Eurodollar University

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  1. This Confirms Everything

    8 november 2023 · 18 min

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    #recession #money #recession2023 #money #inflation #deflation #interestrates #dollar #economy #credit #interestrates #liquidity #oil #gasoline
    Oil and gasoline prices are falling fast. While that sounds like a good thing, it is anything but. The energy market is coming to grips with the renewed downturn and recession. Big moves for the WTI curve and global bonds. It's not September any longer.
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    Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis

    AAA US average retail gasoline prices
    https://gasprices.aaa.com/

    Bloomberg: Saudi, Russia Stick to Planned Oil Cuts Amid Mideast Tension
    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-11-05/saudi-arabia-sticks-with-plan-for-oil-cuts-amid-mideast-tension

    Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP
    https://www.eurodollar.university
    RealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7

  2. Hedge Funds Have Made Billions From This (This Could Get Ugly)

    7 november 2023 · 19 min

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    #recession #money #recession2023 #money #inflation #deflation #interestrates #dollar #economy #credit #interestrates #liquidity
    Regulators are almost feuding with hedge fund "speculators" over something called a basis trade. The former alleges it is a huge systemic risk, and they are right though for the wrong reasons. In the latter group, supporters point out funds have become necessary balance sheet warehouses for Treasuries because of a key gap. Here we'll examine what that gap really is and why it actually matters to find out who is right (spoiler: both).
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    Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis

    Bloomberg: Griffin Says Scrutiny of SEC Basis Trade ‘Utterly Beyond Me’
    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-10-25/ken-griffin-says-sec-scrutiny-of-basis-trade-utterly-beyond-me

    OFR WP 2021-01: Hedge Funds and the Treasury Cash-Futures
    Disconnect
    https://www.financialresearch.gov/working-papers/files/OFRwp-21-01-hedge-funds-and-the-treasury-cash-futures-disconnect.pdf

    Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP
    https://www.eurodollar.university
    RealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7

  3. Everyone Gets This Wrong About Interest Rates And The Stock Market

    6 november 2023 · 18 min

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    #recession #money #recession2023 #money #inflation #deflation #interestrates #dollar #economy #credit #interestrates #eurodollar #income #fed #federalreserve
    Blackrock official says stocks are in a really good place, not too Fed hot, not too economy cold. Total Goldilocks. Equity investors, however, tend to fall into these cyclical traps. It will just be weak enough to back of Jay Powell, but not too weak as to cause major damage. And if the landing does get too hard, that the Fed can always cut rates to save the day.
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    A word of caution: the landings are always hard and the Fed never saves the day.

    Eurodollar University's weekly conversation w/Steve Van Metre

    Bloomberg: Surveillance: Wall Street Enjoys a YOLO Moment After Goldilocks Jobs Report
    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2023-11-03/wall-street-traders-savor-yolo-moment-after-goldilocks-jobs-report

    Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP
    https://www.eurodollar.university
    RealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7

  4. It's Official: The Recession Just Started

    5 november 2023 · 17 min

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    #recession #money #recession2023 #money #inflation #deflation #interestrates #dollar #economy #credit #interestrates #eurodollar #income #fed #federalreserve
    The last thing standing in the way of full-blown recession in the US was the jobs market. Was. October payroll report confirms the recent renewed downturn after the disinflation rebound ended is exactly what we've feared all along. A break down of the data and market reaction.
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    Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis

    Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP
    https://www.eurodollar.university
    RealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7

  5. Is The Yield Curve About to Un-invert? What Would That Mean?

    3 november 2023 · 19 min

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    #recession #money #recession2023 #money #inflation #deflation #interestrates #dollar #economy #credit #interestrates #eurodollar #income #europe #fed #federalreserve
    The Fed indicated it may be done with rate hikes, but that's only the place to start. Is the yield curve about to come un-inverted? If so, what would that mean? The answers all depend on which direction it goes. Unfortunately for most people, they have no idea what either one means. Central banks have everyone thinking things backward. So, let's decode some curve scenarios and make real sense of them.
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    Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis

    Transcript of Chair Powell’s Press Conference Opening Statement
    November 1, 2023
    https://www.federalreserve.gov/mediacenter/files/FOMCpresconf20231101.pdf

    Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP
    https://www.eurodollar.university
    RealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7

  6. Druckenmiller Sounds URGENT Warning To ALL Investors

    2 november 2023 · 19 min

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    #recession #money #recession2023 #money #inflation #deflation #interestrates #dollar #economy #credit #interestrates #eurodollar #income #europe #fed #federalreserve #ecb
    Hedge fund manager Stan Druckenmiller has gotten cold feet on the economy and the financial system, taking a huge leveraged position right at the spot on the curve we've been highlighting for months. The primary reason why is being made perfectly clear as globally synchronized data spotlight a global economy falling apart. Perhaps rapidly.
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    Bloomberg: Druckenmiller Says He Has ‘Massive’ Bullish Bets on 2-Year Notes
    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-10-31/druckenmiller-says-he-has-massive-bullish-bets-on-2-year-notes

    ISM Manufacturing PMI October 2023
    https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/pmi/october/

    Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP
    https://www.eurodollar.university
    RealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7

  7. Oh SH*T! This is getting REALLY Serious

    1 november 2023 · 20 min

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    #recession #money #recession2023 #money #inflation #deflation #interestrates #dollar #economy #credit #interestrates #eurodollar #income #china #yuan #purge
    There appears to be an honest-to-goodness (not good) purge underway across China's top leadership. This political instability appears to be driven by disagreement over the direction of the Chinese economy, currency and property sector and what to do - if anything - about it. Despite recent Western headlines blaring "China has turned a corner" the data, and the intrigue, shows conclusively it hasn't. The fallout will be felt worldwide - more than it already has.
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    CNN: China removes Defense Minister Li Shangfu after two-month disappearance
    https://www.cnn.com/2023/10/24/china/china-names-new-defense-minister-intl-hnk/index.html

    Reuters: China's Xi makes first known visit to central bank -sources
    https://www.reuters.com/world/china/chinas-xi-makes-first-known-visit-central-bank-sources-2023-10-24/

    Bloomberg: Country Garden’s Missed Bond Payment Triggers CDS Payout
    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-10-26/country-garden-s-missed-bond-payment-triggers-cds-payout

    SCMP: China’s economy ‘turned a corner’: 7 takeaways from third-quarter GDP, September data
    https://www.scmp.com/economy/economic-indicators/article/3238369/chinas-economy-turned-corner-7-takeaways-third-quarter-gdp-september-data

    Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP
    https://www.eurodollar.university
    RealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7

  8. How The Dollar Will Actually Get Dethroned (Brent Johnson)

    1 november 2023 · 25 min

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    Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis

    Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP
    https://www.eurodollar.university
    RealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7

    #dollar #interestrates #money #credit #inflation #whatismoney #brics #bitcoin #eurodollar

  9. IT'S STARTING: This Could Have HUGE Global Implications

    31 oktober 2023 · 18 min

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    #recession #money #recession2023 #money #inflation #deflation #interestrates #dollar #economy #credit #interestrates #eurodollar #income #jobs #europe #germany #yieldcurve
    Is the bond selloff finally over? How would we tell? One way is to look at European specifically German rates and rate behavior. Over the last half decade, bunds et al have led US Treasuries including the similar cases in 2018 not to mention last year. Not only are cash market yields trending that way, forward European money rates are more strongly inverted this month, too. The reason why is equally clear, coming straight from statements by top ECB officials.
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    Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis

    Christine Lagarde, President of the ECB: Press Conference 10/26/2023
    https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/pressconf/2023/html/ecb.is231026~c23b4eb5f0.en.html

    Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP
    https://www.eurodollar.university
    RealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7

  10. Oh… So THIS Is What They Kept Hidden From Us

    30 oktober 2023 · 19 min

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    Consumer price numbers have come back during the summer. Since US GDP was up big in Q3, quite a few seem concerned this could mark the beginning of a second "inflationary" phase. But underneath the oil surge there is overwhelming evidence disinflation remains firmly entrenched. A little too firmly, according to the markets. Lees meer

    Eurodollar University's weekly conversation w/Steve Van Metre

  11. Holy Sh*t! New Data Reveals Everything

    29 oktober 2023 · 18 min

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    #recession #money #recession2023 #money #inflation #deflation #interestrates #dollar #economy #credit #interestrates #eurodollar #collateral #repo #yieldcurve #income #jobs
    The 2-year US Treasury continues to press a fundamental case for the US economy that looks nothing like the last GDP number. Despite an official narrative for a strong labor market, the evidence instead shows serious and growing weakness where it counts the most - incomes. That major deficiency has been masked by the remnants of the supply shock. Now the leftover economy from that era is on a collision course with incomes.
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    Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis

    FOMC Minutes September 19-20, 2023
    https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/files/fomcminutes20230920.pdf

    Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP
    https://www.eurodollar.university
    RealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7

  12. We Need To Discuss The New GDP Data IMMEDIATELY

    27 oktober 2023 · 18 min

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    #recession #money #recession2023 #money #inflation #deflation #interestrates #dollar #economy #credit #interestrates #eurodollar #collateral #repo #yieldcurve
    US GDP surged in Q3 as the economy experiences the absolute peak of the disinflation rebound. You'd think that rates would be skyrocketing as would something like oil, both reading the big figures as confirming the need for higher rates due to unbreakable American demand. But, nope, markets basically ignored the data...for good and increasingly clear reasons. A last summer hurrah before the fall.
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    Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis

    Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP
    https://www.eurodollar.university
    RealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7

  13. The Secret $15 Trillion Asset Shaping The Global

    26 oktober 2023 · 21 min

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    #recession #money #recession2023 #money #inflation #deflation #interestrates #dollar #economy #credit #interestrates #eurodollar #collateral #repo #yieldcurve
    We've been getting major collateral warnings from all over the place recently. Financial collateral is the lifeblood of the global monetary system. That makes it incredibly important yet few have ever stopped to ponder how it all works and fits together; including central bankers. Collateral sufficiency means everything but it doesn't necessarily mean supply of Treasuries. Vastly more important is the circulation - the reusing - of all kinds of collateral. In this video, we're going to examine why that is starting from what it means.
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    Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis

    Governor Jeremy C. Stein
    Overheating in Credit Markets: Origins, Measurement, and Policy Responses
    https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/speech/stein20130207a.htm

    JP Morgan Chase Q2 '23 10-Q
    https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/19617/000001961723000432/jpm-20230630.htm

    IOSCO/CPSS: SECURITIES LENDING TRANSACTIONS: MARKET DEVELOPMENT AND IMPLICATIONS
    https://www.iosco.org/library/pubdocs/pdf/IOSCOPD96.pdf

    FRBNY Guide to FR2004 Settlement Fails Data
    https://www.newyorkfed.org/markets/pridealers_failsprimer.html

    Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP
    https://www.eurodollar.university
    RealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7

  14. Wall Street Insiders Are Making HUGE Moves

    25 oktober 2023 · 19 min

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    #recession #money #recession2023 #money #inflation #deflation #interestrates #dollar #economy #credit #interestrates #eurodollar #collateral #repo #yieldcurve
    All of a sudden, two of the biggest bond bears on the planet have turned bearish on the economy and now bullish on bonds. The timing is suspect at least in terms of the "September effect" which is coming off. That leads Treasuries and global bonds back to fundamentals which are looking worse by the datapoint - and we got a bunch of those today. They simply reinforce why bond bears are now economy bears being bullish on bonds.
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    Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis

    Ackman tweets
    https://twitter.com/BillAckman/status/1716453006344921298

    Gross tweets
    https://twitter.com/real_bill_gross/status/1716472972113051665

    S&P Global Flash US Composite PMI
    https://www.pmi.spglobal.com/Public/Home/PressRelease/800861276eb949fc9646061f8eb2ffb4

    HCOB Flash Eurozone PMI
    https://www.pmi.spglobal.com/Public/Home/PressRelease/8dc7347e38ad43e88d81531f437243aa

    HCOB Flash Germany PMI
    https://www.pmi.spglobal.com/Public/Home/PressRelease/bdd9a44d333a46a9bd5c66cd7fd32090

    au Jibun Bank Flash Japan Composite PMI
    https://www.pmi.spglobal.com/Public/Home/PressRelease/4b3aea7d614f4e47aa7a4b108bead4b9

    Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP
    https://www.eurodollar.university
    RealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7

  15. HOLY SH*T! Swap Spreads Just...

    24 oktober 2023 · 20 min

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    #recession #money #recession2023 #money #inflation #deflation #interestrates #dollar #economy #credit #interestrates #eurodollar #collateral #repo
    I've been talking about swap spreads for the last couple months, last week they make a huge move. To understand what it was and why it matters, let's talk about interest rate swaps and what their spreads to US Treasuries really tell us. What is this all about? In simple terms: the most direct window into shadow money and deflation potential.
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    Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis

    BIS Working Papers No 705
    An Explanation of Negative Swap Spreads: Demand for Duration from Underfunded Pension Plans
    https://www.bis.org/publ/work705.pdf

    FRBNY: Negative Swap Spreads
    https://www.newyorkfed.org/medialibrary/media/research/epr/2018/epr_2018_negative-swap-spreads_boyarchenko.pdf

    Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP
    https://www.eurodollar.university
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  16. We Need To Discuss The New Repo Market Data ASAP

    22 oktober 2023 · 22 min

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    #recession #money #recession2023 #money #inflation #deflation #interestrates #dollar #economy #credit #interestrates #eurodollar #collateral #repo
    Something big is going on under the surface in collateral. There's a global scramble underway, one that took an ugly turn this week. Here we examine some of the background changes which uncovers a puzzle. US$ repo markets haven't been using as much UST collateral as before which is beyond odd given how much more UST collateral should be available from insane issuance.
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    Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis

    Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP
    https://www.eurodollar.university
    RealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7

  17. The Monetary System: Something HUGE Changed in July

    20 oktober 2023 · 20 min

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    Special Announcement 🚨 For those wanting a deeper dive and actionable insights, join me for an exclusive free webinar tomorrow October 20th. Secure your spot here:
    https://event.webinarjam.com/channel/eurodollar
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    #recession #money #recession2023 #money #inflation #deflation #interestrates #dollar #economy #credit #interestrates #eurodollar #collateral #mexico #peso
    We keep finding important inflections dating back to late July. These corroborate growing problems starting in eurodollar collateral. Interest rate swaps, Japanese bills, Italy BTPs. In terms of currencies, India's rupee is a big one as the country bleeds reserves again like last year. More than all those, however, this other one had bucked the global trend last year. Where everyone else's exchange values plummeted, it had surged. Not any more; not since late July.

    Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis

    Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP
    https://www.eurodollar.university
    RealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7

  18. China Just Shocked The World With This Move

    19 oktober 2023 · 20 min

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    #recession #money #recession2023 #money #inflation #deflation #interestrates #dollar #economy #credit #interestrates #eurodollar #collateral #china #yuan
    The Chinese government is trying to the sell the world on its attempt at stabilizing China's economy. Of course, it easily finds willing buyers among Western media and audiences - some things never change. But the Chinese "stability" means something very different from "stability" as it is being described outside the country. People are being given an idea of recovery where there just isn't one.

    Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis

    Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP
    https://www.eurodollar.university
    RealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7

  19. The Hidden Indicators EVERY INVESTOR Should Watch Out For

    18 oktober 2023 · 22 min

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    Special Announcement 🚨 For those wanting a deeper dive and actionable insights, join me for an exclusive webinar on October 20th. Secure your spot here:
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    #recession #money #recession2023 #money #inflation #deflation #interestrates #dollar #economy #credit #interestrates #eurodollar #collateral
    Eurodollar cycles are periods when crucial financial indications align in either one direction or the other. On the one side, it's reflation and better conditions in money and macro. The other, though, that's deflation and recession. If we find more than a few market prices and changes which align like the downside to eurodollar cycles, that's a powerful signal for which way the entire world is going to be heading - or continuing.

    Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis

    Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP
    https://www.eurodollar.university
    RealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7

  20. Did Jamie Dimon Just Play His Trump Card?!

    17 oktober 2023 · 18 min

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    Special Announcement 🚨 For those wanting a deeper dive and actionable insights, join me for an exclusive webinar on October 20th. Secure your spot here:
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    #recession #money #recession2023 #money #inflation #deflation #interestrates #dollar #economy #credit #interestrates #eurodollar #jpmorgan
    JP Morgan's CEO Jamie Dimon says to prepare for higher interest rates. JP Morgan's asset management division says to prepare for lower interest rates. What? Trying to figure out which is why, and what fundamental values might actually determine future interest rate levels while looking to the US banking system for crucial clues. Beyond each side of JPM, of course.

    Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis

    Bloomberg: Dimon Warns 7% Fed Rate Still Possible, Times of India Says
    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-09-26/dimon-warns-world-may-not-be-prepared-for-fed-at-7-toi-lmzl7rao

    Reuters: J.P. Morgan Asset Management bullish on Treasuries as Fed done with hikes
    https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-bonds-jp-morgan/j-p-morgan-asset-management-bullish-on-treasuries-as-fed-done-with-hikes-idINL8N3AQ5MU

    CNBC: Jamie Dimon cautions the 10-year Treasury yield could hit 5%: ‘It’s a higher probability than most people think’
    https://www.cnbc.com/2018/08/06/jp-morgans-jamie-dimon-cautions-10-year-treasury-note-rate-to-hit-5-percent.html

    Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP
    https://www.eurodollar.university
    RealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7

  21. The World Isn't Ready for What Happened In CHINA

    16 oktober 2023 · 21 min

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    #recession #money #recession2023 #money #inflation #deflation #interestrates #dollar #economy #credit #interestrates #eurodollar #china #cny
    Latest data from China on lending and trade show Beijing's efforts at creating stability in currency, banking, and economy are not working. Loan growth was exceptionally weak especially for Chinese households meaning more trouble in real estate. The global trade recession keeps pressing on. First, some background about why this is so much more of an issue than strictly current macro conditions.

    Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis

    Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP
    https://www.eurodollar.university
    RealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7

  22. The Hidden Crisis Caused by Middle East Conflicts

    15 oktober 2023 · 18 min

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    #recession #money #recession2023 #money #inflation #deflation #interestrates #dollar #economy #credit #interestrates #eurodollar
    Gasoline prices have plunged over the last two weeks, after having been moving lower since mid-August. That in itself is cause for concern though more so given how gas is now completely untethered to oil. All this suggests something big as far as demand goes and should the conflict in the Middle East grow worse and then manage to reconverge oil and gasoline at higher prices, look out.

    Eurodollar University's weekly conversation w/Steve Van Metre

    Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP
    https://www.eurodollar.university
    RealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7

  23. Great Depression vs Today: What They NEVER Wanted You to Know

    15 oktober 2023 · 21 min

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    What if we found ourselves in a depression? What if that isn’t something new? Rate of change in economy goes down, rate of change in politics goes way up.

    Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis

    Alf Landon Acceptance Speech
    https://www.kshs.org/kansapedia/alfred-landon-s-acceptance-speech/14501

    FDR: Fireside Chat 12: On the Recession
    https://millercenter.org/the-presidency/presidential-speeches/april-14-1938-fireside-chat-12-recession

    Chairman Ben S. Bernanke: Op-ed column for The Washington Post
    November 5, 2010
    https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/other/o_bernanke20101105a.htm

    Larry Summers: U.S. Economic Prospects: Secular Stagnation, Hysteresis, and the
    Zero Lower Bound
    https://larrysummers.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/06/NABE-speech-Lawrence-H.-Summers1.pdf

    Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP
    https://www.eurodollar.university
    RealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7
    #gfc2023 #1929 #greatdepression #money #inflation #economy #recession #credit

  24. YOU Won't Believe China's New Plan

    12 oktober 2023 · 19 min

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    #recession #money #recession2023 #money #inflation #deflation #interestrates #dollar #economy #credit #interestrates #eurodollar #yuan #cny #china
    China is back! Reopening back up after its Golden Week with more plans to "support" the economy. At least according to the latest likely officially-approved rumors. Yet, like earlier in the summer, no one is buying them. Quite the contrary, the more the Chinese try the more you know they know it isn't going well.

    Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis

    Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP
    https://www.eurodollar.university
    RealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7

  25. We Have Been Lied To...

    11 oktober 2023 · 20 min

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    #recession #money #recession2023 #money #inflation #deflation #interestrates #dollar #economy #credit #interestrates #eurodollar
    Everyone wants to know why LT rates are going higher. Is it the Fed? Soft landing? Perhaps inflation with oil? Market curves have had the answer this entire time, but the selloff at first seems to complicate the matter. With data we have, we can start eliminating possibilities.
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    Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis

    Chair Powell Press Conference Transcript; Sept 20, 2023
    https://www.federalreserve.gov/mediacenter/files/FOMCpresconf20230920.pdf

    Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP
    https://www.eurodollar.university
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  26. This Could Freeze The Entire Global Collateral Market...

    10 oktober 2023 · 19 min

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    #recession #money #recession2023 #money #inflation #deflation #interestrates #dollar #economy #credit #interestrates #eurodollar #oil #israel #collateral
    Now geopolitics threatens to do more than further destabilize rebalancing crude oil markets. But the risks are greater and more immediate than the price of crude. Collateral conditions over the past several years have been tied to energy, and collateral came in to all this in a fragile state to begin with.

    Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis

    Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP
    https://www.eurodollar.university
    RealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7

    THE EPISODES
    YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisL
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    Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN
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  27. HOLY SH*T: THE BOND MARKET IS...

    9 oktober 2023 · 18 min

    Afspelen
    Are we watching the "right" spot on the yield curve? It's understandable why everyone would be fixated on the 10-year benchmark or the long bond. However, all the reasons you've heard for why those have been sold would go double for the 2-year note. Yet, that one hasn't budged, not really. Something else is going on in curves - not just USTs. Lees meer

    Eurodollar University's weekly conversation w/Steve Van Metre

  28. The Hidden Truth Behind The New Job Report Revealed

    8 oktober 2023 · 18 min

    Afspelen
    Our Free Webinar is almost full, Secure your spot now: https://event.webinarjam.com/channel/eurodollar Lees meer

    #recession #money #recession2023 #money #inflation #deflation #interestrates #dollar #economy #credit #interestrates #eurodollar #employment #unemployment #jobs
    The BLS gave us another finger with a blowout headline jobs report. Analyzing what that's really about and more importantly what the rest of the payroll report had in it. The US labor market is in a serious pickle now.

    Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis

    Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP
    https://www.eurodollar.university
    RealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7

    THE EPISODES
    YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisL
    Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn
    Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN
    Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE
    iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI
    TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z
    Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza
    Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M
    Reason: https://bit.ly/3lt5NiH
    Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY
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  29. What Is The Eurodollar System? (Must Know)

    6 oktober 2023 · 22 min

    Afspelen
    #eurodollar #money #banks #interestrates #depression #recession #inflation #dollar
    What is a eurodollar? The answer to that question is far more complicated than you've ever heard and have been led to believe. So many myths persist about money and reserve currency, what they are and what they have to do. In this video, join me in taking the first step to understanding these deepest fundamentals.
    Lees meer

    Let's take a closer look to see if we can't just figure out what's in the black hole.

    This is what Eurodollar University does. We aim to dispel the nonsense and get beyond to reveal the underlying facts so as to be able to better understand the world we inhabit. The one caught in the eurodollar's tight orbit.

    Eurodollar University's Memberships and more:
    https://www.eurodollar.university
    Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP

    FRBNY Monthly Review, November 1960: The Market for Dollar Deposits in Europe
    https://fraser.stlouisfed.org/files/docs/publications/frbnyreview/rev_frbny_196011.pdf?utm_source=direct_download

    BIS: 34th Annual Report
    https://www.bis.org/publ/arpdf/archive/ar1964_en.pdf

    Milton Friedman: The Euro-Dollar Market: Some First Principles
    https://files.stlouisfed.org/files/htdocs/publications/review/71/07/Principles_Jul1971.pdf

    RealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7

    THE EPISODES
    YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisL
    Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn
    Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN
    Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE
    iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI
    TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z
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    Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M
    Reason: https://bit.ly/3lt5NiH
    Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY

  30. This kills the economy 8.4/10 times...

    5 oktober 2023 · 18 min

    Afspelen
    Free Webinar, Friday Oct 20, 630pm EDT. Sign up here:
    https://event.webinarjam.com/channel/eurodollar
    Lees meer

    #recession #money #recession2023 #money #inflation #deflation #interestrates #dollar #economy #credit #interestrates #eurodollar #oil #gas
    Oil prices are killing what ever slim chances we had for a soft landing. Rather than trigger inflation, crude shocks destroy demand to shove questionable economies right over the edge into recession and worse. The latest data indicates that's happening right now and happening big time.

    Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis

    Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP
    https://www.eurodollar.university
    RealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7

    THE EPISODES
    YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisL
    Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn
    Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN
    Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE
    iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI
    TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z
    Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza
    Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M
    Reason: https://bit.ly/3lt5NiH
    Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY
    Pandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3Qg
    Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ
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    SoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfK
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    AmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2P
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  31. Job Market: The Shocking Truth (It's Not What You Think!)

    4 oktober 2023 · 18 min

    Afspelen
    Free Webinar, Friday Oct 20, 630pm EDT. Sign up here:
    https://event.webinarjam.com/channel/eurodollar
    Lees meer

    If you want to delve into the deep background of how everything works, check it out here.
    https://www.eurodollar.university/sales-page

    #recession #money #recession2023 #money #inflation #deflation #interestrates #dollar #economy #credit #interestrates #eurodollar #employment #jobs #jolts
    What the hell was that? Everyone went nuts over...job openings? Not only is this data from JOLTS unreliable, it goes up for a month here or there repeatedly on short-term basis. The rest of the JOLTS data completely undercuts the mainstream interpretation that the labor market is suddenly invulnerable. Worse, other data, starting with a collapse in consumer confidence followed by the vastly more important income numbers, strongly indicate serious and still-growing recession problems.

    Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis

    Bloomberg: Wall Street Fear Gauge Ratchets Up After Jobs Data: Markets Wrap
    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-10-02/asia-stocks-set-to-drop-after-slump-in-treasuries-markets-wrap

    IBD: Fed Overkill? Economic Outlook Index Plunges To Record Low In IBD/TIPP Poll
    https://www.investors.com/news/economy/federal-reserve-overkill-economic-outlook-index-plunges-to-record-low-in-ibd-tipp-poll/

    Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP
    https://www.eurodollar.university
    RealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7

    THE EPISODES
    YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisL
    Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn
    Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN
    Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE
    iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI
    TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z
    Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza
    Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M
    Reason: https://bit.ly/3lt5NiH
    Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY
    Pandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3Qg
    Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ
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  32. HOLY SH*T! The Collateral Markets Are Starting to Freeze

    3 oktober 2023 · 21 min

    Afspelen
    If you want to delve into the deep background of how everything works, check it out here.
    https://www.eurodollar.university/sales-page
    Lees meer

    #oil #recession #money #recession2023 #money #inflation #deflation #interestrates #dollar #economy #credit #interestrates #eurodollar #creditcrunch #europe #japan #energycrisis
    Another strong signal on global collateral conditions coming again from Japan. Only this time it isn't only J-bills. The warning is being corroborated from around the eurodollar system. From US$ interest rate swaps to Italian bond spreads, the situation is really starting to resemble September maybe October 2022. Including what might be behind it all: energy crisis.

    Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis

    Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP
    https://www.eurodollar.university

    RealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7

    THE EPISODES
    YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisL
    Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn
    Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN
    Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE
    iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI
    TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z
    Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza
    Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M
    Reason: https://bit.ly/3lt5NiH
    Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY
    Pandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3Qg
    Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ
    Podbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDgh
    Stitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GB
    PlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjV
    Podchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwN
    PocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdt
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  33. So... This Was a Lie?

    2 oktober 2023 · 18 min

    Afspelen
    If you want to delve into the deep background of how everything works, check it out here.
    https://www.eurodollar.university/sales-page
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    #eurodollar #germany #europe #recession #interestrates #economy #recession2023 #dollar #credit #inflation #deflation #dollar #economiccrisis
    Soft landings don't happen. The public has been led to believe they're effortless in the hands of skilled central bankers and politicians. Germany is an interesting case for dismantling the entire idea. While the German economy's worsening recession is Exhibit #1, sadly, it won't be the last especially as a top Federal Reserve official admitted they're just making it all up as they go.

    Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis

    Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP
    https://www.eurodollar.university
    RealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7

    THE EPISODES
    YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisL
    Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn
    Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN
    Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE
    iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI
    TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z
    Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza
    Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M
    Reason: https://bit.ly/3lt5NiH
    Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY
    Pandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3Qg
    Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ
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  34. New Data Shows Dark Reality For Americans

    1 oktober 2023 · 18 min

    Afspelen
    If you want to delve into the deep background of how everything works, check it out here.
    https://www.eurodollar.university/sales-page
    Lees meer

    #hungry #recession #interestrates #recession #recession2023 #dollar #oil #economy #depression #economy
    After the past couple of years, consumers from around the world are struggling to afford food and now comes another energy shock. Rather than lead to more "inflation", like 2022's oil spike the result will be disinflationary and worse. The signs are all around us in consumer expectations, business surveys, and, most important of all, consumer prices.

    Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis

    Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP
    https://www.eurodollar.university
    https://www.marketsinsiderpro.com
    https://www.PortfolioShield.net

    RealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7

    THE EPISODES
    YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisL
    Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn
    Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN
    Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE
    iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI
    TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z
    Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza
    Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M
    Reason: https://bit.ly/3lt5NiH
    Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY
    Pandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3Qg
    Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ
    Podbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDgh
    Stitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GB
    PlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjV
    Podchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwN
    PocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdt
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  35. HOLY SH*T! Is This For Real

    29 september 2023 · 20 min

    Afspelen
    If you want to delve into the deep background of how everything works, check it out here.
    https://www.eurodollar.university/sales-page
    Lees meer

    #oil #recession #money #recession2023 #money #inflation #deflation #interestrates #dollar #economy #credit #interestrates #eurodollar #gdp
    Revised GDP estimates have sharpened what seems to be a pre-recession tradition. The economy hits a wall and stumbles only to rebound into what sucks many into believing is a soft landing; only to then fall off at a later point. In addition to revised 2022 or 2023 GDP figures, we are reminded that the actual economic situation could and very likely is worse than they make it appear going by past history of these kinds of critical macro situations.

    Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis

    Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP
    https://www.eurodollar.university
    https://www.marketsinsiderpro.com
    https://www.PortfolioShield.net

    RealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7

    THE EPISODES
    YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisL
    Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn
    Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN
    Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE
    iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI
    TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z
    Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza
    Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M
    Reason: https://bit.ly/3lt5NiH
    Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY
    Pandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3Qg
    Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ
    Podbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDgh
    Stitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GB
    PlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjV
    Podchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwN
    PocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdt
    SoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfK
    ListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pb

  36. Oh No, This Always Happens Right Before a Crisis

    28 september 2023 · 20 min

    Afspelen
    If you want to delve into the deep background of how everything works, check it out here.
    https://www.eurodollar.university/sales-page
    Lees meer

    #oil #recession #money #recession2023 #money #inflation #deflation #interestrates #dollar #economy #credit #interestrates #eurodollar #creditcrunch #yuan #yen #won #euro #pound
    The eurodollar is rampaging again, exacting a global toll on everything it touches. Since it is the reserve currency, that means everywhere. Examining evidence for why the dollar exchange value does this uncovers several critical clues about what we might expect ahead.

    Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis

    Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP
    https://www.eurodollar.university
    https://www.marketsinsiderpro.com
    https://www.PortfolioShield.net

    RealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7

    THE EPISODES
    YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisL
    Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn
    Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN
    Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE
    iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI
    TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z
    Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza
    Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M
    Reason: https://bit.ly/3lt5NiH
    Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY
    Pandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3Qg
    Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ
    Podbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDgh
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  37. We Need To Address This Immediately

    27 september 2023 · 18 min

    Afspelen
    If you want to delve into the deep background of how everything works, check it out here.
    https://www.eurodollar.university/sales-page
    Lees meer

    #oil #recession #money #recession2023 #money #inflation #deflation #interestrates #dollar #economy #credit #interestrates #eurodollar #creditcrunch
    Forward-looking data for services as well as manufacturing continue to indicate recessionary trouble ahead. But they've been doing that for quite some time already, leaving many to tune them out as just background noise. History shows doing so is a mistake, as PMIs quite often turn negative many months prior to the worst times when everyone agrees recession is in place. And with current services estimates where they are, it might not take much longer to reach it this time.

    Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis

    Bloomberg: Stocks Flash Recession Warning as Trouble Spreads to Industrials
    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-09-24/stocks-flash-recession-warning-as-trouble-spreads-to-industrials

    Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey
    https://www.dallasfed.org/research/surveys/tmos/2023/2309#tab-comments

    Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP
    https://www.eurodollar.university
    https://www.marketsinsiderpro.com
    https://www.PortfolioShield.net

    RealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7

    THE EPISODES
    YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisL
    Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn
    Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN
    Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE
    iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI
    TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z
    Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza
    Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M
    Reason: https://bit.ly/3lt5NiH
    Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY
    Pandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3Qg
    Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ
    Podbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDgh
    Stitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GB
    PlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjV
    Podchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwN
    PocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdt
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    PodcastAddict: https://bit.l…

  38. This Just Made China a Threat To The Global Economy

    26 september 2023 · 18 min

    Afspelen
    If you want to delve into the deep background of how everything works, check it out here.
    https://www.eurodollar.university/sales-page
    Lees meer

    #oil #recession #money #recession2023 #money #inflation #deflation #interestrates #dollar #economy #credit #interestrates #eurodollar #creditcrunch #china #yuan
    More troubling developments from China's big real estate developer. Unfortunately for us, for everyone, these growing woes from over there are corresponding with indications of eurodollar tightening meaning everywhere. CNY gets weaker no matter how much authorities throw at it; Japanese bills are up (price); US$ swap spreads compressing more; Italian to German bond spreads rising; even large US banks are borrowing more to rebuild cash cushions.

    Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis

    Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP
    https://www.eurodollar.university
    https://www.marketsinsiderpro.com
    https://www.PortfolioShield.net

    RealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7

    THE EPISODES
    YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisL
    Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn
    Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN
    Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE
    iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI
    TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z
    Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza
    Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M
    Reason: https://bit.ly/3lt5NiH
    Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY
    Pandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3Qg
    Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ
    Podbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDgh
    Stitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GB
    PlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjV
    Podchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwN
    PocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdt
    SoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfK
    ListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pb

  39. BREAKING: New Economic Data Shocks the World

    25 september 2023 · 19 min

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    #oil #recession #money #recession2023 #money #inflation #deflation #interestrates #dollar #economy #credit #interestrates #eurodollar #creditcrunch #bankcrisis
    Does services lead manufacturing, or does manufacturing lead services? A global PMI roundup answers the question. The mid-year bounce has ended leaving weak production in the goods economy to bleed into falling services, all of it leaving employment right on the cusp of layoffs. According to some of the data, over the edge.

    Eurodollar University's weekly conversation w/Steve Van Metre

    S&P Global Flash US Composite PMI
    https://www.pmi.spglobal.com/Public/Home/PressRelease/f0feaa29fe31498e87438dd193858ad7

    HCOB Flash Germany PMI
    https://www.pmi.spglobal.com/Public/Home/PressRelease/9d4bb7c119c649239502dfb771db658b

    HCOB Flash Eurozone PMI
    https://www.pmi.spglobal.com/Public/Home/PressRelease/a068624fcdde4a06b7b68d0afe07bdc3

    Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP
    https://www.eurodollar.university
    https://www.marketsinsiderpro.com
    https://www.PortfolioShield.net

    RealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7

    THE EPISODES
    YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisL
    Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn
    Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN
    Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE
    iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI
    TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z
    Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza
    Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M
    Reason: https://bit.ly/3lt5NiH
    Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY
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    Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ
    Podbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDgh
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    PlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjV
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    SoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfK
    ListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pb
    AmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2P
    PodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr
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  40. Global Banking Cartel That Prints Trillions Of Dollars (Exposed)

    24 september 2023 · 21 min

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    #oil #recession #money #recession2023 #money #inflation #deflation #interestrates #dollar #economy #credit #interestrates #eurodollar #creditcrunch #bankcrisis
    Four trillion a day goes through this market, maybe a hundred trillion in contracts out there yet not a penny of it shows up on bank balance sheets. One of the most important parts of the global reserve currency system remains opaque and poorly understood even thouth it has been the epicenter of global crisis twice including the 2008 event. Here's what you absolutely need to know about the shadow world of FX.

    Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis

    Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP
    https://www.eurodollar.university
    https://www.marketsinsiderpro.com
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    RealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7

    THE EPISODES
    YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisL
    Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn
    Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN
    Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE
    iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI
    TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z
    Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza
    Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M
    Reason: https://bit.ly/3lt5NiH
    Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY
    Pandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3Qg
    Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ
    Podbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDgh
    Stitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GB
    PlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjV
    Podchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwN
    PocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdt
    SoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfK
    ListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pb

  41. Banks Might Not Survive This...

    22 september 2023 · 18 min

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    #oil #recession #money #recession2023 #money #inflation #deflation #interestrates #dollar #economy #credit #interestrates #eurodollar #creditcrunch #bankcrisis
    Yesterday, we compared today to 1990 from the perspective of an oil price shock. Today, the similarities in the credit environments. What we find out is first that credit matters and, second, the Fed and its models don't actually model credit. If this seems like a pretty big omission especially in light of the whole dot fiasco, it just might be huge.

    Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis

    Jay Powell Press Conference Sept '23
    https://www.federalreserve.gov/mediacenter/files/FOMCpresconf20230920.pdf

    Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP
    https://www.eurodollar.university
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    RealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7

    THE EPISODES
    YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisL
    Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn
    Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN
    Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE
    iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI
    TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z
    Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza
    Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M
    Reason: https://bit.ly/3lt5NiH
    Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY
    Pandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3Qg
    Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ
    Podbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDgh
    Stitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GB
    PlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjV
    Podchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwN
    PocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdt
    SoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfK
    ListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pb

  42. WARNING! Another Economic Time Bomb Just Exploded

    21 september 2023 · 18 min

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    #oil #recession #money #recession2023 #money #inflation #deflation #interestrates #dollar #economy #credit #interestrates #eurodollar
    The FOMC concluded its meeting today and all eyes were on the dots when they should be scanning the oil patch. Surging crude - strictly as a supply matter - isn't inflationary but recessionary with a possibility of contributing some deflationary pressures, too. History is conclusive on the matter and recent data is all on that side, too.

    Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis

    Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP
    https://www.eurodollar.university
    https://www.marketsinsiderpro.com
    https://www.PortfolioShield.net

    RealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7

    THE EPISODES
    YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisL
    Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn
    Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN
    Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE
    iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI
    TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z
    Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza
    Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M
    Reason: https://bit.ly/3lt5NiH
    Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY
    Pandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3Qg
    Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ
    Podbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDgh
    Stitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GB
    PlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjV
    Podchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwN
    PocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdt
    SoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfK
    ListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pb
    AmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2P

  43. Will Bitcoin Replace the Dollar

    20 september 2023 · 20 min

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    #money #inflation #deflation #interestrates #dollar #economy #credit #interestrates #eurodollar #bitcoin #crypto
    The breakdown in the eurodollar system all the way back in August 2007 has left the door wide open for competing monetary arrangements. Bitcoin is one of the most-established challengers yet isn't necessarily making as much headway after nearly a decade and a half (other than price). It isn't about dethroning the dollar, instead replacing the eurodollar. What BTC needs to do to bring it all home.

    Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis

    Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP
    https://www.eurodollar.university
    https://www.marketsinsiderpro.com
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    RealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7

    THE EPISODES
    YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisL
    Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn
    Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN
    Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE
    iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI
    TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z
    Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza
    Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M
    Reason: https://bit.ly/3lt5NiH
    Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY
    Pandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3Qg
    Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ
    Podbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDgh
    Stitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GB
    PlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjV
    Podchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwN
    PocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdt
    SoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfK
    ListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pb

  44. BREAKING: You Won't Believe China's New Data

    19 september 2023 · 18 min

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    If you want to delve into the deep background of how everything works, check it out here.
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    #money #inflation #deflation #interestrates #dollar #economy #credit #interestrates #eurodollar #china #xijingping #politicalnews #cny
    Is China back on track? According to many maybe most it is. Ignore all that and instead pay close attention to yuan. Authorities have been compelled to up their efforts to stabilize CNY and still the exchange value has dropped back to 7.30 to the dollar anyway. That's not a sign for the start of the Chinese comeback. On the contrary, the weak currency is consistent with the rest of the data which keeps showing a deteriorating situation.

    Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis

    Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP
    https://www.eurodollar.university
    https://www.marketsinsiderpro.com
    https://www.PortfolioShield.net

    RealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7

    THE EPISODES
    YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisL
    Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn
    Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN
    Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE
    iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI
    TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z
    Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza
    Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M
    Reason: https://bit.ly/3lt5NiH
    Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY
    Pandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3Qg
    Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ
    Podbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDgh
    Stitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GB
    PlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjV
    Podchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwN
    PocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdt
    SoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfK
    ListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pb
    AmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2P
    PodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr
    PodcastRepublic:https://bit.ly/3LH8JlV

    DISCLOSURES
    Jeffrey Snider (The Promoter) is acting as a promoter for an investment advisory firm, Atlas Financial Advisors, Inc. (AFA). Jeffrey Snider is affiliated with AFA as a promoter only and is not in any way giving investment advice or recommendations on behalf of AFA. The Promoter is being …

  45. Well Sh*t... It's Officially the Worst EVER!

    18 september 2023 · 19 min

    Afspelen
    If you want to delve into the deep background of how the monetary system works, or doesn't, check out our memberships and subscriptions.
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    #money #inflation #deflation #interestrates #dollar #economy #credit #interestrates #eurodollar #recession #inflation #bonds #jeffsnider #inversion
    Yield curve inversion is now the longest-lasting on record. Though many will be quick to claim this means it has been wrong, the market being so stubborn is instead a strong warning not to be so complacent. Not only is the global economy questionable, there are alarming signs coming up from key places, too. Bonds would know.

    Eurodollar University's weekly conversation w/Steve Van Metre

    Bloomberg: Fed’s Higher-for-Longer Mantra Has Doubters in Bond Market
    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-09-16/fed-s-higher-for-longer-mantra-has-doubters-in-bond-market

    GreenStreet Commercial Property Price Index
    https://www.greenstreet.com/insights/CPPI?region=NA

    GreenStreet Pan-European Commercial Property Price Index
    https://www.greenstreet.com/insights/CPPI?region=EU

    ECB Press Conference & Answers Transcript
    https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/pressconf/2023/html/ecb.is230914~686786984a.en.html

    Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP
    https://www.eurodollar.university
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    RealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7

    THE EPISODES
    YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisL
    Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn
    Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN
    Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE
    iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI
    TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z

  46. The European effect

    17 september 2023 · 18 min

    Afspelen
  47. Shocking Bond Reactions After CPI Report

    15 september 2023 · 18 min

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    #money #inflation #deflation #interestrates #dollar #economy #credit #interestrates #eurodollar #recession #airlines #cpi #inflation #bonds #jeffsnider
    Market reactions reacted to the CPI (and other recent developments) by pretty much doing nothing. That in itself was a vote on how inflationary consumer prices are being. A good example of why comes from the latest results for an important industry suffering both ends of the current environment - costs going up but being unable to pass them along. That's not inflation.

    Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis

    CNBC: American Airlines, Spirit Airlines cut summer profit forecast on higher costs
    https://www.cnbc.com/2023/09/13/american-airlines-spirit-cut-summer-profit-forecast-on-costs.html

    Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. 8-K
    https://ir.flyfrontier.com/static-files/dc52ab1d-360e-4ff7-9c09-7e5e0948a2bc

    Spirit Investor Update
    https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1498710/000149871023000172/investorguidance091223.htm

    Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP
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    RealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7
    Epoch Times Columns: https://bit.ly/39ESkRf

    THE EPISODES
    YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisL
    Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn
    Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN
    Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE
    iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI
    TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z

  48. WARNING: The Banking Crisis Is NOT Over

    13 september 2023 · 18 min

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    #money #inflation #deflation #interestrates #dollar #economy #credit #interestrates #eurodollar #consumer #recession #banks #regionalbanks #bankstocks
    What banking crisis? The one from just a few months back might as well has been decades ago as far as most people today are concerned. But there is a lot happening in and around the banking sector as key markets price growing trouble and the possibility for much more.

    Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis

    Bloomberg: Yellen ‘Feeling Very Good’ About Soft Landing for US Economy
    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-09-10/yellen-feeling-very-good-about-us-sticking-a-soft-landing

    Morningstar: Regional banks may saddle themselves with $63B in fresh debt to meet regulatory requirements: report
    https://www.morningstar.com/news/marketwatch/20230908407/regional-banks-may-saddle-themselves-with-63b-in-fresh-debt-to-meet-regulatory-requirements-report

    WSJ: Real-Estate Doom Loop Threatens America’s Banks
    https://www.wsj.com/real-estate/commercial-real-estate-regional-banks-9f8f591d?reflink=integratedwebview_share

    Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP
    https://www.eurodollar.university
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    https://www.PortfolioShield.net

    RealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7

    THE EPISODES
    YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisL
    Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn
    Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN
    Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE
    iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI
    TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z
    Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza
    Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M

  49. The Consumer is Now Worse Than the Great Depression

    12 september 2023 · 16 min

    Afspelen
    https://www.eurodollar.university/sales-page
    If you want to delve into the deep background of how everything works, check it out here
    #money #inflation #deflation #interestrates #dollar #economy #credit #interestrates #eurodollar #consumer #recession
    Retailers in the US are becoming increasingly nervous and for good reason. Consumers are showing more and stronger signs of running out of spending power. Last year it was hefty price increases this year a combination of headwinds. One of those is flashing a steady and sharp recession signal.
    Lees meer

    Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis

    Bloomberg: The Mighty American Consumer Is About to Hit a Wall, Investors Say
    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-09-11/us-consumer-is-likely-to-start-cutting-back-hurting-economy-and-stocks?fromMostRead=true

    Bloomberg: Americans Keep Spending But Big Retailers Doubt It’ll Last
    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-08-17/americans-keep-on-spending-but-big-retailers-doubt-it-ll-last

    Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP
    https://www.eurodollar.university
    https://www.marketsinsiderpro.com
    https://www.PortfolioShield.net

    RealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7

    THE EPISODES
    YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisL
    Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn
    Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN
    Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE
    iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI
    TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z
    Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza
    Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M
    Reason: https://bit.ly/3lt5NiH
    Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY
    Pandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3Qg
    Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ
    Podbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDgh

  50. The U.S Is In SERIOUS Trouble

    11 september 2023 · 18 min

    Afspelen
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    Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis

    Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_AIP
    https://www.eurodollar.university
    https://www.marketsinsiderpro.com
    https://www.PortfolioShield.net

    RealClearMarkets Essays: https://bit.ly/38tL5a7

    THE EPISODES
    YouTube: https://bit.ly/310yisL
    Vurbl: https://bit.ly/3rq4dPn
    Apple: https://apple.co/3czMcWN
    Deezer: https://bit.ly/3ndoVPE
    iHeart: https://ihr.fm/31jq7cI
    TuneIn: http://tun.in/pjT2Z
    Castro: https://bit.ly/30DMYza
    Google: https://bit.ly/3e2Z48M
    Reason: https://bit.ly/3lt5NiH
    Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3arP8mY
    Pandora: https://pdora.co/2GQL3Qg
    Castbox: https://bit.ly/3fJR5xQ
    Podbean: https://bit.ly/2QpaDgh
    Stitcher: https://bit.ly/2C1M1GB
    PlayerFM: https://bit.ly/3piLtjV
    Podchaser: https://bit.ly/3oFCrwN
    PocketCast: https://pca.st/encarkdt
    SoundCloud: https://bit.ly/3l0yFfK
    ListenNotes: https://bit.ly/38xY7pb
    AmazonMusic: https://amzn.to/2UpEk2P
    PodcastAddict: https://bit.ly/2V39Xjr
    PodcastRepublic:https://bit.ly/3LH8JlV

    DISCLOSURES
    Jeffrey Snider (The Promoter) is acting as a promoter for an investment advisory firm, Atlas Financial Advisors, Inc. (AFA). Jeffrey Snider is affiliated with AFA as a promoter only and is not in any way giving investment advice or recommendations on behalf of AFA. The Promoter is being compensated by a fee arrangement: The Promoter will receive compensation on a quarterly basis, based on the increase in account openings that can be reasonably attributed to the Promoter's activity. The Promoter will not be receiving a portion of any advisory fees. The Promoter has an incentive to recommend the Adviser because the Promoter is being compensated. The opinions expressed on this site and in these videos are those solely of Jeffrey Snider and Eurodollar University and do not represent those of AFA.