisL
Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn
Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN
Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE
iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI
TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z
Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza
Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M
Reason: https://bit.ly/3lt5NiH
Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY
Pandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3Qg
Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ
Podbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDgh
Stitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GB
PlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjV
Podchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwN
PocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdt
SoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfK
ListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pb
AmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2P
PodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr
PodcastRepublic:https://bit.ly/3LH8JlVDISCLOSURES
Jeffrey Snider (The Promoter) is acting as a promoter for an investment advisory firm, Atlas Financial Advisors, Inc. (AFA). Jeffrey Snider is affiliated with AFA as a promoter only and is not in any way giving investment advice or recommendations on behalf of AFA. The Promoter is being compensated by a fee arrangement: The Promoter will receive compensation on a quarterly basis, based on the increase in account openings that can be reasonably attributed to the Promoter's activity. The Promoter will not be receiving a portion of any advisory fees. The Promoter has an incentive to recommend the Adviser because… -
This Is PROOF They Are Lying To Us!!
28 juli 2023 · 17 min
#recession #inflation #china #deflation #interestrates #dollar #bank #money #economy #credit
#jeffsnider #eurodollar #cpi #federalreserve #jeromepowell
The ECB and Fed have hiked rates while simultaneously citing elevated "inflation" risks and a high level of uncertainty around forecasts and results. If each economy is doing as well as is claimed, then uncertainty would be low. There is instead an almost bipolar division between outlooks; a serious and worsening downside risk only balanced by a perceived upside based on current statistics. Including GDP. Lees meerEurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis
ECB Combined Monetary Policy Decisions and Statement
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/pressconf/shared/pdf/ecb.ds230727~9e147b657d.en.pdf?ca4da9a82a1174e4b5eb9adb5079b1c7FOMC Press Conference Transcript July 2023
https://www.federalreserve.gov/mediacenter/files/FOMCpresconf20230726.pdfTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP
https://www.eurodollar.university
https://www.marketsinsiderpro.com
https://www.PortfolioShield.netRealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7
THE EPISODES
YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisL
Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn
Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN
Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE
iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI
TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z
Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza
Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M
Reason: https://bit.ly/3lt5NiH
Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY
Pandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3Qg
Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ
Podbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDgh
Stitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GB
PlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjV
Podchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwN
PocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdt
SoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfK
ListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pb
AmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2P
PodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr
PodcastRepublic:https://bit.ly/3LH8JlVDISCLOSURES
Jeffrey Snider (The Promoter) is acting as a promoter for an investment advisory firm, Atlas Financial Advisors, Inc. (AFA). Jeffrey Snider is affilia… -
We Have To discuss this IMMEDIATELY.
27 juli 2023 · 19 min
#china #europe #eurodollar #interestrates #lending #deflation #inflation
Bank lending continues to contract in Europe as demand for loans there have plummeted to the worst in ECB's history (lending survey). The credit crunch is spreading and deepening meaning the European economy will more than struggle to get out of its recession, it will end up being shoved farther into it. And interest rates are not the reason why. On the contrary, interest rates are telling us what that reason is. Lees meerEurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis
ECB: Euro Area Bank Lending Survey Q2 2023
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/ecb_surveys/bank_lending_survey/html/ecb.blssurvey2023q2~6d340c8db6.en.htmlFOMC Transcript Conference Call October 5, 1979
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/files/FOMC19791005confcall.pdfTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP
https://www.eurodollar.university
https://www.marketsinsiderpro.com
https://www.PortfolioShield.netRealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7
THE EPISODES
YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisL
Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn
Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN
Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE
iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI
TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z
Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza
Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M
Reason: https://bit.ly/3lt5NiH
Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY
Pandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3Qg
Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ
Podbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDgh
Stitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GB
PlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjV
Podchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwN
PocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdt
SoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfK
ListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pb
AmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2P
PodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr
PodcastRepublic:https://bit.ly/3LH8JlVDISCLOSURES
Jeffrey Snider (The Promoter) is acting as a promoter for an investment advisory firm, Atlas Financial Advisors, Inc. (AFA). Jeffrey Snider is affiliated with AFA as a promoter only and is not in any way giving investment advice or … -
Authorities realize the situation is beyond critical, but what else can they do?
26 juli 2023 · 19 min
#dollar #cny #currency #deflation #recession #china
China's PBOC FX interventions by themselves aren't having much luck which is why the central bank has directed commercial banks to assist, including earlier today with an aggressive push. The market weakness in the currency like the intervention is a warning of big problems and not just about China. Those were likewise acknowledged by the politburo in its mid-year assessment which offered little by way of solutions to these vexing and "grim" conditions. Lees meerEurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis
Xinhua: CPC leadership holds symposium to seek advice on economic work
https://english.news.cn/20230724/a8ddc909cf8d4f1d96d1c44e67c99ff4/c.htmlTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP
https://www.eurodollar.university
https://www.marketsinsiderpro.com
https://www.PortfolioShield.netRealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7
THE EPISODES
YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisL
Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn
Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN
Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE
iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI
TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z
Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza
Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M
Reason: https://bit.ly/3lt5NiH
Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY
Pandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3Qg
Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ
Podbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDgh
Stitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GB
PlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjV
Podchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwN
PocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdt
SoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfK
ListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pb
AmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2P
PodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr
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Jeffrey Snider (The Promoter) is acting as a promoter for an investment advisory firm, Atlas Financial Advisors, Inc. (AFA). Jeffrey Snider is affiliated with AFA as a promoter only and is not in any way giving investment advice or recommendations on behalf of AFA. The Promoter is being compensated by a fee arrangement: The Promoter will recei… -
Latest global data paints even uglier picture of substantial deterioration and deflation.
25 juli 2023 · 18 min
#recession #manufacturing #services #globaleconomy #deflation #inflation
With Germany and Europe already struggling to escape from the earlier recession, most recent July data on forward-looking sentiment shows the situation worsening substantially over the months still ahead. In the US, PMI numbers indicate the same if not yet to the same degree and intensity. Becoming more globally synchronized and deflationary. Lees meerEurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis
Deutsche Bundesbank Monthly Report June 2023
https://www.bundesbank.de/resource/blob/911528/01ceb958008680074abe476534ae6288/mL/2023-06-prognose-data.pdfHCOB Flash Germany PMI
https://www.pmi.spglobal.com/Public/Home/PressRelease/c23ef113fdfb4d149593c3b3d2840fe9HCOB Flash Eurozone PMI
https://www.pmi.spglobal.com/Public/Home/PressRelease/3b7cae66963d47798b88889727023fd3S&P Global Flash US Composite PMI
https://www.pmi.spglobal.com/Public/Home/PressRelease/bbdd92c5f4a34bb5975b23263409ad3dTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP
https://www.eurodollar.university
https://www.marketsinsiderpro.com
https://www.PortfolioShield.netRealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7
THE EPISODES
YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisL
Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn
Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN
Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE
iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI
TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z
Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza
Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M
Reason: https://bit.ly/3lt5NiH
Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY
Pandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3Qg
Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ
Podbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDgh
Stitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GB
PlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjV
Podchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwN
PocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdt
SoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfK
ListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pb
AmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2P
PodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr
PodcastRepublic:https://bit.ly/3LH8JlVDISCLOSURES
Jeffrey Snider (The Promoter) is acting as a promoter for an investment advisory f… -
Market strategists get cold feet at the worst possible time.
24 juli 2023 · 20 min
#interestrates #inflation #deflation #recession #inversion #ratehikes
A slew of Wall Street types are getting impatient - and cold feet - waiting for a recession they're not sure is happening. The market is sure causing them to wonder if the market is just wrong with its massive inversion. No, this time is never different. Lees meerEurodollar University's weekly conversation w/Steve Van Metre
If Powell Wants Higher Rates, He Should Ask Why He's Not Getting Them
https://www.realclearmarkets.com/articles/2023/07/21/if_powell_wants_higher_rates_he_should_ask_why_hes_not_getting_them_967624.htmlBloomberg: Goldman Says Yield Curve Is Wrong About Recession. Should Investors Be Worried?
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-07-18/goldman-says-yield-curve-is-wrong-about-recession-mliv-agreesBloomberg: Bill Gross Says Bond Bull Market Isn’t ‘In the Cards’ as Yields Peak
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-07-21/gross-says-bond-bull-market-isn-t-in-the-cards-as-yields-peakJames Grant: John Adams Party of One
https://www.amazon.com/John-Adams-Party-James-Grant/dp/B001714ZF2Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP
https://www.eurodollar.university
https://www.marketsinsiderpro.com
https://www.PortfolioShield.netRealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7
THE EPISODES
YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisL
Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn
Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN
Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE
iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI
TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z
Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza
Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M
Reason: https://bit.ly/3lt5NiH
Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY
Pandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3Qg
Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ
Podbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDgh
Stitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GB
PlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjV
Podchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwN
PocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdt
SoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfK
ListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pb
AmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2P
PodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr
Podca… -
BRICS plan to remake the world order.
23 juli 2023 · 24 min
#dollar #brics #gold #currency #money #eurodollar
Next month, the BRICS summit is going to introduce a new common currency and one backed by gold. Or is it? Before it even begins, the group seems like it will have to proceed without the I and the S. Or any monetary sense. Lees meerEurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis
The Eurodollar Standard Isn't Going Anywhere Anytime Soon
https://www.realclearmarkets.com/articles/2023/06/02/the_eurodollar_standard_isnt_going_anywhere_anytime_soon_903165.htmlBRICScoin, Like U.S. Inflation, Never Had a Chance
https://www.realclearmarkets.com/articles/2022/01/28/bricscoin_like_us_inflation_never_had_a_chance_814163.htmlTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP
https://www.eurodollar.university
https://www.marketsinsiderpro.com
https://www.PortfolioShield.netRealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7
THE EPISODES
YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisL
Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn
Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN
Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE
iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI
TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z
Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza
Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M
Reason: https://bit.ly/3lt5NiH
Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY
Pandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3Qg
Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ
Podbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDgh
Stitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GB
PlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjV
Podchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwN
PocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdt
SoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfK
ListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pb
AmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2P
PodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr
PodcastRepublic:https://bit.ly/3LH8JlVDISCLOSURES
Jeffrey Snider (The Promoter) is acting as a promoter for an investment advisory firm, Atlas Financial Advisors, Inc. (AFA). Jeffrey Snider is affiliated with AFA as a promoter only and is not in any way giving investment advice or recommendations on behalf of AFA. The Promoter is being compensated by a fee arrangement: The Promoter will receive compensation on a quarterly basis,… -
We aren't supposed to say the R-word but that's what we keep finding in big ways and small.
21 juli 2023 · 18 min
#recession #inflation #deflation #taiwan #semiconductor #apple
Taiwan Semiconductor reported pretty awful results blaming the global macroeconomic environment, specifically singling out inventory bloat as well as China's failed reopening. The effects aren't being limited to that side of the Pacific; the spillover is already affecting projects in the United States. We aren't supposed to say "recession" yet that's what we keep finding in big ways and small. Lees meerEurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis
Reuters: TSMC sending more workers to speed up building of new Arizona plant
https://www.reuters.com/technology/tsmc-sending-more-workers-speed-up-building-new-arizona-plant-2023-06-29/CNBC: TSMC reports first profit drop in 4 years as electronics demand slump continues
https://www.cnbc.com/2023/07/20/tsmc-q2-earnings.htmlFT: TSMC warns over deepening slump in chipmaking sector
https://www.ft.com/content/f433971d-fd8e-4ed3-91e9-e25a96284ea0CNBC: Apple supplier TSMC delays start of Arizona chip factory
https://www.cnbc.com/2023/07/20/tsmc-delays-start-of-arizona-chip-factory-that-will-build-apple-chips.htmlCNBC: Apple reports better-than-expected quarter driven by iPhone sales
https://www.cnbc.com/2023/05/04/apple-aapl-earnings-report-q2-2023.htmlCanalys: Recovery in sight after global smartphone market declined by 11% in Q2 2023
https://www.canalys.com/newsroom/global-smartphone-market-q2-2023Canalys: Worldwide smartphone shipments fall for fourth consecutive quarter, leaving market down 12% in 2022
https://www.canalys.com/newsroom/global-smartphone-market-2022LATimes: Supply of homes for sale in U.S. hits lowest level in more than two decades
https://www.latimes.com/business/story/2022-01-28/homes-for-sale-listings-declineTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP
https://www.eurodollar.university
https://www.marketsinsiderpro.com
https://www.PortfolioShield.netRealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7
THE EPISODES
YouTube: https://bit.ly/… -
It has all been an illusion and now the brutal truth is being uncovered.
20 juli 2023 · 18 min
#recession #china #germany #trade #export #deflation #bonds
Germany reported trade data exposing the resilient economy fallacy as a product of nothing more than the temporary nominal price illusion. Volumes are down huge and as values fall there's no more cushion from lack of activity. This isn't about Germany so much, either, as we can see in trade w/the German's biggest customers: China and the US of A. Lees meerEurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis
Bloomberg: ECB Hawk Klaas Knot Pushes Back on Bets for a September Hike
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-07-18/ecb-s-knot-says-hiking-beyond-july-is-at-most-a-possibilityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP
https://www.eurodollar.university
https://www.marketsinsiderpro.com
https://www.PortfolioShield.netRealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7
Epoch Times Columns: https://bit.ly/39ESkRfTHE EPISODES
YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisL
Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn
Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN
Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE
iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI
TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z
Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza
Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M
Reason: https://bit.ly/3lt5NiH
Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY
Pandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3Qg
Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ
Podbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDgh
Stitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GB
PlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjV
Podchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwN
PocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdt
SoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfK
ListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pb
AmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2P
PodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr
PodcastRepublic:https://bit.ly/3LH8JlVDISCLOSURES
Jeffrey Snider (The Promoter) is acting as a promoter for an investment advisory firm, Atlas Financial Advisors, Inc. (AFA). Jeffrey Snider is affiliated with AFA as a promoter only and is not in any way giving investment advice or recommendations on behalf of AFA. The Promoter is being compensated by a fee arrangement: The Promoter will receive compensation on… -
Over a hundred years of data and very few exceptions.
19 juli 2023 · 19 min
#recession #deflation #inflation #retailsales #industrial #consumer
US Industrial Production fell for the second month in a row, dropping the Fed's index below the same period a year ago. A negative yearly change in IP has accompanied all 18 of the economic contractions in the NBER's library. Only six times in over a century has IP been negative on an annual basis without any full-scale recession. Lees meerEurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis
Bloomberg: Stocks Climb After Yellen Eases Recession Fears: Markets Wrap
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-07-16/asia-stocks-to-struggle-as-inflation-doubts-linger-markets-wrapBloomberg: US Industrial Production Decreased in June for a Second Month
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-07-18/us-industrial-production-fell-in-june-for-a-second-monthTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP
https://www.eurodollar.university
https://www.marketsinsiderpro.com
https://www.PortfolioShield.netRealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7
THE EPISODES
YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisL
Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn
Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN
Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE
iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI
TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z
Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza
Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M
Reason: https://bit.ly/3lt5NiH
Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY
Pandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3Qg
Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ
Podbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDgh
Stitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GB
PlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjV
Podchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwN
PocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdt
SoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfK
ListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pb
AmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2P
PodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr
PodcastRepublic:https://bit.ly/3LH8JlVDISCLOSURES
Jeffrey Snider (The Promoter) is acting as a promoter for an investment advisory firm, Atlas Financial Advisors, Inc. (AFA). Jeffrey Snider is affiliated with AFA as a promoter only and is not in any way giving investment advice… -
Latest data deluge confirms real dangers and accelerating downside.
18 juli 2023 · 19 min
#china #recession #inflation #deflation #industrial #spending #money
China's GDP report as well as its monthly statistics confirm first reopening isn't just completely dead, instead the entire economy is already rolling over and heading toward more weakness. The global recession combined with China's own problems - which weren't really about the pandemic - have left the Chinese exposed to a dangerous downside and no lockdowns to blame this time. Lees meerEurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis
China's NBS: The basic situation of the national real estate market in the first half of 2023
http://www.stats.gov.cn/sj/zxfb/202307/t20230715_1941273.htmlBloomberg: Wall Street Cuts China Growth Forecasts as Economy Disappoints
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-07-17/china-growth-forcasts-cut-as-economists-highlight-risks-in-dataTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP
https://www.eurodollar.university
https://www.marketsinsiderpro.com
https://www.PortfolioShield.netRealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7
THE EPISODES
YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisL
Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn
Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN
Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE
iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI
TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z
Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza
Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M
Reason: https://bit.ly/3lt5NiH
Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY
Pandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3Qg
Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ
Podbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDgh
Stitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GB
PlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjV
Podchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwN
PocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdt
SoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfK
ListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pb
AmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2P
PodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr
PodcastRepublic:https://bit.ly/3LH8JlVDISCLOSURES
Jeffrey Snider (The Promoter) is acting as a promoter for an investment advisory firm, Atlas Financial Advisors, Inc. (AFA). Jeffrey Snider is affiliated with AFA as a promoter only and is not in any way… -
U.S. Has Fallen: Even a top food producer is reporting deflationary conditions.
17 juli 2023 · 18 min
#recession #inflation #deflation #globaltrade #india #credit #bank
India reported a huge drop in exports, one of its worst on record. A major US food producer says demand has worsened to the point some of its brands are having to cut prices. American banks are now scaling back certain loans. What do all these have in common? US consumers and the deflationary recession. Lees meerEurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis
Conagra Earnings Report Transcript
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/conagra-brands-inc-nyse-cag-093343482.htmlTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP
https://www.eurodollar.university
https://www.marketsinsiderpro.com
https://www.PortfolioShield.netRealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7
THE EPISODES
YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisL
Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn
Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN
Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE
iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI
TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z
Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza
Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M
Reason: https://bit.ly/3lt5NiH
Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY
Pandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3Qg
Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ
Podbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDgh
Stitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GB
PlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjV
Podchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwN
PocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdt
SoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfK
ListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pb
AmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2P
PodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr
PodcastRepublic:https://bit.ly/3LH8JlVDISCLOSURES
Jeffrey Snider (The Promoter) is acting as a promoter for an investment advisory firm, Atlas Financial Advisors, Inc. (AFA). Jeffrey Snider is affiliated with AFA as a promoter only and is not in any way giving investment advice or recommendations on behalf of AFA. The Promoter is being compensated by a fee arrangement: The Promoter will receive compensation on a quarterly basis, based on the increase in account openings that can be reasonably attributed to the Promoter's activity. The Promoter will not be receiv… -
Individuals run out of money; can't pay taxes.
16 juli 2023 · 18 min
#recession #inflation #deflation #taxes #employment #unemployment
Individual income tax payments to Uncle Sam are running almost half a trillion (with a "T") behind same months in FY 2022. Withholdings are way off and claimed refunds are way up. At the same time, the June CPI showed broad-based disinflation and a little deflation. These two results aren't unrelated. Lees meerEurodollar University's weekly conversation w/Steve Van Metre
Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP
https://www.eurodollar.university
https://www.marketsinsiderpro.com
https://www.PortfolioShield.netRealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7
THE EPISODES
YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisL
Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn
Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN
Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE
iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI
TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z
Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza
Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M
Reason: https://bit.ly/3lt5NiH
Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY
Pandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3Qg
Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ
Podbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDgh
Stitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GB
PlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjV
Podchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwN
PocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdt
SoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfK
ListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pb
AmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2P
PodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr
PodcastRepublic:https://bit.ly/3LH8JlVDISCLOSURES
Jeffrey Snider (The Promoter) is acting as a promoter for an investment advisory firm, Atlas Financial Advisors, Inc. (AFA). Jeffrey Snider is affiliated with AFA as a promoter only and is not in any way giving investment advice or recommendations on behalf of AFA. The Promoter is being compensated by a fee arrangement: The Promoter will receive compensation on a quarterly basis, based on the increase in account openings that can be reasonably attributed to the Promoter's activity. The Promoter will not be receiving a portion of any advisory fees. The Promoter has an incentive to recommend the Adviser because… -
US prices down by the most on record and Chinese trade nearly that bad.
15 juli 2023 · 18 min
Great Inflation 2, or soft landing? Those are the only two choices we're given for #inflation #deflation #recession when neither of those was ever likely. The reasons why the soft landing isn't happening and another Great Inflation simply can't are easily found in historical comparisons. Lees meer
Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis
Bloomberg: El-Erian Says Soft-Landing Narrative Gains Steam, Don’t Fight It
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-07-14/el-erian-says-soft-landing-narrative-gains-steam-don-t-fight-itTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP
https://www.eurodollar.university
https://www.marketsinsiderpro.com
https://www.PortfolioShield.netRealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7
THE EPISODES
YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisL
Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn
Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN
Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE
iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI
TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z
Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza
Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M
Reason: https://bit.ly/3lt5NiH
Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY
Pandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3Qg
Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ
Podbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDgh
Stitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GB
PlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjV
Podchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwN
PocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdt
SoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfK
ListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pb
AmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2P
PodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr
PodcastRepublic:https://bit.ly/3LH8JlVDISCLOSURES
Jeffrey Snider (The Promoter) is acting as a promoter for an investment advisory firm, Atlas Financial Advisors, Inc. (AFA). Jeffrey Snider is affiliated with AFA as a promoter only and is not in any way giving investment advice or recommendations on behalf of AFA. The Promoter is being compensated by a fee arrangement: The Promoter will receive compensation on a quarterly basis, based on the increase in account openings that can be reasonably attributed to the Promoter's activity. The Promoter will not be receivi… -
The dollar is up to is economy-wrecking ways again.
13 juli 2023 · 19 min
The Chinese aren't taking their #eurodollar #dollar woes weakening yuan lying down #recession. But they aren't doing a whole lot meaningful about it, either. Why and why not? That's the (euro)dollar conundrum. Lees meer
Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis
PBOC: Notice of the People's Bank of China and the State Administration of Financial Supervision on Extending the Deadline of Relevant Policies for Financial Support to the Steady and Healthy Development of the Real Estate Market
http://www.pbc.gov.cn/goutongjiaoliu/113456/113469/4987564/index.htmlPBOC Financial News: Under exchange rate fluctuations, cross-border capital flows still maintain a basic balance, and the long-term investment value of RMB assets is highlighted
https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzI5MjE1ODM5Mw==&mid=2650304221&idx=1&sn=c340f49f6b7c79af978527b54da4588c&chksm=f409600bc37ee91d81ddc20fb91a9311a030918b8eaf3bc7c0ca913fbfc39e446d0bf4e9844e&mpshare=1&scene=1&srcid=07051Ipdhywo7Uszrm5t1JjO&sharer_sharetime=1688570086386&sharer_shareid=39b1682714627f7233e332548d9eeeae&exportkey=n_ChQIAhIQ9XMODdRsqNRK7rXOHlFIyRKZAgIE97dBBAEAAAAAAA9iK2lmv2oAAAAOpnltbLcz9gKNyK89dVj0xqpLmp%2BOOkCXGkYfc%2Buj56zqe3EaSHX7YiMHX7jwaGKj3%2BXi3JWFrCEbPE3UsWTmOJK%2BEVAoYCuh5pA7ICAfwKSKjV4AQ11CiEWdvegwRqwGQFLazoBS%2F%2FyiUhSwaF8pibmQwHB5jrhOeLxjmbghxE67FVl4bCXMMvf5%2Bo2iwPDH7hBAMK%2BBRVpADGHEpPIg%2BaPz1iIpv6zXU6blRZAahRN%2FyluyvJrQYriwjGagN1pZil89TPlXTqcS92K8LSuJd5XdRkWvgcuiCupIQRzXb5pBTfpdCcCxgECMrrbKEL5WQXs%2Bss%2FXqTV91pPmWXZs2L3j&acctmode=1&pass_ticket=pF7HUjJhpjMaKnMvCcR3jzCWS3v9bDFp78PBIsdD%2FOUroYIWKzETuTaXfGIavDEx&wx_header=0#rdTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP
https://www.eurodollar.university
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https://www.PortfolioShield.netRealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7
THE EPISODES
YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisL
Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn
Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN
Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE
iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI
TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z
C… -
And with credit now outright falling for them, it only gets much worse from here.
12 juli 2023 · 18 min
#Consumer #spending is down already and now we're getting data which shows by how much, #recession. There's no #inflation here. Disney theme parks are empty, consumer #credit is actually contracting, the bad news is just getting started. Steve Van Metre nailed it when he pointed out services and vacation weakness on this channel just a couple months ago. Lees meer
Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis
WSJ: Disney World Hasn’t Felt This Empty in Years
https://www.wsj.com/articles/disney-world-crowds-universal-studios-florida-36b0a579Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP
https://www.eurodollar.university
https://www.marketsinsiderpro.com
https://www.PortfolioShield.netRealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7
THE EPISODES
YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisL
Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn
Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN
Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE
iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI
TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z
Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza
Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M
Reason: https://bit.ly/3lt5NiH
Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY
Pandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3Qg
Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ
Podbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDgh
Stitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GB
PlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjV
Podchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwN
PocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdt
SoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfK
ListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pb
AmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2P
PodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr
PodcastRepublic:https://bit.ly/3LH8JlVDISCLOSURES
Jeffrey Snider (The Promoter) is acting as a promoter for an investment advisory firm, Atlas Financial Advisors, Inc. (AFA). Jeffrey Snider is affiliated with AFA as a promoter only and is not in any way giving investment advice or recommendations on behalf of AFA. The Promoter is being compensated by a fee arrangement: The Promoter will receive compensation on a quarterly basis, based on the increase in account openings that can be reasonably attributed to the Promoter's activity. The Promoter will not… -
World's biggest economies aren't just struggling, they're sinking fast.
11 juli 2023 · 18 min
China reported some of the worst #inflation consumer and producer price estimates in its modern history, within range of the worst parts of 2009. Such damaging #deflation shows #globalrecession #recession getting worse, and worse for everyone outside China it is becoming more synchronized. Lees meer
Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis
Reuters: UPDATE 1-Goldman Sachs raises 2023 China GDP growth forecast to 6%
https://www.reuters.com/article/china-economy-comment/update-1-goldman-sachs-raises-2023-china-gdp-growth-forecast-to-6-idUSL1N35N1HGCNBC: Goldman joins Wall Street banks in cutting China’s growth outlook as post-Covid bounce fades
https://www.cnbc.com/2023/06/19/goldman-sachs-cuts-chinas-growth-outlook.htmlChina People's Daily: In the first quarter, we will ask about the general trend—authoritative people talk about the current Chinese economy
https://politics.people.com.cn/n1/2016/0509/c1001-28333725.htmlTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP
https://www.eurodollar.university
https://www.marketsinsiderpro.com
https://www.PortfolioShield.netRealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7
THE EPISODES
YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisL
Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn
Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN
Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE
iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI
TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z
Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza
Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M
Reason: https://bit.ly/3lt5NiH
Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY
Pandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3Qg
Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ
Podbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDgh
Stitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GB
PlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjV
Podchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwN
PocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdt
SoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfK
ListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pb
AmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2P
PodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr
PodcastRepublic:https://bit.ly/3LH8JlVDISCLOSURES
Jeffrey Snider (The Promoter) is acting as a promoter for an investment advisory firm, Atlas Financial Advisors, In…